Patriots

It's been an up-and-down ride for the Bills

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It's been an up-and-down ride for the Bills

THE BUFFALO BILLS
Record: 6-5
Last week: 16-10 win over Chiefs
Previous three: 0-3 (Saints, Chargers, Chiefs by a combined 136-55)
2016 record: 7-9
Coach: Sean McDermott
Offensive coordinator: Rick Dennison
Defensive coordinator: Leslie Frazier
 


THE BASICS
The Bills are on a bizarre ride. They were 5-2 at one point then – after consecutive losses – they yanked starter Tyrod Taylor and replaced him with rookie Nathan Peterman. Peterman threw five picks in the first half of a loss against the Chargers and the season appeared to have gone belly-up. But behind Taylor last week, the Bills won 16-10 at Kansas City (another team on a bizarre ride). The Bills are tied with the Ravens and Chiefs at 6-5 in the race for the sixth AFC playoff spot.


 


WHAT'S GOOD
First off, Buffalo is always a tough place to play. They are 4-1 this season and the atmosphere there is one of the first things Devin McCourty mentioned on Quick Slants Tuesday night. It’s a big factor. Additionally, they are pretty well-balanced. “There's not a lot of opportunities there when you look on the film like 'Oh, this looks good. That looks good,' “ Bill Belichick explained on Wednesday. “You're going to have to earn everything you get from this team. They play very competitively. They have a lot of tough football players, guys that play hard, that work hard, that are physical, that do a good job of controlling their area, if you will, and then some great athletic space players, obviously, like [LeSean] McCoy, like [Brandon] Tate, like [Tyrod] Taylor, guys like that, [Jerry] Hughes, in their respective areas that are really hard to deal with, hard to handle.” The Patriots haven’t seen a quarterback with Taylor’s mobility and downfield accuracy since their back-to-back games with Cam Newton and Deshaun Watson in Weeks 3 and 4. Defensively, the Bills are giving up 240 yards per game in the air and are 31st in the NFL in sack percentage. Six of their 17 sacks this season came in one game. The three-game stretch of losses messed up all their stats on defense but – aside from those where they allowed 638 yards rushing (!!!!), they allowed just 616 in their other six games.
 


 
WHAT'S NOT
They just haven’t been a terribly consistent team. The Bills have yet to top 300 yards passing. The closest they came was 285 and they let up seven sacks in that one against the Jets. Offensively, they are averaging 20.4 points per game. That’s not near enough to get it done against New England on a regular basis and that’s probably part of the reason Buffalo tried to make a switch at quarterback – to get more explosive scoring. They did – 54 for the Chargers – but that was not what they were looking for. LeSean McCoy looks like he’s beginning the slow fade from game-changer to ordinary back. He carried 22 times for 49 yards against KC last week. They can’t throw the ball outside on a regular basis. McCoy is the leading receiver with 46 catches for 295 yards and tight end Charles Clay is second with just 29 catches. Jordan Matthews has been a non-factor in the passing game for them and Kelvin Benjamin’s been hurt.

HISTORY
The Bills’ futility against the Patriots since Bill Belichick arrived has been staggering. They’ve played 34 times. Buffalo has won four (November 2000, September 2003, September 2011 and December 2014). Think about that...Belichick’s coached more than two full regular seasons worth of games against this team while he’s been the Patriots coach.

Dolphins made Patriots look like just another team. How did that happen?

Dolphins made Patriots look like just another team. How did that happen?

How did that happen?

How did the Patriots – an 11.5-point favorite that beat Miami by 18 two weeks ago in a game where they handed the Dolphins a touchdown – look like just another team on Monday night? It’s the obvious question and there are plenty of obvious answers. And some that aren’t so obvious. Here’s a collection of them. 

-- The Dolphins did absolutely nothing to beat themselves. The Patriots had the two turnovers -- two underthrown Tom Brady picks directed at Brandin Cooks -- and Miami didn’t turn it over once. The Dolphins didn’t even come close until that bing-bing-bing ricochet pass from Jay Cutler late in the fourth quarter.

