Computer likes Bears to keep pace with Packers on Monday Night - NBC Sports

Computer likes Bears to keep pace with Packers on Monday Night
November 4, 2013, 4:00 pm

The Green Bay Packers are a perfect 8-0 straight up and against the spread in their last eight games as a home favorite and they are big favorites as the Chicago Bears visit Monday night.

The Pack was favored by 10.5 points at most shops monitored by, and nearly six of every 10 wagers were on Aaron Rodgers and Co.

For the second straight season, the Packers got off to a slow start, going 1-2 SU and ATS out of the gate with road losses to San Francisco and Cincinnati. But since that loss to Cincinnati, the Packers are 4-0 SU and ATS.

With the Detroit Lions and the Chicago Bears right on their tail in the NFC North race, the Packers would love to pick up this win Monday night to extend their lead over the rest of the division.

In their last five trips to Green Bay, the Bears are 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS. Since 2011, the Green Bay Packers are 16-1 SU and 14-3 ATS in 17 games against NFC North opponents.

Green Bay has also enjoyed success on Monday night with a 4-1 ATS record over its last five Monday Night Football appearances.

Chicago started off the season 3-0 SU, but entered their bye week last weekend with a 4-3 SU and 1-5-1 ATS record, having lost three of their last four games. Injuries have plagued the Bears on both sides of the ball, with defensive leader LB Lance Briggs and offensive leader QB Jay Cutler both out for Monday night’s game.

Backup Josh McCown is slated to start.

Chicago’s defense has looked nothing like its perennial dominant self, allowing 29.4 points per game.

On paper, this looks to be a pretty good spot for the Green Bay Packers. Green Bay has dominated its division rivals over the last few years and, with Jay Cutler out, the Bears figure to have trouble moving the football.

But as last Monday night’s game between the St. Louis Rams and the Seattle Seahawks reminded us, no double-digit favorite is a sure thing in a division rivalry game in prime time. Chicago will have to come out of the bye with a renewed focus on defense to compete in this one.

Computer Prediction: 33-27 Green Bay, courtesy of the NFL picks computer