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MLB Wild Card Standings: Projecting the standings with three days left

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USA TODAY Sports

MLB Wild Card Standings: Projecting the standings with three days left

With the MLB postseason only five days away and three more days in the regular season the playoff field is almost set.

After Thursday night’s action, the St. Louis Cardinals were eliminated from the second Wild Card spot in the National League. Their 2-1 loss to the Cubs put them too far out of reach of the Rockies.

In the American League the AL East race is all but done after the Yankees lost on Thursday.

RELATED: NEW MLB BRACKET PROJECTION WITH ONE WEEK TO GO

AMERICAN LEAGUE

Not too many changes in the American League race after yesterday.

The New York Yankees (89-70) lost to the Tampa Bay Rays 9-6 at home after entering the day only three games back in the division. While the Boston Red Sox (92-67) lost too, three games to surpass is too much for even the Bronx Bombers to overcome.

It will be interesting though to watch both teams sweat. Boston hosts the Houston Astros who are trying to overtake the Indians for the top seed in the AL. New York hosts division rivals Toronto.

The Minnesota Twins (83-76) lost to the Indians after allowing 10 hits in the contest. Win or lose it does not matter how they end the season because they will be the No. 5 seed and the visitors in the American League Wild Card Game. Presumably it will be against the Yankees.

AL WILD CARD RACE (AS OF SEPT 29):

New York Yankees:     +6.0 
Minnesota Twins:           ---
 

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Colorado was off on Thursday night in preparation for their final series of the year against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The Milwaukee Brewers (84-75) did manage to gain a half game with their nail biting 4-3 win over the Reds. Brett Phillips hit a go-ahead double in the sixth inning and the final three frames remained scoreless for both squads.

They now move to two games back of the Colorado Rockies (86-73) with three games to go.

Colorado will host their final series against the Dodgers. Milwaukee is traveling to the St. Louis Cardinals (82-77) for their final three games. St. Louis is now out of contention, four games out of the final Wild Card spot.

FanGraphs.com now has Colorado at a 93.3 percent chance of taking the final postseason spot.  Milwaukee moved up slightly to 6.7 percent.

MORE NATS: WALK-OFF FOR THE NATS, COURTESY OF DE AZA

NL WILD CARD RACE (AS OF SEPT 29):

#4 Arizona Diamondbacks:  +6.0
Colorado Rockies:                   ---
Milwaukee Brewers:              -2.0

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MLB Wild Card Standings: Projecting the standings with four days left

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USA Today Sports

MLB Wild Card Standings: Projecting the standings with four days left

CLICK HERE FOR THE LATEST UPDATE ON THE AMERICAN LEAGUE AND NATIONAL LEAGUE WILD CARD RACES

Wednesday night was key in determining the final teams that will be playing in the MLB Postseason. A Wild Card spot was clinched and another is all but over.

Beating the Cardinals 5-1 in St. Louis, the Chicago Cubs claimed the National League Central crown for back-to-back seasons. Now only the American League East remains the only undecided division.

The Twins also will be heading to the MLB postseason this year due to a loss by the Angels against the Chicago White Sox. Minnesota will take the second Wild Card spot in the American League.

While their continues to be battles for positioning and home field in the American League, playoff races are all but over in baseball.

Only one spot in the postseason remains open and that is the second Wild Card in the National League, which is currently occupied by the Rockies.

NEW MLB BRACKET PROJECTION WITH ONE WEEK TO GO

AMERICAN LEAGUE

Unable to take the second Wild Card after their 4-2 loss in Cleveland, the Minnesota Twins (83-75) had to wait for the Los Angeles Angels (78-80) to lose. Going into extra innings, the Angels eventually fell to the White Sox 6-4

Nicky Delmonico hit a walk-off two-run home run in the tenth inning for Chicago. Sending the White Sox’s division rival to the postseason for the first time since 2010.

Delmonico’s long ball would also end any hope for the Angels to make the postseason.

Minnesota cannot catch New York and are locked to be the visiting team in the AL Wild Card game on Tuesday, Oct. 2.

There are still two races that remain in the American League. Both the AL East and American League home field is still open.

The New York Yankees (89-69) did not gain any ground on the Boston Red Sox (92-66), with both teams winning on Tuesday. Still ahead by three games, the Red Sox’s magic number for the East division is two with four games to go.

In no relation to the Wild Card, Cleveland and Houston are in a heated battle for the top seed and home field in the American League. The Indians are only one game ahead of the Astros. Tiebreaker would go to Cleveland if the two teams were to remain tied at the end of the year.

AL WILD CARD RACE (AS OF SEPT 28):

New York Yankees:     +6.0 
Minnesota Twins:           ---
 

NATIONAL LEAGUE

In short, the Rockies won, Brewers lost, and Cardinals lost.

On Wednesday, the Colorado Rockies (86-73) solidified the spot as the potential third NL West team heading into the postseason. Meeting up with another big hitting team, them and the Marlins combined for 24 runs in a single game. The Rockies won the dual and might as well take the Wild Card with them.