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-- Cooks does many things very well. He’s got elite speed, tremendous hands and he’s tough. But he doesn’t get sudden separation and, as Troy Brown said in Postgame Live, some of that has to do with his route running. Xavien Howard got physical with Cooks and Cooks wasn’t getting away from Howard early. That messed up timing, which we saw on the third-down throw that Brady fired at Cooks before the wideout even got his head around. The ball had to come out on time, Cooks was delayed getting off the line and was still running his route and the pass never had a shot. Cooks was targeted seven times. He caught one. He’s profited this season from the presence of Rob Gronkowski, the effectiveness of the running game and play action that at least slows the pass rush. With Brady having less time and Cooks becoming the main option because of his 1-on-1 matchup, a spotlight was put on the facet of Cooks’ game which isn’t there yet.

-- Brady couldn’t buy time. In so many games this season, Brady’s been able to read where the heat is coming from and step up in the pocket where he can survey with no obstructions. With Miami sending extra rushers frequently up the middle and really stressing the middle of the Patriots offensive line where Joe Thuney and David Andrews are susceptible to power, Brady was forced to retreat to throw rather than step up.

-- The personnel on defense caught up to them. Without Trey Flowers and Kyle Van Noy, the front-seven – already diminished by the absence of Dont'a Hightower – was comprised of a lot of bit players in big roles. Kenyan Drake walked through a tackle attempt by Eric Lee at one point. Alan Branch injured his knee and eventually left the game for good. Elandon Roberts got put in mismatches by shrewd Miami playcalling. Marquis Flowers -- who started alongside Roberts at linebacker -- is a depth player and special-teamer. Jordan Richards – who had a clean shot at sacking Cutler but couldn’t wrap him up – is not good at tackling. Deatrich Wise and Adam Butler -- promising rookies -- remain rookies. When Duron Harmon was up and hollering at the defense on the sidelines,  he was yelling at a collection of players that I wouldn’t have known if they walked up to my door a couple of months ago.

-- Bunches of bunch formations were an issue. Midway through the second half, after Jarvis Landry found himself all alone for a red-zone touchdown, Jerod Mayo sent me a text which read, “A team going back to bunches. A lot of loaded formations.” This was something Mayo harped on early in the season when the Patriots defense struggled. The bunch formations where receivers are stacked on one side puts a premium on communication. Monday night was by no means a throwback to those dark days, but the Dolphins’ approach at least revisited an issue the Patriots had earlier in the year. Too few teams have tried that approach.

-- Brady rarely looked comfortable or confident he was going to get a clean pocket. And that’s what Miami set out to do. Brady with his feet planted is an assassin. He’s obsessive about getting his feet set and being able to rip into throws. He can usually get to that stable base quickly. Miami kept making him move his feet and reset, which led to some of his inaccuracy.

-- Cutler was smart enough to fight another day. When plays broke down or nobody came open, Cutler didn’t try to jam passes into tight windows. He got rid of it and moved on to the next play.

-- Miami didn’t have busts. Their loss two weeks ago was littered with defensive breakdowns in the secondary and at the linebacker level. That absolutely helped New England roll up 196 yards on the ground and 10 plays of 20 or more yards. They ran for 25 yards on Monday night and had five plays of 20 or more yards. They also tackled brilliantly all night.

-- There was a lot of wailing on my Twitter timeline (as there always is when the Patriots don’t play like the Patriots) and a lot of it was aimed at Josh McDaniels. That feels like a copout. If the offensive line is leaking and guys aren’t getting open fast, that’s how it looks. There’s no lever to pull that makes it all go away. Miami just played really well and its personnel outplayed the Patriots. They did things Monday night that they didn’t do two weeks ago and some of those adjustments have to fall on the coaches and coordinator but this was execution, not coaching.

What’s it mean going against Pittsburgh? Well, the Steelers will run bunch formations. And they have the game’s most explosive wide receiver who can threaten the defense at all three levels. They’ll need to communicate better. And the Steelers will definitely play man and try to bring pressure. It’s something Steelers defensive coordinator Keith Butler talked about all offseason after the Patriots blistered his zone schemes in the AFC Championship last year.

