What the Stephen Strasburg deal means for Cubs and Jake Arrieta

What the Stephen Strasburg deal means for Cubs and Jake Arrieta

In the aftermath of Stephen Strasburg’s stunning seven-year, $175 million contract with the Washington Nationals, Theo Epstein confirmed the Cubs aren’t close to any extension announcements that would lock up Jake Arrieta’s future and keep the front office intact. 

“Nope, not with any of our players, nor with myself,” Epstein said before Tuesday’s 8-7 win over against the San Diego Padres at Wrigley Field. “At this point, status quo.” 

While Epstein is in the fifth and final year of his contract – and Arrieta cannot become a free agent until after the 2017 season – the Cubs appear to have a much more cloudy future with their Cy Young Award winner. 

Super-agent Scott Boras – who also represents Arrieta and almost always steers his top clients onto the open market this close to free agency – didn’t follow his own playbook with Strasburg. 

Instead of trying to create a bidding war in December, Strasburg chose the security and comfort of the organization that drafted him No. 1 overall out of San Diego State University in 2009. Plus the chance to opt out as soon as after the 2019 season and cash in again during his early-30s window. Assuming there’s still enough shelf life with his right elbow, about a decade after having Tommy John surgery.  

“You pay attention to everything that goes on in the game, but it doesn’t impact us too much,” Epstein said. “Obviously, it will impact markets and we have to operate in markets. But it is what it is.” 

Chairman Tom Ricketts has essentially said that Epstein should be the highest-paid personnel executive in the game, and right now the president of baseball operations doesn’t really have anywhere else to go that would be this appealing. As much as the Cubs helped him blossom into a No. 1 starter, Arrieta will have options and an unshakable belief in his own talents.  

Boras also can’t go over Epstein’s head and negotiate directly with Ricketts. Beyond the sarcastic “Meet the Parents” and “All-Day Sucker” lines aimed at ownership during the rebuilding years in Wrigleyville, the Ricketts family stays out of baseball decisions and lets Epstein do his job (as opposed to the old power structure around the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park).    

Boras clearly has a relationship with Washington owner Ted Lerner, the billionaire real-estate developer, as well as general manager Mike Rizzo, an old-school scout who grew up in Chicago and drafted Strasburg and Bryce Harper in back-to-back years.     

The Nationals won 98 games in 2012 – shutting down Strasburg that September as a precaution and upsetting parts of the baseball establishment – and another division title in 2014. But a franchise built around so many Boras clients like Jayson Werth and Max Scherzer still hasn’t won a playoff series yet.    

Strasburg, who will turn 28 this summer, has one 200-plus innings season on his resume and showed up in the Cy Young Award voting just once. He’s never posted more than 15 wins or won a playoff game. But this is still a dominant top-of-the-rotation pitcher with upside (59-37, 3.07 ERA, 1.089 WHIP) and those guys get paid.

Boras has used Scherzer’s seven-year, $210 million megadeal – after turning down a reported six-year, $144 million offer to stay with the Detroit Tigers – as a reference point for Arrieta. The Cubs will have to calculate how much risk they are willing to take on with a pitcher who will be 32 on Opening Day 2018.

The Nationals now have Strasburg, Scherzer, Tanner Roark, Joe Ross (Tyson’s younger brother) and Lucas Giolito (Baseball America’s No. 5 prospect heading into this year) all in place through at least the 2019 season. 

That’s when the Cubs could be looking at a rotation filled with question marks, maybe Arrieta in a different uniform, Jon Lester near the end of his $155 million megadeal and John Lackey enjoying retirement.         

“We’ve managed to put together really good pitching staffs,” Epstein said. “That is going to be important for us to continue to do in the future. We spend a lot of time every day working on it, whether it’s assessing guys who are going to be free agents, or assessing trade targets, or figuring out how to get the best out of the guys that we have. 

“The one area where we need to do a better job is developing starting options internally. That will happen in time.” 

The Epstein administration has used 80 draft picks on pitchers since 2012 and none of them have come close to making an impact in the big leagues yet. Rival scouts talk about the lack of high-end pitching talent in the upper levels of the farm system.   

The Cubs already combined two offseasons into one and admitted they won’t be major players in free agency this upcoming winter, when there won’t be any frontline starters available to sign, anyway, with Strasburg now off the board. 

But the Cubs will have hitters to trade, a creative front office and the infrastructure that first identified Arrieta as a change-of-scenery guy languishing in the Baltimore Orioles organization – and helped unleash arguably the best pitcher on the planet.     

