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Breaking down Sixers' NBA draft lottery odds, scenarios

Breaking down Sixers' NBA draft lottery odds, scenarios

The 2017 NBA draft lottery is upon us.

On Tuesday night, the Sixers will find out where and how many times they will select on June 22. They could have two first-round picks, depending on the ping-pong balls, and four second-round selections.

Let's explore the multiple scenarios the Sixers are facing when the results are revealed in New York City.

The Sixers finished with the fourth-worst record in the NBA (28-54), giving them an 11.9 percent chance of landing the No. 1 pick on their own. 

They also have pick swap rights with the Kings (32-50), who have a 2.8 percent chance of getting the top pick. The Sixers gained those rights from the trade involving Nik Stauskas in 2015. 

Combine those two scenarios and the Sixers have a cumulative 14.7 percent chance of getting No. 1, 15.1 percent chance of No. 2 and 15.4 percent chance of No. 3. 

The Nets (20-62) have the highest chance of all teams at 25.0 percent. Their pick, however, conveys to the Celtics, stemming from the 2013 trade involving Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett. 

The Kings' swap rights have value, but it's the potential of the Lakers' pick that Sixers fans have been eyeing for a while now. The Lakers had the third-worst record (26-56) this season and have a 15.6 percent chance to end up with the No. 1 pick. 

The pick in play was originally acquired in 2015 through the three-team Michael Carter-Williams trade. This year, it is top-three protected. If the Lakers end up with the fourth pick or below, it is heading to Philadelphia. The Sixers have a 53.1 percent chance to get the Lakers' 2017 pick, which becomes unprotected in 2018.

Should the Lakers' pick fall out of the top three, the Sixers have an 8.7 percent chance of having two picks in the top four, a 39.6 percent chance of two picks in the top five, a 52.3 percent chance of two picks in the top six, and a 53.1 percent chance of two picks in the top seven. 

If the Sixers get the No. 1 pick and the Lakers' pick remains top-three protected, it is a win for the Sixers (and perhaps the best-case scenario). They would have first dibs on an impact player and rights to the Lakers' unprotected pick next season. The possibility of guard Markelle Fultz and, barring a major turnaround in L.A., another lottery pick next season? That would be a successful draft. 

Things get interesting when two picks are involved. 

When it comes to multiple selections, the ideal situation for the Sixers would be the first (their own or the Kings) and fourth pick (the Lakers). They could address needs in both the frontcourt and on the wing with players such as Fultz, Lonzo Ball, Josh Jackson, Jayson Tatum and De'Aaron Fox. In selecting two top-five players, the Sixers could really begin to shape their future with these two picks and a foundation of Joel Embiid, Ben Simmons and Dario Saric already in place.

The biggest value of landing two picks, though, could be the trade value. The Sixers have more than enough young pieces to build upon. What they don't have is high-caliber, established talent. 

The Sixers could, as a hypothetical example, package the lower pick with Jahlil Okafor. They have remained open to trading Okafor this offseason and the inclusion of a pick could bolster the return. Instead of spending money in free agency, the Sixers could acquire a targeted, more veteran player through a trade that involves a pick. 

The same train of thought applies if the Sixers get two selections, say, later in the top five or six. Players like Malik Monk and Jonathan Isaac are deservedly lottery picks, but would the Sixers need both at this stage in their development? In order for the Sixers to take the next step, they have to add experience to their roster. In a situation like this, the Sixers could benefit from using one of two picks as a trade piece. 

How will the Sixers' results shake out? Embiid will be representing the team on stage when the order is announced, trusting the draft lottery process.

Give and Go: How will Sixers fare on season-long homestand?

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Give and Go: How will Sixers fare on season-long homestand?

Each week, our resident basketball analysts will discuss some of the hottest topics involving the Sixers.

Running the Give and Go are NBC Sports Philadelphia anchor/reporter Marshall Harris, NBCSportsPhiladelphia.com producer/reporter Paul Hudrick and NBCSportsPhiladelphia.com producer/reporter Matt Haughton.

In this edition, we'll look at whether the Sixers can keep their momentum going during their upcoming six-game homestand.

Harris
At first glance, I thought the Sixers were looking at a winning homestand of 4-2. But with the latest injury to Justin Anderson (out at least three weeks with shin splints), the Sixers’ depth chart at guard could severely cripple those hopes. 

While they start Ben Simmons at point guard and JJ Redick at the shooting guard, the bench is left with only T.J. McConnell, Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot and rookie Furkan Korkmaz.

It’s hard to believe that guard rotation (or even a fully healthy one) would slow down Golden State. That's likely a loss any way you look at it with the Warriors coming off Thursday's loss to Boston.

The Sixers should handle Utah just as they did in Salt Lake City. But after that, the backcourt of Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum will likely be tough to endure.

Orlando should offer a very strong chance at a win. The Magic have cooled off since a 6-2 start. Any team that can lose to the Bulls at home should be beatable by Brett Brown's squad.

The last two games against Cleveland and Washington should be great measuring sticks as top teams in the East. Both the Cavaliers and Wizards have been inconsistent. You'd hope the Sixers would be a little healthier by the last two games on the homestand. It will likely come down to late-game execution and I can see the Sixers earning a split.

So that's a 3-3 homestand from my vantage point with a chance to get a fourth win depending on Joel Embiid's availability. But with six games in 12 days, you have to wonder if "load management" won't play a factor here. So I'll stick with a shorthanded 3-3, accounting for the possibility of a JoJo no-show.

