Bears

2015 NFL Mock Draft: CSN's Chris Boden makes his picks

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2015 NFL Mock Draft: CSN's Chris Boden makes his picks

I Mock you. Then you Mock me. In our annual dart-throwing contest, I do believe John Fox would love to get an edge rusher as he did in his first drafts that began defensive transformations in Carolina (Julius Peppers) and Denver (Von Miller). They could decide to be patient with Shane Ray's toe injury that could take up to five months of recovery. They could buy into Randy Gregory's lightning bolt pass rush and hope to add to his 235-pound frame and subtract his marijuana issues. If Vic Beasley's there, they might jump on him.

But in this scenario, I still believe they go defense over the talented wideout (Kevin White) because of Fox. I think they could be convinced to trade down for an extra first round pick if someone (Cleveland? Ryan Pace's old friends in New Orleans?) really wants someone at number 7. But if they stay, and they go defense, Danny Shelton is so unique, been so durable, with a knack to also pass rush and likely potential to anchor and dominate up to a decade in this defense, that the options Fox currently has available in Jeremiah Ratliff and Ego Ferguson take a back seat to selecting him.

[MORE NFL DRAFT: Check out our 200 player profiles]

I also believe the Titans will move the second overall pick if they get either Sam Bradford or Philip Rivers in return. The thinking here is the guy in Philly shakes things up early, steals the national headlines and conversation again, and finds a way to get the quarterback he's wanted all along.

1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Jameis Winston (QB), Florida State

Lovie Smith is confident he can keep the most talented QB in draft on straight and narrow.

2. Philadelphia Eagles via trade with Tennessee Titans: Marcus Mariota (QB), Oregon

Chip Kelly sends Sam Bradford and the Eagles' No. 20 pick to Tennessee to get his Duck.

3. Jacksonville Jaguars: Dante Fowler Jr. (OLB), Florida

Gus Bradley fills his "LEO" spot over super-versatile lineman Leonard Williams.

4. Oakland Raiders: Amari Cooper (WR), Alabama

Also tempted by Williams, but Derek Carr is given a go-to guy.

5. Washington Redskins: Leonard Williams (DL), USC

Shouldn't have dropped this far and they listen to offers, but grab him over an edge rusher.

6. New York Jets: Vic Beasley (OLB), Clemson

Bowles is a "D" man, and concerns about others allow Combine star to jump.

7. Chicago Bears: Danny Shelton (DT), Washington

With injury to Ray & issues with Gregory, the best value is with Shelton or White. Fox wants defense and goes with durable, run-stopping freak who can pressure and hopes deep WR class lasts. 

8. Atlanta Falcons: Shane Ray (DE), Missouri

Ex-Seahawks defensive coordinator Dan Quinn needs an edge rusher and will wait for Ray's toe to heal.

9. New York Giants: Todd Gurley (RB), Georgia

The two-year first round drought for running backs ends despite the ACL. Odell and now Gurley.

10. St. Louis Rams: Kevin White (WR), West Virginia

Some much-needed juice for the 28th-ranked offense.

 

11. Minnesota Vikings: Trae Waynes (CB), Michigan State

Watch out for Zimmer's defense: Waynes follows Barr, Floyd, Rhodes & Smith as first rounders the past four years.

12. Cleveland Browns: Brandon Scherff (OT), Iowa

Higher value than this. Josh McCown gets a little protection. Worry about wide receiver at No. 19.

13. New Orleans Saints: Randy Gregory (OLB), Nebraska

Rob Ryan's defense fell from No. 4 to No. 31 in 2014. They'll hope his lanky frame fills a bit and his career won't go up in smoke.

14. Miami Dolphins: Breshad Perriman (WR), Central Florida

Hartline and Wallace out. Stills, Jennings, & now Perriman in to help Landry and Tannehill.

15. San Francisco 49ers: Arik Armstead (DT), Oregon

So many exits on defense and Justin Smith considering retirement. The repairs start here.

16. Houston Texans: Kevin Johnson (CB), Wake Forest

Stock skyrocketing. Jonathan Joseph is 31. More help for Watt (and Clowney?)

17. San Diego Chargers: La'el Collins (OT), LSU

Slow to pull trigger on sending Rivers to Titans at No. 2, they get protection for him, get running back later.

18. Kansas City Chiefs: DeVante Parker (WR), Louisville

Not far behind Cooper and White, he fills a need to pair with Maclin.

