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DraftKings strategy: Buying into the Vikings?

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DraftKings strategy: Buying into the Vikings?

Each week on Comcast SportsNet, Ben Standig and J.P. Finlay debate their favorite DraftKings plays for the week. However, with all the banter and other topics on the show, there isn't always enough time to discuss every the decision. For Week 8, Ben shares his pre-production notes on his lineup. Watch the video above and catch the entire show every Friday at 6:00 p.m. with re-airs throughout the weekend including Sunday at 11:00 a.m. 

Teddy Bridgewater ($5100) 

Each week I typically look at my lineup with a high price, mid-tier and low-cost quarterback option. Sometimes it's worth spending the extra money for a great situation. Philip Rivers ($6600) at the Ravens certainly counts while Andy Dalton ($6000) makes for a nice value. Those two will be in other lineups of mine, but for the show, I went with Bridgewater because: 

1) He's cheap which allows me to have an insane array of playmakers elsewhere

2) He's actually throwing lots of passes now.  Part of his slow start involved simple math. It's hard to produce with only 26 attempts per game. Over the last three games -- which coincides with the emergence of wide receiver Stefon Diggs -- Bridgewater is averaging 36 passes per game.

3) The Bears have allowed the second most touchdown passes (15) and the fifth most points to fantasy QBs this season.

4) I generally like stacking my lineup with a QB-receiver combo. That works here since Diggs is surging and comes in at a relatively cheap cost ($4800) 

Justin Forsett ($6100)

The Ravens lead RB hasn't been on my radar much this season either in standard or daily fantasy football. His $6100 isn't a bargain based on past production. However, it could be when the Ravens and Chargers conclude.

The duel-threat option faces a San Diego defense allowing an NFL-worst 5.3 yards per carry. We've noted lately in these parts the Redskins have allowed over 100 rush yards 3 straight games. Well, double that and you reach San Diego's current streak. 

Antonio Brown ($7800)

When Ben Roethlisberger was healthy, Brown posted crazy stats and his DraftKings salary reflected such work, reaching a high of $9200. Then Big Ben goes down with a knee injury and Brown's production declined, as did his DK cost. Now Roethlisberger is back, but Brown's salary remains at his reduced levels. Players can get Brown at 7800, thus saving $1400 from his previous high with his desired starting QB. Oh, he also had 16 receptions and over 240 yards in two games against Cincinnati last year. 

Julio Jones ($9200)

The highest priced WR on the board. That's crazy expensive, but the Bucs are crazy bad against fantasy WRs. They have allowed at least 16 receptions and 200 yards in four of their last five games with six touchdowns in that span.

Rams ($3200) 

Going with a cheaper option with defense is often the right approach. Not this week. St. Louis has reached double-digit points in three of its last four games including a monster 25 in Week 7. Now the Rams face a 49ers offense that is without running back Carlos Hyde. Opposing defenses are scoring 12.2 points per week (third overall) against the 49ers. 

Ravens-Chargers 

With Forsett, Danny Woodhead and Ladarius Green, I have three players from this game in my lineup. Let's note that the Las Vegas odds makers set the Ravens-Chargers over/under at 50.5, which is the highest of the remaining games. Ideal scenario and in my opinion the likely one, Baltimore jumps ahead early. That means more Forsett in the second half and lots of passing by San Diego after halftime. Woodhead and Green, the likely TE starter with Antonio Gates dealing with a knee injury, racked up plenty of garbage points last week. Using them also gives me a piece of Rivers in case he goes off.

Todd Gurley ($6300)

Barring injury or worse, he won't be this cheap again this decade. Get him while you can.

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New free agent Doug Martin unlikely fix to Redskins' woeful run game

New free agent Doug Martin unlikely fix to Redskins' woeful run game

News broke Tuesday that the Tampa Bay Bucaneers released former Pro Bowl running back Doug Martin, and while the name certainly triggers value, his play of the last two seasons should calm the excitement. 

Since a 2015 season where Martin rushed for 1,400 yards and averaged nearly 5 yards-per-carry in 16 games, Martin has been suspended, undergone substance abuse rehab and missed games due to injury.

In the last two seasons, Martin has played in 16 of 32 games, rushed for 827 yards and averaged less than 3 yards-per-carry.

Over his six year NFL career with the Bucs, Martin has only played two full seasons. Those two seasons were great, in 2012 and 2015, but the other four have been largely disappointing. 

