Odds favor Floyd in bout with Maidana - NBC Sports

Odds favor Floyd in bout with Maidana
April 29, 2014, 4:15 pm

Floyd Mayweather boasted off making $75,000 betting on the underdog UConn Huskies in the Final Four, but betting on the underdog has never been a successful strategy when he fights.

At 45-0, Money Mayweather is a huge favorite to inch closer to Rocky Marciano’s treasured 49-0 mark when he fights Marcos Maidana Saturday in Las Vegas.

How big of an underdog is Maidana? He is +800 (8-1) at one book and +600 at another. Other sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com have him within that range, which makes Mayweather a very pricey bet at -1000 or higher.

Regardless of the price, Mayweather is by far the biggest draw when it comes to boxing betting. Even Manny Pacquiao plays a distant second to Mayweather when it comes to the amount of betting interest is generated in boxing circles.

“No one even comes close, and it will be probably three times more money on this than Pac Man's last fight,” said Kevin Bradley, sportsbook manager at Bovada.lv.

Many bettors try to find value in wagering on a knockout. But the odds are usually in favor of a decision victory, which means sportsbooks in Vegas and around the world are usually cheering for a full 12 rounds.

“We need Mayweather by decision almost every fight and its looking that way again,” said Bradley Tuesday.

While Maidana is a huge dog, he is far from the biggest boxing underdog on the card from the MGM Casino in Las Vegas. Carlos Molina (17-1-1) is a +1400 underdog to Adrien Broner, whose 27-fight unbeaten streak was topped by Maidana in December.

To bet on Broner, you have lay 1/25 (meaning risk $25 for every $1 of profit). Molina hasn’t fought in almost 18 months, when he lost to Amir Khan, who is also on this card and favored against Luis Collazo.

The other fight of note pits J'Leon Love against Marco Antonio Periban. Love was a slight -175 favorite in early wagering this week.

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