So is it time for a level of panic? No. Gronkowski’s return will drastically change the Patriots. He’s been a monster this season and a week off isn’t going to change that. The Steelers were going to do everything Miami did anyway. Now the Patriots have a good look at what they’ll need to improve in order to beat it.

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Brady unable to get comfortable without security blanket Gronkowski

Brady unable to get comfortable without security blanket Gronkowski

MIAMI GARDENS, Fla. -- Was it the number of hits Tom Brady took from the Dolphins defense two weeks ago that were still fresh in his mind? Or did he simply understand that without Rob Gronkowski it was going to be a difficult night? 

Whatever it was, the Patriots quarterback seemed uncharacteristically jumpy from the beginning of Monday night's game at Hard Rock Stadium, and he wasn't able to help his team mount much of a fight in a 27-20 defeat that was not as close as the score indicated. 

The Patriots went 0-for-11 on third down -- their first game without a third-down conversion since 1991 -- and went three-and-out seven times. They managed only 25 yards rushing (a season-low) and 248 yards passing (also a season-low). 

Brady went 24-for-43 for 233 yards, a touchdown and two interceptions. He was picked twice in the Divisional Round last season against the Texans, but Monday was his first regular-season game with two picks since 2015. His 59.5 passer rating was his worst in four seasons. He's now 7-9 in Miami for his career. 

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"Yeah, it was pretty bad," Brady said after the game when asked about the difficulty he had on third down. "We can't get any worse than that. We couldn't stay on the field and just didn't make enough plays. It's just a bad night. We've had a lot of good nights this year and this was a bad night."

Brady's first dropback of the night may have rattled him. He managed to get off an incompletion despite Lawrence Timmons screaming off the right edge unblocked. On the next snap, he had plenty of time but underthrew Brandin Cooks badly and was picked by Xavien Howard. 

On the first play of the next Patriots drive, Brady bailed on a throw early, perhaps sensing that Ndamukong Suh was wiggling free from his block. The pass went incomplete to James White despite the fact that Brady had time to throw and was in no real danger of being hit. 

Brady made some remarkable throws later in the first half. His 20-yard floater to Dion Lewis as he was being hit by Kiko Alonso stood out. So too did his seven-yarder to James White that was completed after Brady avoided an Andre Branch pressure. 

But in the second half, the pressures began to pile up and take their toll on the front-runner for MVP. After taking an eight-yard sack, he was picked deep down the middle of the field by Howard on another underthrown shot to Cooks. The Dolphins went up 20-10 on the subsequent drive, and all of a sudden Miami rushers could pin their ears back and hunt. 

Brady attempted one third-down throw to a smothered Cooks on the outside when he might've had Dwayne Allen available for first-down yardage. He threw another third-down prayer deep to Chris Hogan that went incomplete. Yet another was fired to Cooks on a slant that was so off-the-mark it looked almost like a throwaway. 

With a lead, Suh, Phillips, Branch, Cameron Wake and Charles Harris stalked Brady from the other side of the line of scrimmage, making life difficult for the Patriots offensive line. Brady was hit six times, sacked twice, and pressured on numerous other occasions -- even when he had more time than he thought. 

The result was an unsettled offense.

"I think that's accurate," Nate Solder said. "I think there was a lot of drives where we were just playing behind on the chains, and that made it really tough. We know they have a great pass-rush and the front four is as good as any that's in the league. When you're playing behind like that, you have to take their best shot every time. It just is gonna look bad, it's gonna be tough, and it's a long, hard day."

Not having Gronkowski to attract coverage -- and beat man coverage even when blanketed, as he so often does -- didn't help matters for the Patriots. Neither did having a No. 2 receiver in Chris Hogan who hadn't played in more than a month and may have had some rust to knock off. 

But Brady was not himself early, and that led to issues later on as the score got away from him and his teammates.

"We got behind and that's not the way we want to play the game. It's a bad loss," Brady said. "I wish we played better, but we didn't. We have to move on and try to play better next week."

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