19. Cleveland Browns: Jaelen Strong (WR), Arizona State     

As promised at No. 12. You're welcome, Josh.

20. Tennessee Titans via trade with Philadelphia Eagles: Bud Dupree (OLB), Kentucky

Not quite the value the Bears needed at No. 7, but shouldn't have lasted this long.

21. Cincinnati Bengals: Andrus Peat (OT), Stanford

They keep trying to find ways to help Andy Dalton's performance match his pay.

22. Pittsburgh Steelers: Landon Collins (S), Alabama

The clear-cut best at his position. Polamalu's replacement as defensive makeover continues.

23. Detroit Lions: Malcom Brown (DT), Texas

Piece for the post-Suh/Fairley Era — stopgap Ngata not too far behind. 

24. Arizona Cardinals: Melvin Gordon (RB), Wisconsin

An effective new toy for Palmer to mix in with targets Fitzgerald & Brown.

25. Carolina Panthers: D.J. Humphries (OT), Florida

A need filled to help preserve Cam (besides his yogurt).

26. Baltimore Ravens: Nelson Agholor (WR), USC

Torrey Smith & Jacoby Jones are gone. Marc Trestman likes the tools in his toolbox.

27. Dallas Cowboys: Marcus Peters (CB), Washington

Discipline issues but strong in press/man. Fills a clear need in Big D.

28. Denver Broncos: Cam Erving (C), Florida State

Potential Pro Bowler replaces now-Bear Montgomery. Snapped for Jameis, now Peyton.

29. Indianapolis Colts: Bernardrick McKinney (ILB), Mississippi State

Edges out Clemson's Anthony & UCLA's Kendricks at his position to infuse some youth.

30. Green Bay Packers: Jordan Phillips (DT), Oklahoma

So the Bears, Lions & Pack all pick DTs. Is the North turning Black and Blue again?

31. New Orleans Saints: Devin Smith (WR), Ohio State

The pick they get from Seattle for Graham gives Brees an alternative deep threat.

32. New England Patriots: Jalen Collins (CB), LSU

Somebody has to replace Revis & Browner. Second Bayou Bengal first rounder named Collins.

Unfinished Bears job a 'bitter pill' for John Fox, but the legacy lies beyond just the W-L record

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USA TODAY

Unfinished Bears job a 'bitter pill' for John Fox, but the legacy lies beyond just the W-L record

When John Fox succeeded Marc Trestman in 2015, neither he nor the Bears were looking at the situation and Fox as any sort of “bridge” hire – a de facto interim coach tasked with winning, but just as importantly, developing and getting a team turned around and headed in a right direction.

The heart of the matter is always winning, but in the overall, the mission statement also includes leaving the place better than you found it. Fox did that, which is very clearly the sentiment upstairs at Halas Hall as the Bears move on from Fox to Matt Nagy.

“It would’ve been nice to see it through,” Fox said to NBC Sports Chicago. “That’s kind of a bitter pill but you sort things out and move forward.

“I do think it’s closer than people think. We inherited a mess... but I felt we were on the brink at the end. I think that [Halas Hall] building is definitely different; they feel it. I do think that it was a positive.”

(Fox is probably not done coaching at some point, but that’s for another time, another story, and anyway, it’s his tale to tell when he feels like it. Or doesn’t.)

One measure of the Bears change effected: Virtually the entire Trestman staff, with the exceptions of receivers coach Mike Groh and linebackers coach Clint Hurtt, was jettisoned along with Trestman. By contrast, Nagy has retained not only virtually the entire Fox defensive staff under coordinator Vic Fangio, but also arguably the single most important non-coordinator offensive coach by virtue of position responsibility – Dave Ragone, the hands-on mentor of quarterback Mitch Trubisky.

Obvious but extremely difficult decisions are coming, as to shedding personnel and contracts – Josh Sitton, Pernell McPhee, Willie Young being among the most difficult because of tangible intangibles that no organization wants to lose.

“Bridge” results

Fox was never intended as a bridge coach but the results point to that function having been served. To exactly what end remains to play out under Nagy and the quarterback whom Ragone and Fox’s handling began developing.

