Bears

Last night an unbelievable Bears coin toss streak of success ended

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AP

Last night an unbelievable Bears coin toss streak of success ended

When the Minnesota Vikings won last night's coin toss and elected to defer, it meant Bears fans got a first look at Mitchell Trubisky right out of the gates.

But lost in that simple coin toss was that it ended a pretty wild winning streak the Bears had going.

Prior to last night, the Bears had won each of the last 15 coin tosses to begin games and overtimes.

Seriously.

Week 4 against the Packers:

Week 3 against the Steelers:

Also Week 3 against the Steelers in overtime:

Week 2 against the Bucs:

Week 1 against the Falcons:

Preseason Week 4 against the Browns:

Preseason Week 3 against the Titans:

Preseason Week 2 against the Cardinals:

Preseason Week 1 against the Broncos:

Week 17 last season against the Vikings:

Week 16 last season against the Redskins:

Week 15 last season against the Packers:

Week 14 last season against the Lions:

Week 13 last season against the 49ers:

OK, got that all? Want to go back real quick and cross-check the dates to make sure we didn't make that up? It's all real, and according to some math folks a lot smarter than us it's also really, really, really rare.

The odds of winning 14 straight coin tosses like the Bears did (thanks for the help, Internet) is 1 in 16,384! We checked our work and the formula is 2^14. Basically, there are two potential outcomes and the Bears had the coin flipped 14 times. That produces 16,384 different outcomes. The odds of the Bears winning the toss a 15th straight time was 1 in 32,768.

Pretty wild stuff. And the irony, of course, is that there was a 50/50 chance each week that the streak would be broken.

So shoutout to the Titans, who in Week 12 of last year won the coin toss against the Bears. They had no idea the kind of coin-toss juggernaut they knocked off.

Time for Trubisky and the Bears to start a new streak next week against the Ravens.

SportsTalk Live Podcast: Should the Bears let Trubisky throw more?

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AP

SportsTalk Live Podcast: Should the Bears let Trubisky throw more?

Should the Bears let Mitch Trubisky air it out more often?

On the latest SportsTalk Live Podcast, David Haugh, Adam Jahns and Mark Carman join David Kaplan to discuss the Bears' second straight win, a great defensive performance and minimal work by Trubisky.

Listen to the latest episode below:

Bears handling of Mitch Trubisky, run-pass balance fits a pattern as Leonard Floyd heats up

Bears handling of Mitch Trubisky, run-pass balance fits a pattern as Leonard Floyd heats up

Shaking some last crumbs out of the notebook after the Bears reached 3-4 with their 17-3 win over the Carolina Panthers…

The thought that offensive coordinator Dowell Loggains somehow needs to loosen the leather restraints he’s put on quarterback Mitch Trubisky may be the head-scratcher of the weekend; more than just this weekend, really.

Set aside the mistaken notion that the only goal of the 2017 season is Trubisky’s development. First of all, that’s an objective, not a goal (winning is a “goal”); and somewhere in all this, the developments of Leonard Floyd, Eddie Jackson and Cody Whitehair might be at least a little important, but that’s digressing...

Realize that Loggains has been the boots-on-the-ground prime mover behind the plan and program that has had Trubisky on a developmental fast track practically since the quarterback was drafted. And Loggains is a self-professed “’I like to throw it’ guy” even if John Fox isn’t, although the 2016 season is worth a look regarding the latter’s feelings about throwing. More on that in a minute.

More to the play-calling specifically: Carolina was No. 2 in the NFL in sacks and a top-10 pass defense. Baltimore is 12th against the pass and tied for the NFL lead in interceptions (10). Loggains and the offense overwhelmingly ran the football against both of those defenses.

Against Minnesota, which is a more workable 17th in passing yardage allowed, the Bears ran 56 plays. Of those, 27 were pass plays, not counting Trubisky running three times.

Fold in this perspective: Loggains was part of the Adam Gase staff in 2015 when the Bears were a 54:46 pass:run ratio offense. Last year, with the quarterback mayhem of Jay Cutler-Brian Hoyer-Jay Cutler-Matt Barkley, Loggains as OC threw the ball 61 percent of the time. Anyone who cared to look really closely at the “why” there would have seen that Loggains didn’t have an in-shape Jordan Howard early, by Howard’s own assessment, or a fully healthy Jeremy Langford late.

Meaning: Loggains has worked with what he had, both last year and now this year, when he doesn’t have Alshon Jeffery and Cameron Meredith, or Markus Wheaton (inactive for four of the seven games) for that matter, for Trubisky (or Mike Glennon) to catch passes. Fox wants an offense that, of its top five priorities, not turning the football is Nos. 1-4, and that’s what Loggains and Trubisky have given him.

The “culture” that’s increasingly evident in and around Halas Hall

Not every fun or revealing locker room quip should be reported. So when Leonard Floyd was bantering not too long ago with Akiem Hicks, the outside linebacker issued a declaration that I thought oughta stay in its corner of the locker room, at least until the young man played up to the bar he was setting for himself.

“I’m hot,” Floyd had informed Hicks, who gave every appearance of dismissing the boast as the overly self-hyping rant of a second-year NFL pup, more intent on finding a missing sock than indulging the youngster. “I…am…hot,” Floyd repeated to ensure that Hicks was on notice.

The good-natured by-play was more than just a little smack.

Floyd and Hicks have a friendly but definitely intense sack competition, Floyd has had four sacks over the last four games, to which Hicks has to up his game with four sacks over the last three. But for Floyd, his year heated up with his first 2017 sack, at Green Bay.

“It was that sack – when I sacked Aaron Rodgers – I felt ‘hot,’” Floyd said on Sunday after the Carolina win, in which Floyd was credited with four tackles, one for loss, and two quarterback hits. Floyd did sack Rodgers last season at Green Bay, forcing a fumble that Floyd recovered in the end zone. But “I didn’t have any sacks going into Green Bay [this year],” Floyd said, “so when I sack Aaron Rodgers, I know I can sack anybody."

Not that Floyd is superstitious or anything, but “I’m still wearing the same cleats I wore in that Green Bay game,” Floyd added, rummaging through his bag and extracting the well-worn, good-luck footwear.

Winning makes everything a little more relaxed, although conversely, actually “playing” football not uncommonly leads to winning as well. Whichever is cause and which is effect, something is noticeably different inside a team that not too long ago too many had been given up for NFL dead.