Fantasy Football: 2016 quarterback sleepers and busts

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If you're drafting a quarterback early, you're doing it all wrong.

Stick to building a more well-rounded team and wait to get your signal-caller until at least Round 5.

The talent pool at the position is insanely deep and unless you end up with one of the top five players we have pictured below, the rest are like comparing apples to apples.

If you use our draft strategy and need some advice on quarterbacks outside the top five, the CSN Fantasy crew offers up some input on who to target, which sleepers to keep an eye on and who to stay away from for the 2016 season.

For specific draft questions, drop us a line on Twitter @CSNFantasy or use #CSNFantasy and we'll give you our take.

Top Targets

Drew Brees, NO: Ahhh, old reliable (and no, that wasn't a crack on his age). Brees has been a top fantasy quarterback for most of our fantasy lives and there is no reason to think that will change in 2016. Yes, he's 37 but that number isn't what it used to be as guys like Brees, Tom Brady and pre-2015 Peyton Manning proved. Last season, Brees had seven games where he tallied at least 300 passing yards and multiple TDs, including his 505-yard, 7-TD game in Week 8. Let everybody else reach for Cam Newton and A-aron Rodgers and snag Brees in the fifth or sixth round to complement the stellar WRs and RBs you can get with your first few picks. — Tony Andracki

Andrew Luck, IND: Take Luck's 2015 season and throw it in the garbage. Luck struggled to stay upright behind a porous offensive line and missed seven games (the only time he's missed during his four-year career). Fully healthy and only 26-years-old, Luck appears poised to deliver a Top 5 fantasy scoring season in a pass-heavy Colts offense with arguably one of the league's best receiving tandems in T.Y. Hilton and the emerging Donte Moncrief. If Luck starts slipping in your draft (very likely because of his injuries last year), don't let him pass you by. — Scott Krinch 

[RELATED: 2016 Fantasy Football running back sleepers and busts]

Sleepers

Derek Carr, OAK: Entering his third NFL season, I'm pegging Carr for a breakout. He has all the tools to become a Top 5 fantasy QB — physical tools, great weapons around him, a good offensive system and a team that will need to rely on him to throw early and often. Carr was fantastic in stretches last season, but lacked consistency in his sophomore campaign. Watch him take a step forward this year as Amari Cooper develops into a star and Clive Walford puts his name on the map. — TA

Jameis Winston, TB: If your strategy is to wait until one of your final picks to grab quarterback, Winston is your guy. Winston was last year's No. 13 fantasy quarterback and somehow comes into the 2016 season as the No. 18-ranked signal-caller. Yes, he's going to throw his fair share of picks, but he's also capable of delivering 30-plus combined touchdowns (he had 28 during his rookie year). Winston is surrounded by a plethora of weapons in Mike Evans, Vincent Jackson, Austin Seferian-Jenkins and Charles Sims. Take a flyer on Winston and you'll be thanking us later. — SK

​[RELATED: 2016 Fantasy Football wide receiver sleepers and busts]

Busts

Carson Palmer, ARI: This isn't a knock on Palmer so much as it is about value. I like Palmer, but at the end of the day, he's 36, he faded badly down the stretch (including in the playoffs) and he's had issues staying healthy in his career. There are so many solid fantasy QBs out there, you don't need to reach for one. But if you get Palmer at the right price, pull the trigger. He fell to me at No. 100 overall (the 11th QB off the board) in our CSN draft, so I had to take that. But that also means I need to make sure to grab a solid backup QB as insurance. — TA

Tyrod Taylor, BUF: Look, I'm not going to bash Taylor because I think he's actually a great fit for the Bills offense. My gripe with him is that he's getting drafted ahead of the likes of Blake Bortles, Philip Rivers, Derek Carr and Kirk Cousins. All four quarterbacks put up more fantasy points than Taylor last year and each guy is surrounded by better weapons on offense (Taylor has Sammy Watkins and a random cast of characters). Owners are going to reach for Taylor because of his 2015 numbers. Don't be that guy. — SK

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