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Indisputable Visual Evidence II

Indisputable Visual Evidence II

Indisputable Visual Evidence II

No, this is not another 1,000 words about yet another close call at the goal line that went against the Redskins. It did indeed seem unlikely that Lamont Jordan’s knee would be able to find the ground in the midst of pile of bodies that he was on top of. I mean, last week you have Alstott on a pile of bodies and he’s not down and this week Jordan is on the pile and he is down. And it would have been a bit easier to swallow if we had seen a zebra running in and emphatically jabbing his index finger towards the ground in the universal “down by contact” gesture. It was like last week when the head linesman trotted in from the sideline, looked around, hesitated a count, and then raised his arms to signal that the conversion was good. Be emphatic and sell the call, ref.

There is no diatribe here for two reasons. First, unlike last week, there is no indisputable visual evidence that the call on the field, weak and hesitant as it was, was incorrect. It looked like a fumble, but his knee could have touched the ground; you just can’t see through the pile. Second and most important, again unlike last week, the view here is that the Redskins would have lost this game even if the call had gone in their favor.

They would have had the ball inside their own one with about 2:20 left. They had done zip offensively in the second half. The Raiders had two timeouts and the two-minute warning to work with. Assuming a three and out for the Redskins, Oakland would have had at least a minute and a half and good field position to give Janakowski a shot. Even if it had gone into overtime there is little reason to believe that they would have been able to move the ball and/or stop the Raiders from doing so.

There really isn’t any point in writing a thousand words about this game anyway because it can be summed up in one word—turnovers. Despite the lack of offensive continuity, despite the lack of a pass rush, despite the injuries, the Redskins still win if they don’t cough the ball up. Two fumbles by Clinton Portis, who has been positively glue-fingered all year, cost the Redskins six points. His first gave the Raiders the ball at the Redskins 15 and led to the Raiders’ first points of the day on a field goal. In the third quarter, Portis’ second fumble at the Oakland 29 cost them a shot at a field goal. Do the math, that’s a net loss of six points in a three-point game.

And here’s one more number: 2:39. That’s the Redskins’ time of possession in the fourth quarter of a close game. The possession times in their three “drives” in the fourth quarter were 29 seconds, 39 seconds, and 63 seconds (for those of you doing the math, another drive died after first 25 seconds of the fourth). That’s not going to get it done.

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Where does Stefon Diggs' remarkable catch rank among some of the best NFL playoff walk-offs?

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Where does Stefon Diggs' remarkable catch rank among some of the best NFL playoff walk-offs?

There is nothing quite like January playoff football and Sunday night's Vikings vs. Saints game further proved this point.

In case you have been off the grid the past 12 hours, the Minnesota Vikings literally got a last second win against the New Orleans Saints.

With 10 seconds left in the fourth and facing a 3rd and 10, quarterback Case Keenum heaved the football near the sideline to wide receiver Stefon Diggs, who dodged two defenders while managing to stay inbounds for a 61-yard touchdown as the clock expired. 

It was one of the most remarkable playoff walk-off wins, if not the most remarkable one, in football.

So, where does it stand among the others?


Broncos vs. Steelers 2011 AFC Wild Card game: Remember Tim Tebow's 80-yard overtime touchdown to Demaryius Thomas during the 2011 Broncos vs. Steelers AFC Wild Card game? It was the first and last snap of overtime and it was wild.

Mile High Miracle: On third and three with 43 seconds left in the game, Ravens' Joe Flacco launched one towards wide receiver Jacoby Jones, who got in front of the Broncos receiver and ran the ball in for a 70-yard game-tying touchdown. The Ravens would eventually go on to win the game in double overtime. Some could argue it was the defining moment in the Ravens' Super Bowl run. 

Cardinals vs. Steelers Super Bowl XLIII: Under the brightest lights of all, Ben Roethlisberger found Santonio Holmes with 43 seconds in the fourth in the back of the end zone for a toe-dragging, Super Bowl-winning catch. 


Saints vs. 49ers 2012 NFC Divisional game: Sunday's loss wasn't the first time the Saints have experienced a fourth quarter letdown. Back in 2012, Alex Smith threw one to the endzone on 3rd-and-three with 14 seconds left that sealed a win.

While these are only a few, we can't wait to add more to the list in years to come.

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Redskins can't base Kirk Cousins decision on the makeup of the final four

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Redskins can't base Kirk Cousins decision on the makeup of the final four

For many fans who would like to see the Redskins move on from Kirk Cousins, the case was closed by the results of the divisional playoff round.

When the dust settled from the weekend, three of the four winning quarterbacks were Nick Foles, Blake Bortles, and Case Keenum. In Foles and Keenum, two journeymen who were free agents last March, available to any team that had a million bucks or so of salary cap space. Bortles was the third overall pick of the 2014 draft but he was widely viewed as a big-time bust.


So, to some the lesson was that you can roll any random quarterback out there and if you have some other pieces in place you can get to the final four.

Not so fast, my friend. Such thinking is based on a small sample size. This year is very much an outlier in terms of the quarterbacks who make the conference championship games. Let’s expand the sample size and look at the final four QBs standing in the previous six seasons.

2016: Matt Ryan, Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady, Ben Roethlisberger

2015: Cam Newton, Carson Palmer, Peyton Manning, Brady

2014: Russell Wilson, Rodgers, Brady, Andrew Luck

2013: Wilson, Colin Kaepernick, P. Manning, Brady

2012: Kaepernick, Ryan, Joe Flacco, Brady

2011: Brady, Flacco, Eli Manning, Alex Smith

There are 13 different quarterbacks here. Ten of those, Ryan, Rodgers, Brady, Roethlisberger, Newton, Palmer, Wilson, the two Mannings, and Luck, are true franchise type quarterbacks. Of those, five were first overall picks in the draft, Ryan was the third pick, and Roethlisberger was the 11th, and Rodgers went later in the first round. Only Wilson and Brady were late-round finds.

Of the three others, Smith (1st overall) and Flacco (18th) were first-round picks. Kaepernick was a high second-rounder.

Stay up to date on the Redskins. Rich Tandler covers the team 365 days a year. Like his Facebook page and follow him on Twitter @TandlerNBCS.

At the time of their playoff games, all of the 13 quarterbacks were on the teams that drafted them. None of them were looking for work the previous March, or at any time, for that matter.

As the Redskins decide if they should make a desperation attempt to retain Cousins or let him walk and start over at the most important position on the field, which data point should they consider? The most recent season in front of them, or the six prior years (and many more before that)?

Let’s say you’re looking to sell your house and you want to figure out a fair price. One comparable house down the street recently had sold for $200,000. But the previous six houses that sold in the last couple of months all went for around $300,000, Are you going to price your house based on the most recent sale? Or are you going to factor that in but pay much more attention to the six previous sales?

You have to step back and look at the larger sample size before using a particular set of facts as even a partial basis for a major decision with far-reaching ramifications.

With all that said, there are other factors at play besides what other teams have been able to accomplish. There are plenty of valid reasons for moving on from Cousins and those may outweigh the case for keeping him. But pointing to three quarterbacks on four teams and saying, “case closed” is way too simplistic an approach.