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Best-case and worst-case scenarios for the Redskins' 2014 draft picks

Best-case and worst-case scenarios for the Redskins' 2014 draft picks

As the Redskins’ eight draft picks take the first steps in their NFL careers there is plenty of optimism about the career prospects for each of them. But history tells us that some of them will work out and some of them will not. Here is how I see the best-case scenario for each draft pick and what the worst that could happen during their NFL careers (barring injury in both cases).

OLB Trent Murphy

Best—Murphy has a steady part-time role on defense, gets four sacks, and becomes a key special teams player. In 2015 Brian Orakpo moves on and Murphy becomes a starter, eventually becoming an eight to 10 sack per year player, making several other big plays each season.

Worst—He really can’t get a foothold on defense and plays just a few dozen snaps during the year. That’s not enough production for the organization and they spend big to bring Orakpo back. Murphy develops into a special teams demon but only gets a few sacks a year due to an irregular role on defense.

OT Morgan Moses

Best—Moses beats out Tyler Polumbus for the starting job at some point before the second half of the season. He becomes a very solid player and while fans annually wonder why he’s not picked for the Pro Bowl but the truth is that he’s not quite good enough. Moses and Trent Williams are bookends on the line for the next six seasons.

Worst—Polumbus holds on to the starting job and Moses plays very little. Polumbus leaves as a free agent after the season but the Redskins don’t quite feel that Moses is good enough to slide into the right tackle spot. They use their first-round pick on a “sure thing” at tackle and Moses is a reserve for his career.

OL Spencer Long

Best—One of the interior lineman misses a few weeks of training camp with an injury, Long steps in, and can’t be unseated. His relentless play and nasty streak makes him a fan favorite for the next 10 years.

Worst—Long doesn’t get an opportunity to get on the field this year and the interior of the line plays well. The starters are all under contract through 2015 and Long can’t crack the lineup.

DB Bashaud Breeland

Best—Tracy Porter can’t stay healthy and Breeland steps in to the nickel role. After a couple of years, DeAngelo Hall retired and Breeland takes over as the starter.

Worst—His physical style of play leads to him getting too many penalty flags thrown against him. Special teams play keeps him in the league for a while but he never earns a steady role on defense.

WR Ryan Grant

Best—He makes the 53-man roster and after being inactive for a few weeks his ability to get open during practice makes it impossible to keep him off the field. Grant lines up in some four-receiver sets. Throughout his career he’s one of those guys who doesn’t make very many catches but it seems that every catch either comes in a critical situation or is worthy of a SportsCenter highlight.

Worst—His smarts can’t overcome his lack of speed. He spends on 2014 season on the practice squad and he can never establish himself on the 53-man roster.

RG Lache Seastrunk

Best—He performs well enough in training camp and the preseason to warrant getting several carries per game. Between now and the 2015 season he learns pass protection and receiving well enough to become a solid third-down back for the next several years.

Worst—His big-play ability is negated by his inability to perform his role when he doesn’t get the football. Seastrunk spends his career as more of a novelty than a consistent weapon.

TE Ted Bolser

Best—He is, in the words of Jay Gruden, a true “war daddy” on kick coverage and that gets him a spot on the 53. He develops into a passable alternative to Jordan Reed for the occasional game that Reed might miss due to injuries.

Worst—Bolser spends the 2014 season on the practice squad. In the second round of next year’s draft the Redskins take a tight end that is just too good to pass up and Bolser rarely plays on offense.

K Zach Hocker

Best—He consistently booms kickoffs out of the end zone and the team has to carve out a spot on the 53-man roster for him. Kai Forbath sufferers another leg injury during the season and Hocker does well filling in for him. Next year, Hocker wins a full-out kicking competition.

Worst—His kickoffs are good but some injury situations at other roster spots make it impossible to keep him on the roster. He gets an occasional tryout and is in training camp with NFL teams for the next couple of years but he never really catches on.

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Redskins add another ex-Cowboy as they sign CB Orlando Scandrick

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Redskins add another ex-Cowboy as they sign CB Orlando Scandrick

The Redskins seem to love former Cowboys. They signed another one today.

Mike Garafolo of NFL Media is reporting that Washington has agreed to terms with cornerback Orlando Scandrick. The early numbers put the contract at up to $10 million over two years.

Scandrick, 31, has played for the Cowboys since they made him a fifth-round pick in the 2008 draft. In nine seasons in the league, Scandrick has eight interceptions and seven forced fumbles.

He has been plagued by injuries the last three years. Scandrick was out for the entire 2015 season with a torn ACL. In 2016 he missed four games with a hamstring injury and he finished last season on injured reserve with a back injury. Whether his struggles last year were due to injuries or age remains to be seen.

Scandrick joins Nosh Norman, Quinton Dunbar, Fabian Moreau, and Josh Holsey at cornerback for the Redskins. Holsey is the only natural slot corner in the group and he played very sparingly as a rookie last year. Scandrick likely will fill the slot role until Holsey is ready.

We will see what the signing costs in terms of salary cap impact when we see the details of the contract. The phrase “up to” generally means that there are incentives included in the deal so we will have to see.

In recent years, the Redskins have signed former Cowboys defensive linemen Stephen Bowen, Jason Hatcher, and Terrell McClain.


Stay up to date on the Redskins. Rich Tandler covers the team 365 days a year. Like his Facebook page and follow him on Twitter @TandlerNBCS.


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Redskins guarantee Alex Smith a whopping $71 million in new contract

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Redskins guarantee Alex Smith a whopping $71 million in new contract

When the Redskins traded for Alex Smith on January 30, news also broke that he had agreed to a four-year extension with Washington in addition to the one year left on his contract with the Chiefs. While we got some top-line numbers on the deal, we have gone since then without any details.

Until now.

The details show a deal that has a slightly higher cap hit in 2018 than was on his original Chiefs contract and the numbers rise gradually over the life of the deal, which runs through 2022. The top line numbers are five years, $111 million, an average annual value of $22.2 million per year. 


Smith got a $27 million signing bonus and his salaries for 2018 ($13 million) and 2019 ($15 million) also are fully guaranteed at signing making the total $55 million (information via Over the Cap, which got data from a report by Albert Breer).

But there is another $16 million that is guaranteed for all practical purposes. On the fifth day of the 2019 league year, his 2020 salary of $16 million becomes fully guaranteed. He almost assuredly will get to the point where that money will become guaranteed since the Redskins are not going to cut him after one year having invested $55 million in him. So the total guarantees come to $71 million.

His 2021 salary is $19 million and it goes up to $21 million in 2022. There have been reports of some incentives available to Smith, but since we have no details, we’ll set those aside for now.

The cap hits on the contract are as follows:

2018: $18.4 million
2019: $20.0 million
2020: $21.4 million
2021: $24.4 million
2022: $26.4 million

The Redskins can realistically move on from Smith after 2020. There would be net cap savings of $13 million in 2021 and $21 million in 2022.

The first impression of the deal is that the Redskins did not move on from Kirk Cousins because they didn’t want to guarantee a lot of money to a quarterback. The total practical guarantee of $71 million is second only to Cousins’ $82.5 million. It should be noted that Cousins’ deal runs for three years and Smith’s contract is for five.


Stay up to date on the Redskins. Rich Tandler covers the team 365 days a year. Like his Facebook page and follow him on Twitter @TandlerNBCS.