RELATED: WHAT SHOULD THE REDSKINS DO AT RUNNING BACK?

The Redskins averaged just 3.6 yards-per-carry last season, and could definitely use a boost in the run game. It's entirely possible Washington might look to upgrade their offensive backfield this offseason, either in free agency or in the 2018 NFL Draft, but Martin does not look like the player to help. 

Early in the 2017 season, it appeared the Redskins run game might be a strength for the offense. After a disappointing effort on the ground to open the year in a loss to the Eagles, the Redskins rushed for at least 111 yards in their next three contests, including nearly 230 yards on the ground in a Week 2 win over the Rams. 

Injuries undid the run game, however, as Rob Kelley got hurt and the offensive line lost players, too. Over the course of the season, rookie Samaje Perine sustained minor injuries and Chris Thompson was lost for the year with a broken leg. 

Going into 2018, Kelley, Perine, Thompson and Kapri Bibbs are all on the roster and expected for now to stay with the team. That's yet another reason why the Redskins are likely to stay away from Doug Martin.

RELATED: 2018 NFL MOCK DRAFT 5.0

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Need to Know: Redskins' Junior Galette will be a valued free agent

Need to Know: Redskins' Junior Galette will be a valued free agent

Here is what you need to know on this Tuesday, February 20, 22 days before NFL free agency starts.

I’m out this week so I’ll be re-posting some of the best and most popular articles of the past few months. Some may have slightly dated information but the major points in the posts still stand. Thanks for reading, as always.

Galette to be a valued free agent

Originally published 12/13/17

Like the Redskins, the Broncos are no longer relevant in 2017. Both teams’ fan bases have started to look towards the coming offseason.

To give their readers what they want, the Denver Post published an article by Mike Renner of Pro Football Focus that discussed some of the top pending free agents who have done the most to increase their values in the past year. There were two Redskins named, one you would expect to see on such a list and one that might surprise some people.

Kirk Cousins is at the top of the list. “The Washington signal-caller is grading as a top-10 quarterback (82.8), and soon he’ll have the long-term contract of one,” Renner wrote. “Only this time its value will be exponentially higher than any one he would have signed back when he first became a free agent in 2016.”

But the surprising name is that of Junior Galette. After missing the last two seasons with two torn Achilles tendons, he played this year on a one-year, $800,000 deal. And while he hasn’t been on fire in the sack department with just two on the year, he has been getting pressure on the passer.

“He’s accumulated the 27th-highest pass-rushing grade of any edge defender this season, but in only 264 snaps,” wrote Renner. “At 29 years of age, it’s doubtful he ever gets back to the level of the contract that he once had on the table with New Orleans. With how he’s played this season though, some pass-rush-needy team will pay handsomely for his services.”

One team that could be considered to be pass rush needy is the Redskins. Preston Smith is the starter and supposedly one of the Redskins’ top pass rushers. But in 100 fewer pass rush snaps this year, Galette has only three fewer quarterback hits than Smith and six more hurries.

And after missing those two seasons, Galette has remained healthy. Although he was limited with a hamstring during much of the preseason, he has not missed a practice or appeared on an injury report this year.

But would the Redskins be willing to pay him “handsomely”? Perhaps a good comp would be Connor Barwin, who moved from the Eagles to the Rams this past offseason at the age of 31. He had five sacks in Philly in 2016. That got him a one-year deal worth $3.5 million.

Barwin likely will have more sacks on his ledger going into free agency so let’s say Galette could command around $3 million. Perhaps he could offer Washington a bit of a hometown discount and agree to something in the $2.75 million range. If that is the case, the Redskins would be smart to keep him around for another year.

Plenty of things could alter the equation. If Galette gets hot in the last three games and posts a few more sacks his price could rise. With Smith and Ryan Kerrigan both back next year, perhaps Galette will want to go somewhere that he might get more playing time.

The details need to be sorted out but don’t be surprised if Galette gets a lot of attention in free agency, as much as teams need pass rush, and if the Redskins have to make a very tough decision about how much he is worth.

Stay up to date on the Redskins. Rich Tandler covers the team 365 days a year. Like his Facebook page Facebook.com/TandlerNBCS and follow him on Twitter @TandlerNBCS.

Timeline  

Days until:

—NFL Combine (3/1) 9
—NFL Draft (4/26) 65
—2018 NFL season starts (9/9) 201