Computer projection sees Jets hanging with Pats - NBC Sports

Computer projection sees Jets hanging with Pats
September 12, 2013, 2:00 pm

The OddsShark.com NFL computer successfully predicted there would be several key upsets in Week 1.

It did not successfully predict which games those would be, however. The computer was a pedestrian 9-7 straight up, a money-losing 6-10 against the spread, but made up for some of that badness with a 10-5-1 record picking over-unders.

It will aim to be much better in Week 2 with a full extra week of data to digest and consider.

New England opens the week as a 14-point home favorite against the New York Jets. As in Week 1, the computer predicts a close victory for the Patriots against an inferior foe (22-21) which would fail to cover the number.

More from OddsShark: Seahawks-Niners promises to be fiercely contested

That pick matches the recent trend of the Patriots as a double-digit home favorite. In the past 22 games in this situation, New England bettors won just six times. Say it a different way, betting on the Pats to cover as big home chalk failed 16 times out of 22.

Peyton will beat Eli in the latest Manning Bowl and Denver will also cover the 5-point road spread in a 38-31 win. San Francisco will nudge the Seahawkd, bucking their 1-5 ATS losing skid at Seattle.

Green Bay and Washington will play to a 24.5-24.5 tie (the computer plays with half points, sorry).

And Jacksonville will score more points than the two they got in Week 1 – the computer says they will score three in a 13-3 loss at Oakland.

Week 2 Predictions (NFL odds from Bovada)
RoadScoreHomeScoreHomeATSTotalOU
NY Jets20.8New England21.8-11NYJ45U
Minnesota15.8Chicago28.8-5CHI40.5O
Washington24.5Green Bay24.5-7WAS48O
Carolina10.8Buffalo13.83BUF44.5U
Dallas29.2Kansas City30.20KC46.5O
San Diego26.8Philadelphia35.8-7PHI52.5O
Cleveland14.2Baltimore15.2-6CLE42.5U
St. Louis22.8Atlanta26.8-7STL47.5U
Tennessee18Houston24-8.5TEN42O
Miami24.8Indianapolis21.8-1.5MIA42.5O
New Orleans24.8Tampa Bay17.83NO47U
Detroit37.2Arizona24.20DET48O
Jacksonville3Oakland13-4OAK39.5U
Denver37.8NY Giants30.83.5DEN55.5O
SanFrancisco26.2Seattle25.2-3SF43O
Pittsburgh10.5Cincinnati14.56CIN39.5U

Last week results:

Road Score - Home Score --- HomeLine - Cover --- Total OU

Baltimore 27 - Denver 35.6 --- -7.5 - DEN --- 49.5 O – Final 49-27Denver – Den | OVER

Minnesota 25.9 - Detroit 19.9 --- -5 - MIN --- 47 U – Final 34-24 Detroit – Det | OVER

Cincinnati 25.7 - Chicago 27.4 --- -4 - CIN --- 45 O – Final 24-21 Chicago – Cin | PUSH

Oakland 13.5 - Indianapolis 21.2 --- -10 - OAK --- 49 U – Final 21-17 Indy – Oak | UNDER

Seattle 32 - Carolina 21.1 --- +3.5 - SEA --- 45.5 O – Final 12-7 Seattle – Sea | UNDER

Atlanta 33 - New Orleans 26 --- -3 - ATL --- 54 O – Final 23-17 New Orleans – NO |  UNDER

Kansas City 7.5 - Jacksonville 10 --- +4 - JAC --- 39.5 U- Final 28-2 KC – KC | UNDER

New England 40.2 - Buffalo 20.4 --- +9.5 - NE --- 53 O – Final 23-21 Patriots – Buf | UNDER

Miami 18.1 - Cleveland 15.8 --- PK - MIA --- 41 U – Final 23-10  Miami – Mia | UNDER

Tampa Bay 22.2 - NY Jets 16.6 --- -2.5 - TB --- 41.5 U – Final 18-17 Jets – NYJ | UNDER

Tennessee 13.9 - Pittsburgh 24 --- -6.5 - PIT --- 43.5 U – Final 16-9 Tenn – Tenn | UNDER

Arizona 12.9 - St. Louis 16.5 --- -4 - ARI --- 40 U – Final 27-24 STL – Arizona | OVER

Green Bay 28.5 - San Francisco 30.2 --- -4.5 - GB --- 50.5 O – Final 34-28 SF – SF | OVER

NY Giants 29.5 - Dallas 22.7 --- -3 - NYG --- 49 O – Final 36-31 Dallas – Dallas | OVER

Philadelphia 13.9 - Washington 27.2 --- -3.5 - WAS --- 51 U – Final 33-27 Philly – PHI | OVER

Houston 27.9 - San Diego 22.6 --- +3.5 - HOU --- 46 O – Final 31-28 Houston – SD | OVER