The Tipping Points for the Eagles' Defense

The Tipping Points for the Eagles' Defense

When the Eagles' defense holds the opponent to 19 points or less, their record is 6-0 -- 21 points or more, it's 0-8.

On face value, that's pretty damning for Juan Castillo, even though critics are pondering whether the defensive coordinator saved his job after his unit had dominant outings in consecutive weeks. As an aside, I find it curious how two games could completely change the narrative about Juan -- one, the Dolphins were seriously handicapped by injuries, and two, where were those stories after the defense shut down Washington and Dallas back to back? Sometimes the media are even more fickle than the fans. Rant over.

Getting back on track, we were alluding to there being something more to the story, and there is. Over/under 20 points has not been the only "tipping point" for the Birds this season, meaning a statistical threshold that determines when a games is likely to either be won or lost. In games the Eagles' defense holds the opponent to 19 points or less, the offense is averaging two turnovers; 21 points or more, the offense is averaging three turnovers.

I've been trying to tell you guys the Eagles' defense isn't that bad all season. Maybe I was too verbose, or maybe I needed to do a better job of connecting the dots. Today, we put the numbers in a better position to explain.

The Eagles are 4-3 in games where they commit two turnovers or less. In those seven games, the defense is allowing 18.9 points per game.

The Eagles are 2-5 in games where they commit three turnovers or more. In those seven games, the defense is allowing 23.6 points per game.

The data should come as no surprise. The Eagles have led the NFL in turnovers for essentially the entire season. Turnovers put additional pressure on defenses. The offense doesn't put points on the board. Very often the defense is left to defend a short field. The momentum swings. The odds of an offense scoring increase with every yard closer they start to the end zone, just like the odds of a football team winning decrease with every turnover the offense commits.

We can nudge the data even further to accommodate our point by removing the outliers. The Eagles committed three turnovers against the Giants in November, but still limited New York to 10 points. Conversely, the Patriots hung 38 on the defense, while the offense only gave the ball away once. Now the defense allows 25.8 PPG when the offense has three-plus turnovers, and they allow 15.7 PPG when offense is at two or fewer.

Too often the offense has put the defense in precarious positions. So many of this season's losses hinge on a turnover, but when Juan Castillo's troops don't lock it up at the end -- personnel, by the way, that is questionable or new at several key positions -- Juan takes all the blame.

I don't know if he saved his job, but I do know Juan Castillo hasn't received a fair shake.

NBC Sports Philadelphia Internship - Advertising/Sales

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NBC Sports Philadelphia Internship - Advertising/Sales

Position Title: Intern
Department: Advertising/Sales
Company: NBC Sports Philadelphia
# of hours / week: 10 – 20 hours

Deadline: November 20

Basic Function

This position will work closely with the Vice President of Sales in generating revenue through commercial advertisements and sponsorship sales. The intern will gain first-hand sales experience through working with Sales Assistants and AEs on pitches, sales-calls and recapping material.

Duties and Responsibilities

• Assist Account Executive on preparation of Sales Presentations
• Cultivate new account leads for local sales
• Track sponsorships in specified programs
• Assist as point of contact with sponsors on game night set up and pre-game hospitality elements.
• Assist with collection of all proof of performance materials.
• Perform Competitive Network Analysis
• Update Customer database
• Other various projects as assigned

Requirements

1. Good oral and written communication skills.
2. Knowledge of sports.
3. Ability to work non-traditional hours, weekends & holidays
4. Ability to work in a fast-paced, high-pressure environment
5. Must be 19 years of age or older
6. Must be a student in pursuit of an Associate, Bachelor, Master or Juris Doctor degree
7. Must have unrestricted authorization to work in the US
8. Must have sophomore standing or above
9. Must have a 3.0 GPA

Interested students should apply here and specify they're interested in the ad/sales internship.

About NBC internships

Best of NHL: Maple Leafs hand Kings 1st regulation loss of season

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Best of NHL: Maple Leafs hand Kings 1st regulation loss of season

TORONTO -- Frederik Andersen made 36 saves, and the Toronto Maple Leafs handed the Los Angeles Kings their first regulation loss of the season with a 3-2 victory on Monday night.

Matt Martin, Tyler Bozak and Patrick Marleau scored for the Maple Leafs (7-2-0). Mitch Marner added two assists.

Toronto has won at least seven of its first nine games for the first time since the 1993-94 season and just the seventh time overall in franchise history.

Adrian Kempe and Trevor Lewis scored for Los Angeles (6-1-1), which had won four in a row. Jonathan Quick stopped 31 shots.

Toronto defenseman Roman Polak made his season debut after signing a $1.1 million, one-year deal on Sunday. He had one assist and played 12-plus minutes (see full recap).

Couture, Jones lead Sharks past struggling Rangers
NEW YORK -- Logan Couture had a goal and an assist, Martin Jones stopped 33 shots and the San Jose Sharks beat the struggling New York Rangers 4-1 on Monday night.

Tim Heed, Joonas Donskoi and Melker Karlsson also scored to help the Sharks win for the third time in four games. Jones got his fourth straight win after losing his first two starts.

Mika Zibanejad scored and Henrik Lundqvist finished with 20 saves for the Rangers, who fell to 2-6-2 on the season. New York finished 0 for 6 on the power play and is 3 for 25 over the last six games.

With the Sharks leading 3-0 after two periods, Couture took the puck away from Lundqvist behind the goal and sent it to Karlsson, who put it in for his second of the season at 2:51 of the third. Couture got his 200th career assist on the play.

San Jose turned the puck over in its defensive zone and Zibanejad snapped a shot into the top right corner to spoil Jones' shutout bid at 4:23 of the final period (see full recap).