Giants

Free agents Scutaro, Affeldt, Pagan keenly aware of their value

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Free agents Scutaro, Affeldt, Pagan keenly aware of their value

SAN FRANCISCO Its impossible to reassemble every part ofa World Series team. Just look at how quickly the lineup from the Giants 2010 club, aside from Buster Posey, scattered to the wind.

But there are three integral members of the 2012 champions who will hit free agency at 12:01 a.m. Saturday morning -- second baseman MarcoScutaro, left-hander Jeremy Affeldt and center fielder Angel Pagan -- and GM Brian Sabean said he will attempt to re-sign all three.

All three of them said would like to return as well. But theykeenly aware of their value, too -- especially Affeldt, after the Dodgers just signedright-hander Brandon League to a three-year contract that will average 7.1million per season.

I did see that, said Affeldt, who made 5 million thisyear. Theres a market established there, and it is what it is.

The Giants will have to move quick if they hope to getanything done with any of the three players during their exclusive negotiatingwindow; the expectation is that all of them will test the open market, however.

The market should be vigorous for Scutaro, who hit .500 onhis way to NLCS MVP honors and posted an incredible .362 average in 61 gamesafter arriving in late July in a trade from the Colorado Rockies.

Lest anyone forget, Scutaro lined a smooth single to drivein the tiebreaking run in the Giants World Series-clinching Game 4 victory at Detroit.

I am looking for 15 years, three thousand-million dollars,Scutaro said, with a wicked smile. How you like me now?

The Phillies will be among the teams expected to showinterest in the 37-year-old, but GM Brian Sabean said he considers theNo. 2-hitting second baseman a top priority. He was making 6 million in thefinal season of a three-year contract he signed with the Boston Red Sox, andlikely will command a deal a bit sweeter this time.

Asked if he could see himself coming back? Scutaro furrowedhis brow.

Is that a question? he said. Of course. This team isgreat. This city is great.

Affeldt, 33, finished his fourth season as a Giant with adominant run in the postseason. He didnt allow a run and held opponents to a.139 average over 10 playoff games while striking out 10. He struck out theside in the eighth inning of Sunday nights clinching Game 4 victory inDetroit, whiffing both Miguel Cabrera and Prince Fielder.

Affeldt allowed just one home run while posting a 2.70 ERAin 65 appearances during the regular season.

If it works out, Id like to come back, Affeldt said. Butwhatever happens, Ill never have a bad word to say about this organization. Itwont ever be a situation where I wouldnt come back because I didnt like ithere. These guys are obviously frontrunners. They have to be.

Pagan is expected to be the most difficult to re-signbecause the market is thin on outfielders and hell be in great demand after hitting.288.338.440 with a major league-leading 15 triples, which also set a SanFrancisco-era franchise record.

Pagan scored 95 runs and stole 29 bases in 36 attempts, andcaught fire after returning to the leadoff spot Aug. 9. He also won the countryfree fast-food tacos by stealing a base in the World Series; he enjoyed hisspoils at one of the restaurants in Redwood City on Tuesday.

Hell get much more than tacos this winter.

I have no words to describe how special this is, saidPagan, after his parade vehicle reached City Hall. A lot of people told mebefore I came here how great the fans were. To actually experience winning achampionship here, theres no words. I hope I come back here next year.

But will he?

"There will be negotiations, he said, smiling.

Projection system loves Giancarlo Stanton at AT&T Park

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AP

Projection system loves Giancarlo Stanton at AT&T Park

SAN FRANCISCO — The Giants have made a habit in recent winters of “kicking the tires,” so to speak, on as many free agents as possible. General manager Bobby Evans is committed to being thorough, but at times there is probably no need. 

Hitters have made no secret of the fact that they prefer friendlier confines, and if you’re a power hitter, you’re going to ask Evans for a significantly larger check to play 81 of your games at the harshest power park in the majors. That’s what makes Giancarlo Stanton, readily available via trade, so intriguing. But would Stanton be fully immune to the realities of AT&T Park?

