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How low can the Redskins’ first-round pick go?

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How low can the Redskins’ first-round pick go?

If the season ended today (it doesn’t), the Redskins would draft 15th in the first round. If they lose to the Giants, their pick could go up as high as No. 13, depending on the results of other games. But if they win, an unlikely but possible combination of results could push their first pick all the way up to 19th.

The first thing to look at is the records of the teams who are near them in the draft order. The Redskins are 7-8 as are the Cardinals and Packers. Because of the one and only tiebreaker for draft order, which we’ll get into in a minute, the Redskins are slotted behind those teams.


Just behind the Redskins at 8-7 are four other teams. If the Redskins win on Sunday to and the 8-7 teams, which are the Chargers (who are at home vs. the Raiders), Cowboys (@ Eagles), Bills (@ Dolphins), and Lions (vs. Packers) all lose, the Redskins would slide all the way back to No. 19 in the first round.

Wait, what? Why would the Redskins fall behind the Chargers, who beat them, and the Cowboys, who beat them twice? Because while head-to-head results mean everything when it comes to sorting out playoff berths, they mean nothing when it comes to figuring out the draft order.

The one and only tiebreaker for draft position is strength of schedule. If two or more teams have the same record, the team with the strongest schedule picks last in that group. Everyone who has paid attention this season knows that the Redskins have played one of the toughest schedules in the NFL, with 10 games against teams that currently have winning records.

In fact, Washington played the strongest schedule in the NFL so far this year. And while the numbers will change after each team plays its final game, the Redskins can’t end up with a lower SOS than any of the other potential 8-8 teams.

That means that the Redskins would pick behind any other team that finishes 8-8. So if, say, the Cowboys lose and the Redskins and the other 8-7 teams win, Washington would pick 16th in the first round. For each loss registered by the other 8-7 teams, the Redskins slide back one more slot. If all four lose, they go to 19th.


The chances are that not all of the 8-7 teams will lose. The Chargers and Bills both need wins to keep their playoff hopes alive. The Eagles may rest starters or at least pull them early. The Lions are at home against Brett Hundley. So it’s possible that the Redskins could win and stay right where they are.

In any case, now you know the situation and you can choose to root for whatever team playing in MetLife Stadium on New Year’s Eve you want to.

Stay up to date on the Redskins. Rich Tandler covers the team 365 days a year. Like his Facebook page and follow him on Twitter @TandlerNBCS.


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Josh Norman wears a kilt during Scotland trip and it's hilarious (VIDEO)


Josh Norman wears a kilt during Scotland trip and it's hilarious (VIDEO)

Josh Norman traveled to Scotland as part of an NFL promotional trip, and in turn, Josh Norman wore a kilt. 

It's awesome. 

Norman, along with Broncos wideout Emmanuel Sanders, decided to give the traditional Scottish formal attire a try, and the results were spectacular.

Norman even broke out in a tradional Scottish jig, sending the folks in the Glasgow audience into a frenzy.

Norman likes to have fun, and though the 2017 season didn't provide him many opportunities to do so, he's taking advantage while overseas. After Glasgow, Norman and the NFL crew went to Manchester, England, where he caught up with old friend and Manchester United star Paul Pogba for a jersey exchange.

Remember, Pogba hung out with the Redskins when the team played in London in 2016, and joined the Redskins Extra crew after the game. 

Plenty more cool pictures and videos from Norman's trip available via @NFLUK.

Want more Redskins? Click here to follow JP on Facebook and check out @JPFinlayNBCS for live updates via Twitter! Click here for the #RedskinsTalk on Apple Podcastshere for Google Play or press play below. Don't forget to subscribe!

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Need to Know: Five potential Redskins first-round draft picks

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Need to Know: Five potential Redskins first-round draft picks

Here is what you need to know on this Wednesday, January 17, 56 days before NFL free agency starts.


Days until:

—NFL franchise tag deadline (3/6) 48
—NFL Draft (4/26) 99
—2018 NFL season starts (9/9) 235

Five possible Redskins first-round draft picks

As you can see from the “Days until” counter above, the NFL draft is 99 days away. A lot will happen between now and then but let’s look at some prospects who will fit the Redskins and who should be available at pick No. 13.

ILB Roquan Smith, Georgia—If you watched Georgia at all during the national semifinals or finals, you had to be impressed with his instincts, speed, hard hitting, and solid tackling. Even if free agent Zach Brown stays, the Redskins could pair him up with Smith and have a dynamic pair of inside linebackers for the first time since they started running the 3-4 in 2010. The problem for the Redskins is that his high-profile performances in those big game may have pushed Smith into the top 10.

QB Baker Mayfield, Oklahoma—A quarterback should be the choice early in the draft unless Kirk Cousins is signed to a long-term deal. Mayfield is an unconventional type of QB at about 6-1. There’s a lot to like about him, though—mobility, playmaking ability, and deep ball accuracy. He seems to have learned from his off-field mistakes, including an arrest about a year ago (apparently for yelling). In any case, if he is on the Redskins’ radar they will thoroughly vet him between now and draft day. Other QB possibilities are Josh Allen of Wyoming and Lamar Jackson of Louisville.

WR Calvin Ridley, Alabama—Hey, why not another wide receiver, which would be the second one in the first round in three years, and another member of the Crimson Tide after taking Alabama players 1-2 in 2017. I know that people would cringe at another round 1 WR, but after Terrelle Pryor flamed out last year it certainly is a need. Ridley would represent a solid value at No. 13.

DL Vita Vea, Washington—This pick would solve a couple of problems. At 6-4, 332 Vea has the size and strength needed to play nose tackle, solving another problem that has been around since 2010. What might make him worth a first-round pick is that he doesn’t have to go to the bench in nickel. Vea is versatile enough to rush the passer and play three downs. Start a line with Vea, Jonathan Allen, and Matt Ioannidis, mix in a few quality rotational players, and get Jim Tomsula to coach them up and you will have a top-notch D-line. As of right now, Vea is considered to be more of a late first-round player but a lot can change in the next 99 days.

RB Derrius Guice, LSU—Dreams of getting Saquon Barkley at No. 13 are just that and trading up far enough to get him would cost way too much draft capital. But Guice is a good mix of speed, power, agility, and receiving ability. With the exception of Alfred Morris’ first couple of seasons, the Redskins have been ordinary at best since the prime of Clinton Portis a decade ago. Many were impressed with Sony Michel of Georgia, who could be available in the second round.

Stay up to date on the Redskins. Rich Tandler covers the team 365 days a year. Like his Facebook page and follow him on Twitter @TandlerNBCS.

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