Hudrick
Unfortunately, the home stand will likely start with an L to the Warriors. As Marshall eluded to, the Warriors are coming off a loss on Thursday. That does not bode well for the Sixers.

The team has been playing at such a high level. Here’s the crazy thing though: they went 3-2 on a West Coast trip where JJ Redick and Dario Saric, two extremely important cogs in the Sixers’ lineup, contributed very little. 

Redick will right the ship. He has the track record. Sometimes, you’re just off. If it’s a mechanical issue, you know Redick will get it figured out. Saric’s struggles are likely the result of a role change and fatigue from playing so much basketball. While he doesn’t have the track record of Redick, I expect Saric to bounce back as well. 

Still, the Sixers are up against a gauntlet. After Saturday’s matchup with Golden State, the team hosts the Jazz, Trail Blazers and Magic before wrapping the home stand against the Wizards and Cavs. In my eyes, that’s three very winnable games and three extremely challenging contests. If they go 3-3, there would be nothing to be upset about.

But I think they pull out one of the games against the Wizards or Cavs and they go 4-2 over the next six games at the Wells Fargo Center.

Haughton
This is tricky because it combines how well the Sixers are currently playing with the level of competition set to enter the Wells Fargo Center.

On the Sixers’ end, things couldn’t be much better. The team capped off the five-game road trip with an exclamation mark as Joel Embiid put on a show for the ages against the Clippers and Lakers in Los Angeles. More importantly, the Sixers finished the trip with a 3-2 mark (should have been 4-1 if not for the “rogue” moment in Sacramento). Either way, the Sixers are in a solid position as they return to the Wells Fargo Center for the first time in just over two weeks.

As for the opponents, there aren’t any real slouches on the slate. The only team the Sixers will face below the .500 mark is the Rudy Gobert-less Utah Jazz, who they already took care of on the road.

Things get started with the champion Golden State Warriors, who had won seven straight prior to Thursday’s loss to Boston. The Sixers will also face Damian Lillard, C.J. McCollum and the Portland Trail Blazers before a date with the surprising Orlando Magic. They finish off the home stretch with Eastern Conference heavyweights Cleveland and Washington.

I would say a split would be more than acceptable for the Sixers, but I’ll get a bit greedy and say the young squad feeds off the home crowd’s energy to go 4-2 during the stint with losses only to the Warriors and Cavaliers.

Best of NBA: Spurs overcome 23-point deficit to beat Thunder

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Best of NBA: Spurs overcome 23-point deficit to beat Thunder

SAN ANTONIO -- LaMarcus Aldridge had 26 points and the San Antonio Spurs overcame a 23-point deficit to beat the Oklahoma City Thunder 104-101 on Friday night.

Danny Green added 17 points, and Pau Gasol had 14 points to help San Antonio end Oklahoma City's three-game winning streak.

Aldridge put back of Green's missed 3-pointer gave the Spurs a 102-99 lead with 24.2 seconds remaining.

The Thunder missed two 3-pointers on the ensuing possession, but Carmelo Anthony tracked down a second offensive rebound and made a 25-footer with his foot on the 3-point line to cut the lead to 102-101.

Gasol made two free throws, and Russell Westbrook stumbled to the court and threw up an airball on a 3-point attempt.

Anthony had 20 points to lead the Thunder. Westbrook was held to 15 points after scoring 10 in the opening period. He was 5 for 22 from the field (see full recap).

LeBron scores 39 as Cavs rally past Clippers in OT
CLEVELAND -- LeBron James scored 39 points, Kevin Love added 25 and the Cleveland Cavaliers won their fourth straight, 118-113 in overtime on Friday night over the skidding Los Angeles Clippers, who dropped their seventh in a row.

Love drained a pair of 3-pointers in OT, when the Cavs outscored the Clippers 13-8. Dwyane Wade added 23 points and 11 rebounds for Cleveland.

The Cavs' win wasn't eye-pleasing, but it was another step in the right direction for the Eastern Conference champions, who went 3-1 on a just-completed road trip.

The Clippers are headed the other way. Los Angeles has lost nine of 10 since a 4-0 start.

Blake Griffin scored 23 and DeAndre Jordan had 20 points and 22 rebounds for Los Angeles, which didn't give up the lead until the first minute of overtime. The Clippers had chances to put the Cavs away in regulation, but they didn't execute down the stretch and then had defensive breakdowns in overtime (see full recap).

Bulls overcome Walker’s 47 points to snap skid
CHICAGO -- Justin Holiday had 27 points and the Chicago Bulls beat the skidding Charlotte Hornets 123-120 on Friday night, overcoming a 47-point outburst by Kemba Walker to snap their five-game losing streak.

Walker finished five points shy of his career high but missed a driving layup with Charlotte trailing by one in the closing seconds.

Lauri Markkanen then hit two free throws to make it 123-120 with 2.6 seconds left, securing the Bulls' third win in 13 games this season. Charlotte has dropped six straight.

Last in the NBA in scoring and field goal percentage, Chicago shot 52 percent and hit 17 of 34 3-pointers.

Holiday and Denzel Valentine, who had 18 points, each sank four from long range. Kris Dunn scored 22, Markkanen added 16 and the Bulls came out on top after a tense finish.

Charlotte's Michael Kidd-Gilchrist rebounded a missed shot by Chicago's Robin Lopez with about 10 seconds left. After a timeout, a driving Walker was bothered by a rotating Markkanen as Walker tried to put the Hornets ahead (see full recap).