“We don’t take that for granted,” Epstein said. “There’s so much attrition with pitching, so much volatility that we know that we could look up at a point – whether it’s two years from now or two weeks from now – where all of a sudden we have a pitching deficit.

“You’re constantly trying to mitigate that and stay prepared. We’ll try to make sure it doesn’t happen. But if it does happen, you have ways out of it.”

Ben Zobrist knows reality of Cubs' crowded lineup: 'There are going to be good players that have to sit on the bench'


Ben Zobrist knows reality of Cubs' crowded lineup: 'There are going to be good players that have to sit on the bench'

MESA, Ariz. — Ben Zobrist has long been known for his versatility on the field. But it might take a new kind of versatility to get through what’s facing him for the 2018 season, being versatile when it comes to simply being on the field.

Zobrist was among several notable Cubs hitters who had a rough go of things at the plate in the follow-up campaign to 2016’s World Series run. He dealt with injuries, including a particularly bothersome one to his wrist, and finished with a career-worst .232/.318/.375 slash line.

And so, with younger guys like Javy Baez, Ian Happ and Albert Almora Jr. forcing their way into Joe Maddon’s lineup, it’s a perfectly valid question to ask: Has the 36-year-old Zobrist — just 15 months removed from being named the World Series MVP — been relegated to part-time status for this championship-contending club?

Obviously that remains to be seen. Joe Maddon has a way of mixing and matching players so often that it makes it seem like this team has at least 12 different “starting” position players. But Zobrist, ever the picture of versatility, seems ready for whatever is coming his way.

“I’m prepared for that, if that’s what it comes to. I told him, whatever they need me to do,” Zobrist said Sunday, asked if he’d be OK with being in a platoon situation. “You’ll see me at some different positions. As far as at-bats, though, I’ve got to be healthy. That was the biggest thing last year that kept me from getting at-bats and being productive. So if I can be healthy, I think I can play the way that I’m capable of, and the discussion then at that point will be, ‘How much can you play before we push you too far?’

“We’ve got a lot of great players, and there are going to be good players that have to sit on the bench on our team at times. But no one ever rusts because you know how Joe uses everybody. You’re still going to play. Even if you don’t start, you’re probably going to play later in the game. It’s just part of the National League and the way Joe Maddon manages.”

It’s no secret, of course, that when Zobrist is on, he’s the kind of player you want in the lineup as much as possible. It was just two seasons ago that he posted a .386 on-base percentage, banged out 31 doubles, smacked 18 home runs and was a starter for the team that won the World Series.

But he also admitted that last year’s injury fights were extremely tough: “Last year was one of the most difficult seasons I’ve ever had as a player.” Zobrist said that while he’s feeling good and ready to go in 2018, with his recent physical ailments and his advancing age, he’s in a different stage in his career.

“At this point in my career, I’m not going to play 158 games or whatever. I’m going to have to manage and figure out how to play great for 130,” he said. “And I think that would be a good thing to shoot for, if I was healthy, is playing 130 games of nine innings would be great. And then you’re talking about postseason, too, when you add the games on top of that, and well, you need to play for the team in the postseason, you’ve got to be ready for that, too.

“From my standpoint, from their standpoint, it’s about managing, managing my performance and my physical body and making sure I can do all that at the highest level, keep it at the highest level I can.”

Maddon’s managerial style means that Zobrist, even if he’s not technically a part of the everyday starting eight, will still get the opportunity to hit on a regular basis, get a chance to play on a regular basis. Baez figures to be locked in as the team’s No. 1 second baseman, but he’ll need days off. Maddon mentioned Sunday that Zobrist, along with Happ, have been practicing at first base in an effort to be able to spell Anthony Rizzo. It’s the crowded outfield where Zobrist could potentially see the most time. He’ll be a piece of that tricky daily puzzle along with Kyle Schwarber, Jason Heyward and the aforementioned Almora and Happ.

Unsurprisingly, in the end that versatility, combined with how Zobrist has recovered physically and whether he can get back to how he’s produced in the past, will determine how much he will play, according to the guy writing out the lineups.

“I think he’s going to dictate that to us based on how he feels,” Maddon said. “Listen, you’re always better off when Ben Zobrist is in your lineup. He’s a little bit older than he had been, obviously, like we all are. I’ve got to be mindful of that, but he’s in great shape. Let’s just see what it looks like. Go out there and play, and we’ll try to figure it out as the season begins to unwind because who knows, he might have an epiphany and turn back the clock a little bit, he looks that good. I want to keep an open mind.

“I want to make sure that he understands we’re going to need him to play a variety of different positions. He’s ready to do it, he’s eager, he’s really ready. He was not pleased with his year last year, took time to reflect upon it and now he’s really been refreshed. So I think you’re going to see the best form of Ben Zobrist right now.”