Being shut out, at home by the Reds, the Milwaukee Brewers (83-75) have nearly killed their shot at the MLB postseason. Now back by 2.5 games, it is a dire situation by Milwaukee after such a promising first half of the year.

Colorado’s series with the Padres is done and today is the final off day of the regular season for them. Up next are the Dodgers who currently have nothing to play after wrapping up the No. 1 seed and holding a 2.5 game lead over Cleveland for overall home field in the World Series. Milwaukee finishes their series with the Reds tonight before traveling to St. Louis for three games to end the year.

The tiebreaker between the two teams would go the way of Colorado if they were to tie at the end of the regular season.

The St. Louis Cardinals (82-76) are holding on to dear life after falling to the Cubs last night. Now back 3.5 games, the Cardinals have to win every game the remainder of the way. First it’s the Cubs again tonight, then three against the Brewers.

Updating odds on the NL Wild Card, FanGraphs.com has Colorado at a 95.2 percent chance of taking the final postseason spot.  Milwaukee, shot their chances, falling to only 4.0 percent and St. Louis has a faint 0.7 percent to claim the second Wild Card.

MORE NATS: DUSTY BAKER IS NOT LOOKING AHEAD TO CUBS, WANTS TO FINISH SEASON STRONG

NL WILD CARD RACE (AS OF SEPT 28):

#4 Arizona Diamondbacks:  +6.0
Colorado Rockies:                   ---
Milwaukee Brewers:              -2.5
St. Louis Cardinals:               -3.5    

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MLB Wild Card Standings: Projecting the standings with five days left

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MLB Wild Card Standings: Projecting the standings with five days left

CLICK HERE FOR THE LATEST UPDATE ON THE AMERICAN LEAGUE AND NATIONAL LEAGUE WILD CARD RACES

In the span of a couple of games on Tuesday night, one MLB postseason race was re-ignited, one was almost wrapped up, and one saw no changes in the standings.

The Minnesota Twins rallied after trailing the AL-best Cleveland Indians 6-4 heading into the eighth inning. Brian Dozier delivered a pivotal three-run opposite-field homerun to put the Twins on top and have the team one win away from the postseason.

Surprisingly the American League East has re-opened up their battle after it appeared the Red Sox had taken care of business last weekend. The Yankees are riding a two-game winning streak while Boston has lost two straight.

In the race for the second Wild Card in the National League, all three teams won, essentially changing nothing as they move to five games away from the playoffs.

Only three postseason spots remain with six teams alive in the race.

NEW MLB BRACKET PROJECTION WITH ONE WEEK TO GO

AMERICAN LEAGUE

With the Minnesota Twins (83-74) improbable victory on Tuesday, three teams saw their postseason hopes dashed. The Kansas City Royals, Tampa Bay Rays, and Texas Rangers will not be competing in the 2017 postseason.

Relying on multiple Twins losses the rest of the way, the Los Angeles Angels (78-79) did not gain any ground on Minnesota for the second Wild Card in the American League. The Angels took care of the White Sox handily with a six-run second inning in a 9-3 win. But with the Twins victory, that many anticipated would be a loss, Los Angeles is five games back.

Minnesota can clinch the second Wild Card berth out-right on Wednesday night with either a win over Cleveland or a loss by the Angels in Chicago.

Now seen as an after-thought in the American League Wild Card race, the New York Yankees (88-69) are guaranteed at least one home game in this year’s postseason. The team can place no worse than fourth in the American League bracket after a 6-1 win over Tampa Bay. Chasing the Boston Red Sox (91-66) for the AL East title, the Yankees are only three games back with five games to go. 

AL WILD CARD RACE (AS OF SEPT 27):

New York Yankees:     +5.0 
Minnesota Twins:           ---
Los Angeles Angels:     -5.0                     
 

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Based on Tuesday’s results, the National Wild Card race saw little changes. One difference now though is how the race will play out in the final weekend.

Besides the Twins upsetting the Indians, the biggest shock of the night was the St. Louis Cardinals (82-75) holding on to beat the Chicago Cubs. Although out of the NL Central race, the Cardinals nabbed a crucial victory to stay within striking distance of the Rockies. Still a tough task ahead with the Cubs up for two more games.

Getting back in the win column, the Colorado Rockies (85-73) shutout the Marlins and the Milwaukee Brewers (83-74) held off the Reds.

Keep in mind that even though the Rockies have a decent 1.5 game advantage, they do face the Los Angeles Dodgers after two more games against the Marlins. However, the Dodgers claimed the No. 1 seed in the National League last night and seem to just be cruising to the postseason. Also the Cardinals and Brewers finish with a three-game series in St. Louis.

Entering today, FanGraphs.com has Colorado projected to win the second Wild Card spot at 74.1 percent.  Milwaukee, who still technically in the NL Central race, but five games back, sits at 18.9 percent. Rounding out the race, St. Louis has a mere 6.9 percent to claim the second Wild Card.

NL WILD CARD RACE (AS OF SEPT 27):

#4 Arizona Diamondbacks:  +6.0
Colorado Rockies:                   ---
Milwaukee Brewers:              -1.5              
St. Louis Cardinals:               -2.5