I Mock you. Then you Mock me. In our annual dart-throwing contest, I do believe John Fox would love to get an edge rusher as he did in his first drafts that began defensive transformations in Carolina (Julius Peppers) and Denver (Von Miller). They could decide to be patient with Shane Ray's toe injury that could take up to five months of recovery. They could buy into Randy Gregory's lightning bolt pass rush and hope to add to his 235-pound frame and subtract his marijuana issues. If Vic Beasley's there, they might jump on him.
But in this scenario, I still believe they go defense over the talented wideout (Kevin White) because of Fox. I think they could be convinced to trade down for an extra first round pick if someone (Cleveland? Ryan Pace's old friends in New Orleans?) really wants someone at number 7. But if they stay, and they go defense, Danny Shelton is so unique, been so durable, with a knack to also pass rush and likely potential to anchor and dominate up to a decade in this defense, that the options Fox currently has available in Jeremiah Ratliff and Ego Ferguson take a back seat to selecting him.
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I also believe the Titans will move the second overall pick if they get either Sam Bradford or Philip Rivers in return. The thinking here is the guy in Philly shakes things up early, steals the national headlines and conversation again, and finds a way to get the quarterback he's wanted all along.
1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Jameis Winston (QB), Florida State
Lovie Smith is confident he can keep the most talented QB in draft on straight and narrow.
2. Philadelphia Eagles via trade with Tennessee Titans: Marcus Mariota (QB), Oregon
Chip Kelly sends Sam Bradford and the Eagles' No. 20 pick to Tennessee to get his Duck.
3. Jacksonville Jaguars: Dante Fowler Jr. (OLB), Florida
Gus Bradley fills his "LEO" spot over super-versatile lineman Leonard Williams.
4. Oakland Raiders: Amari Cooper (WR), Alabama
Also tempted by Williams, but Derek Carr is given a go-to guy.
5. Washington Redskins: Leonard Williams (DL), USC
Shouldn't have dropped this far and they listen to offers, but grab him over an edge rusher.
6. New York Jets: Vic Beasley (OLB), Clemson
Bowles is a "D" man, and concerns about others allow Combine star to jump.
7. Chicago Bears: Danny Shelton (DT), Washington
With injury to Ray & issues with Gregory, the best value is with Shelton or White. Fox wants defense and goes with durable, run-stopping freak who can pressure and hopes deep WR class lasts.
8. Atlanta Falcons: Shane Ray (DE), Missouri
Ex-Seahawks defensive coordinator Dan Quinn needs an edge rusher and will wait for Ray's toe to heal.
9. New York Giants: Todd Gurley (RB), Georgia
The two-year first round drought for running backs ends despite the ACL. Odell and now Gurley.
10. St. Louis Rams: Kevin White (WR), West Virginia
Some much-needed juice for the 28th-ranked offense.
11. Minnesota Vikings: Trae Waynes (CB), Michigan State
Watch out for Zimmer's defense: Waynes follows Barr, Floyd, Rhodes & Smith as first rounders the past four years.
12. Cleveland Browns: Brandon Scherff (OT), Iowa
Higher value than this. Josh McCown gets a little protection. Worry about wide receiver at No. 19.
13. New Orleans Saints: Randy Gregory (OLB), Nebraska
Rob Ryan's defense fell from No. 4 to No. 31 in 2014. They'll hope his lanky frame fills a bit and his career won't go up in smoke.
14. Miami Dolphins: Breshad Perriman (WR), Central Florida
Hartline and Wallace out. Stills, Jennings, & now Perriman in to help Landry and Tannehill.
15. San Francisco 49ers: Arik Armstead (DT), Oregon
So many exits on defense and Justin Smith considering retirement. The repairs start here.
16. Houston Texans: Kevin Johnson (CB), Wake Forest
Stock skyrocketing. Jonathan Joseph is 31. More help for Watt (and Clowney?)
17. San Diego Chargers: La'el Collins (OT), LSU
Slow to pull trigger on sending Rivers to Titans at No. 2, they get protection for him, get running back later.
18. Kansas City Chiefs: DeVante Parker (WR), Louisville
Not far behind Cooper and White, he fills a need to pair with Maclin.
19. Cleveland Browns: Jaelen Strong (WR), Arizona State
As promised at No. 12. You're welcome, Josh.
20. Tennessee Titans via trade with Philadelphia Eagles: Bud Dupree (OLB), Kentucky
Not quite the value the Bears needed at No. 7, but shouldn't have lasted this long.
21. Cincinnati Bengals: Andrus Peat (OT), Stanford
They keep trying to find ways to help Andy Dalton's performance match his pay.
22. Pittsburgh Steelers: Landon Collins (S), Alabama
The clear-cut best at his position. Polamalu's replacement as defensive makeover continues.
23. Detroit Lions: Malcom Brown (DT), Texas
Piece for the post-Suh/Fairley Era — stopgap Ngata not too far behind.
24. Arizona Cardinals: Melvin Gordon (RB), Wisconsin
An effective new toy for Palmer to mix in with targets Fitzgerald & Brown.
25. Carolina Panthers: D.J. Humphries (OT), Florida
A need filled to help preserve Cam (besides his yogurt).
26. Baltimore Ravens: Nelson Agholor (WR), USC
Torrey Smith & Jacoby Jones are gone. Marc Trestman likes the tools in his toolbox.
27. Dallas Cowboys: Marcus Peters (CB), Washington
Discipline issues but strong in press/man. Fills a clear need in Big D.
28. Denver Broncos: Cam Erving (C), Florida State
Potential Pro Bowler replaces now-Bear Montgomery. Snapped for Jameis, now Peyton.
29. Indianapolis Colts: Bernardrick McKinney (ILB), Mississippi State
Edges out Clemson's Anthony & UCLA's Kendricks at his position to infuse some youth.
30. Green Bay Packers: Jordan Phillips (DT), Oklahoma
So the Bears, Lions & Pack all pick DTs. Is the North turning Black and Blue again?
31. New Orleans Saints: Devin Smith (WR), Ohio State
The pick they get from Seattle for Graham gives Brees an alternative deep threat.
32. New England Patriots: Jalen Collins (CB), LSU
Somebody has to replace Revis & Browner. Second Bayou Bengal first rounder named Collins.