Two years ago, Zobrist played a big enough role to go to the All-Star Game and get named the MVP of the World Series. In the present, that role might be much, much smaller. But Zobrist said he’s OK with anything, admitting it’s about the number of rings on the fingers and not the number of days in the starting lineup.

“I’m 36 as a player, so I’m just trying to win championships at this point. It’s not really about what I’m trying to accomplish as an individual,” Zobrist said. “Everybody wants to have great seasons, but I’ve told (Maddon), ‘Wherever you need me, I’m ready.’ Just going to prepare to fill the spots that need to be filled and be a great complement to what’s going on.”

Addison Russell is so over 2017: 'That's last year, don't want to talk about that'

Addison Russell is so over 2017: 'That's last year, don't want to talk about that'

MESA, Ariz. — “That’s last year, don’t want to talk about that.”

In other words, Addison Russell is so over 2017.

The Cubs shortstop went through a lot last year. He dealt with injuries that affected his foot and shoulder. He had a well-documented off-the-field issue involving an accusation of domestic abuse, which sparked an investigation by Major League Baseball. And then came the trade speculation.

The hot stove season rarely leaves any player completely out of online trade discussion. But after Theo Epstein admitted there was a possibility the Cubs could trade away one or more young position players to bolster the starting rotation, well, Russell’s name came up.

And he saw it.

“There was a lot of trade talk,” Russell said Saturday. “My initial thoughts were, I hope it doesn’t happen, but wherever I go, I’m going to try to bring what I bring to the table here. It’s a good thing that it doesn’t have to be that way. I’m happy being in a Cubs uniform, I want to be in a Cubs uniform, for sure. But there was some talk out there. If I got traded, then I got traded, but that’s not the case.”

No, it’s not, as the Cubs solved those pitching questions with free-agent spending, bringing in Yu Darvish and Tyler Chatwood to replace the departed Jake Arrieta and John Lackey. It means Russell, along with oft-discussed names like Kyle Schwarber, Ian Happ and Javy Baez, are all still Cubs.

While the outside world might have expected one of those guys to be moved in some sort of blockbuster trade for Chris Archer or some other All-Star arm, the Cubs’ young core remains intact, another reason why they’re as much a favorite to win the World Series as any team out there.

“I’m really not surprised. The core is still here. Who would want to break that up? It’s a beautiful thing,” Russell said. “Javy and I in the middle. Schwarber, sometimes playing catcher but mainly outfield. And then (Kris Bryant) over there in the hot corner, and of course (Anthony) Rizzo at first. You’ve got a Gold Glover in right field (Jason Heyward). It’s really hard to break that up.

“When you do break that down on paper, we’ve got a lineup that could stack up with the best.”

This winter has been about moving on for Russell, who said he’s spent months working to strengthen his foot and shoulder after they limited him to 110 games last season, the fewest he played in his first three big league campaigns.

And so for Russell, the formula for returning to his 2016 levels of offensive aptitude isn’t a difficult one: stay on the field.

“Especially with the injuries, I definitely wanted to showcase some more of my talent last year than I displayed,” Russell said. “So going into this year, it’s mainly just keeping a good mental — just staying level headed. And also staying healthy and producing and being out there on the field.

“Next step for me, really just staying out there on the field. I really want to see what I can do as far as helping the team if I can stay healthy for a full season. I think if I just stay out there on the field, I’m going to produce.”

While the decrease in being on the field meant lower numbers from a “counting” standpoint — the drop from 21 homers in 2016 to 12 last year, the drop from 95 RBIs to 43 can in part be attributed to the lower number of games — certain rate stats looked different, too. His on-base percentage dropped from .321 in 2016 to .304 last year.

Russell also struggled during the postseason, picking up just six hits in 36 plate appearances in series against the Washington Nationals and Los Angeles Dodgers. He struck out 13 times in 10 postseason games.

Of course, he wasn’t alone. That World Series hangover was team-wide throughout the first half of the season. And even though the Cubs scored 824 runs during the regular season, the second most in the National League and the fourth most in baseball, plenty of guys had their offensive struggles: Schwarber, Heyward and Ben Zobrist, to name a few.

“You can’t take anything for granted. So whenever you win a World Series or you do something good, you just have to live in the moment,” Russell said. “It was a tough season last year because we were coming off winning the World Series and the World Series hangover and all that. This year, we had a couple months off, a couple extra weeks off, and I think a lot of guys took advantage of that. I know I did. And now that we’re here in spring training, we’re going to get back at it.”