The numbers, at least in a small sample, suggest he would. Stanton has played 27 games in San Francisco and taken 108 at-bats. He has nine homers, 11 doubles and a triple. His .676 slugging percentage at AT&T Park isn’t far off his mark at Coors Field (.714), and his 1.048 OPS is higher than his OPS during the 2017 season, when he hit 59 homers. 

The damage has been done in limited time, but the Giants clearly believe it’s fully sustainable, and a recent study done by ESPN’s Dan Szymborski backs that up. Szymborski ran his ZiPS projection system to estimate Stanton’s stats over the next 10 years for a variety of suitors. The numbers in orange and black are overwhelming. 

The projections have Stanton at 46.2 WAR over the next 10 seasons, including 7.1 in 2018 and 6.8 in 2019, the two seasons the organization should be focused on given Madison Bumgarner’s contract situation. ZiPS projects Stanton at 46 homers next season if he plays for the Giants, followed by 43, 42, 39, 35 over the following four years. For comparison’s sake, Brandon Belt led the Giants in homers each of the last two seasons and he has 35 total during that span. 

Any sort of projection system needs to be taken with a huge grain of salt, especially with a player who has had injury issues in the past. But ZiPS believes Stanton -- who plays in a huge park already -- is a rarity, the kind of power hitter who can keep crushing well into his 30’s and put up huge numbers even if he is limited by the realities of getting older and getting hurt. Szymborski’s projections have Stanton playing just 102 games in 2025, but he’s still projected to hit 23 homers, 20 doubles and post an OPS+ of 121. Even in the 10th year of the projections, ZiPS has Stanton down for 16 homers. 

There are no sure things in this game, but as Evans continues to chase a blockbuster deal, he can be confident that Stanton is one player who should be able to provide power for years to come, no matter what AT&T Park does to hold hitters down. 

Former A's slugger Gomes offers Ohtani scouting report: 'Big fan of the dude'

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AP

Former A's slugger Gomes offers Ohtani scouting report: 'Big fan of the dude'

Former A's left fielder/DH and Bay Area native, Jonny Gomes, last played Major League Baseball in 2015. The next year, Gomes looked to continue his career in Japan with the Rakuten Golden Eagles. 

Gomes struggled in Japan, batting just .169 in 18 games. While in Japan though, Gomes saw firsthand the two-way talent of Shohei Ohtani. 

"The dude throws 100 miles per hour consistently," Gomes said Tuesday to MLB Network Radio. "That plays."

With MLB, the Players Association, and the Nippon Professional Baseball Organization agreeing to a new posting system, Ohtani should soon be available as a free agent to MLB teams. Gomes was adamant that Ohtani will live up to the hype. 

"If you have the arm speed to throw 100 miles per hour, guess what your slider's gonna do -- yikes. And he also has a split, which is yikes with that arm speed. And he also has a changeup, and he also has a curveball. You're talking about five plus, plus, plus pitches.

"If he was in the draft, I think it would be a no-brainer right now that he'd be No. 1 overall," Gomes said. 

Since turning pro as an 18-year-old, Ohtani has been a dominant force on the mound. The 6-foot-3 right-hander owns a 42-15 career record with a 2.52 ERA and 1.076 WHIP. 

What makes Ohtani, 23, so intriguing is that he's not only the best pitcher in Japan, he may be the best hitter too. In 2017, Ohtani hit .332 with eight home runs in 65 games. The left fielder/DH owns a .286/.358/.500 career slash line with 48 home runs. 

"Now hitting wise, is it gonna transfer, is it not? I've seen the dude hit a fly ball that hit the roof of the Tokyo Dome," Gomes remembers. "So, what does that tell you? That bat speed's there, that power's there, that he's generating a lot out front.

"To be able to hit the roof of the Tokyo Dome is way more impressive than hitting any other roof in the states. It would be like hitting the roof in Seattle when it was closed, it's way up there."

Everyone knows about Ohtani off-the-charts talent. The stats are there. What we don't know as much about is his personality. Gomes does and he believes his leadership will make him be a star in the states. 

"I'm a big fan of the dude," Gomes says. "I saw his work ethic, I saw how players treated him, I saw how respectful he was. Over there it's all about seniority. Granted he was the biggest star on the field at any given moment, but still gave the utmost respect to seniority guys on his ball club."