Rick Renteria was one of those “bridge” guys for the Cubs, intended to be part of pulling out of or at least arresting the slide into the Mike Quade-Dale Sveum abyss, and leaving something for Joe Maddon. The late Vince Lombardi effectively served as that, at age 56 and for an unforeseen one-year for a Washington Redskins organization that’d gone 13 years without a winning season before Lombardi’s 1969 and needed a radical reversal. The culture change was realized over the next decade under George Allen and Jack Pardee, much of the success coming with the same players with whom Washington had languished before the culture change.

The Bears were in that state after the two years of Trestman and the three years of GM Phil Emery, certain of whose character-lite veteran player acquisitions (Martellus Bennett, Brandon Marshall) and high-character launchings (Brian Urlacher) had left a palpable pall over Halas Hall. A Fox goal was to eradicate that, which insiders in Lake Forest say privately was accomplished even amid the catastrophic crush of three straight seasons of 10 or more losses, and with injuries at historic levels.

What happens next is in the hands of Nagy and GM Ryan Pace, after a third John Fox franchise turnaround failed to materialize. Or did it? Because much of the core, from Trubisky through the defensive makeover, came on Fox’s watch, like him or not.

“You wish some things would’ve happened differently obviously,” Fox said, “but there was a lot positive that happened.”

2017 Bears position grades: Defensive Line

2017 Bears position grades: Defensive Line

2017 grade: B+

Level of need: Medium

Decisions to be made on: Mitch Unrein (free agent), John Jenkins (free agent)

Possible free agent targets: Jared Crick, Frostee Rucker, Dominique Easley

This unit was consistently the Bears’ best in 2017, with Akiem Hicks playing at a Pro Bowl level (don’t let his exclusion from the game fool you on that) and Eddie Goldman putting together a rock-solid, healthy year. 

Hicks signed a four-year contract extension just before the season began and rewarded the Bears with a dominant year, racking up 8 ½ sacks and 15 tackles for a loss. Goldman played in and started 15 games and was a key reason why the Bears limited opposing rushers to four yards per carry, tied for the 10th-best average in the league. 

But while the Bears’ defensive line was certainly good, it wasn’t as good as it could’ve been. These words from Vic Fangio ring true for Hicks and Goldman:

“I think they all have a lot more to give to us than we’ve seen,” Fangio said. “And it’s our job to get them to improve and become even better players. That will be more important to us than anybody we can acquire between now and whenever our first game is. So, and I know it’s always sexy to talk between now and the first game, you know, who are you going to draft, who’s in free agency, etc., but we’ve got to get our so-called good players playing even better. And that will be critical.”

Hicks will enter Year 3 in Fangio’s scheme, while 2018 will be Goldman’s fourth. It’ll also be a critical year for Jonathan Bullard and Roy Robertson-Harris, who’ve flashed potential at times but haven’t been able to turn that into consistent success on the field. 

And that’s where we begin to look ahead to free agency and the draft. Is the Bears’ evaluation of Bullard -- their 2016 third-round pick -- positive enough to hand him a bigger role in 2018? That’s question No. 1 to answer, with No. 2 then being if the team should try to re-sign Mitch Unrein. 

It may be a bit risky to move forward with Bullard, given how popular Unrein was among the Bears’ defensive coaching staff. 

“He’s one of the glue guys on the defense and the team,” Fangio said last November. “Every team needs a few of those guys who are going to do everything right, full speed, hard and tough all the time, and that’s Mitch.”

Defensive line coach Jay Rodgers offered this up about Unrein back in October: “He allows those guys to play fast,” with “those guys” being Hicks and Goldman. 

Statistically, the 30-year-old Unrein doesn’t  jump off the page, but he did record a career high 2 ½ sacks in 2017. Perhaps there would be some benefits to continuity in the Bears’ base 3-4 defensive line.

Worth noting too is this position isn’t a huge need, given Unrein usually played between 40 and 55 percent of the Bears’ defensive snaps on a per-game basis last year. Keeping Unrein for a relatively low cap hit would make some sense, as opposed to testing free agency to replace him.

Jared Crick is coming off back surgery and an ineffective 2016; Dominique Easley is coming off his third torn ACL this decade; Frostee Rucker is in his mid-30’s. The Bears could look to pick a 3-4 defensive end in April, but that would be a pretty quick re-draft of the position and would be an indication they don’t think much of Bullard. This seems like a position where keeping the status quo is likely, save maybe for replacing John Jenkins with a different backup behind Goldman.