Don't bet against Packers vs. Lions in Green Bay - NBC Sports

Don't bet against Packers vs. Lions in Green Bay
Packers' two-decade dominance over the Lions has been incredible
Reuters
Quarterback Aaron Rodgers will try to lead the Packers past the Lions on Sunday Night Football (on NBC).
December 5, 2012, 3:12 pm

It was Dec. 15, 1991, Aaron Rodgers was 8 years old and QB Erik Kramer was about to lead the Detroit Lions to a 21-17 win at Lambeau Field.

Almost 21 years to the day after that game, when Packer QB Mike Tomczak couldn't quite rally the Packers, the Lions are still trying to get back in the win column at Green Bay.

The Week 14 NFL odds menu sees the Lions as 7-point road underdogs as they try to break a 21-game losing skid at Lambeau. The game is NBC's Sunday Nighter and features a Packers team that is 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS in its past 10 games within the division against a Lions team that is 1-8 SU, 0-8-1 ATS against NFC North foes.

"There are a lot of trends and factors pointing to Green Bay here, but the betting was split almost perfectly down the middle according to our NFL consensus data as of Wednesday," said Jack Randall of OddsShark.com.

"And there was a lot of money pouring in on the OVER 51.5, because of a couple of one-sided total trends."

Indeed, the OVER is 15-5 in the past 20 Packer home games. It's also 13-2-1 in the past 16 Lions road games.

Green Bay improved to 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS over its last seven games with a 23-14 win over the Minnesota Vikings. With the exception of Week 12's somewhat inexplicable 38-10 loss the New York Giants, the Green Bay Packers have been very sharp on both sides of the ball of late.

They are averaging 29 points per game and allowing 18.3 PPG. At 8-4 SU, the Packers are currently tied for first place in the NFC North with the Chicago Bears. (See spreads and totals on all Week 14 games at NBCSports ]

Each of Detroit's last three games has been decided by four points or less, and the Lions have been on the wrong side of all of them. Andrew Luck's late-game heroics last Sunday handed the Lions their fourth straight loss as they fell to 4-8 SU and 4-7-1 ATS on the season.

Detroit's defense has been at the forefront of the Lions problems over their current four-game losing streak, allowing 31.75 points per game over that stretch.

Green Bay's consistent dominance over the Detroit Lions is incredible. The Packers are 13-1 SU and 10-4 ATS over their last 14 games against the Lions overall. They are also a remarkable 21-0 SU and 14-5-2 ATS in their last 21 home games against the Detroit Lions.

History doesn't lie. Neither does the present, which sees one team on a 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS run fighting for a division title and the other team losing four straight (1-3 ATS) and out of the playoff picture.

Expect the status quo in another losing trip to Lambeau for the Lions.

Sunday Night NFL Pick: Green Bay -6.5 (courtesy of PickShark.com )