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Need to Know: The Redskins week that was—Counting on Tomsula, Carr impacts Cousins

Need to Know: The Redskins week that was—Counting on Tomsula, Carr impacts Cousins

Here is what you need to know on this Saturday, June 17, 40 days before the Washington Redskins start training camp in Richmond on July 27.

Timeline

Days until:

—Franchise tag contract deadline (7/15) 28
—Preseason opener @ Ravens (8/10) 54
—Season opener Eagles @ Redskins (9/10) 85

The Redskins week that was

Here is my take on some of the post popular posts of the week.

Hot topics: Doctson with the twos, Cravens' adjustment—I know fans like to worry but do yourself a favor and don’t burden yourself over the apparent depth chart during OTAs and minicamp. Josh Doctson ran some sets with the second-team offense while Ryan Grant was with the ones and panic set in. Relax, it’s meaningless. They simply wanted to have Grant working some with Kirk Cousins and for Doctson to catch some passes from Colt McCoy. That might need to happen during real games. But Plan A during the regular season will have Doctson playing many more snaps than Grant.

Derek Carr situation could impact Kirk Cousins' market—The primary driver of contract values is what players comparable to the player in question are making. This means that how much Cousins will make on a contract extension has an impact on how much Carr will make and vice versa. Their stats are very close (check the post for details) and neither has won a playoff game. One area where Cousins has a big advantage over Carr right now is in leverage. Without a new deal, Carr will make $977,000 this year. The status quo would have Cousins playing for $24 million this year.

Gruden anxious to see how Reed fits with new WRs—This was posted prior to minicamp, when Reed appeared at Redskins Park for the first time since the start of OTAs. Reed could be working out of the slot some this year, or at least not lined up next to the tackle. On many plays, he essentially will be an additional wide receiver on the field.

The five most impressive players of the Redskins’ offseason—It’s not real football but you can tell how well some players are progressing and how seriously they are taking their preparation. The biggest chip on the shoulder belongs to D.J. Swearinger, who will be with his fourth team going into his fifth season. He sees this as his last chance to establish himself as a front-line NFL player.

Redskins hoping Tomsula can maximize D-line talent— Since 2010, the Redskins have allowed 4.37 yards per rushing attempt, 25th in the NFL over that seven-season span. It’s a chronic problem and they hope new defensive line coach Jim Tomsula can solve it. They added a big piece in Jonathan Allen but they didn’t really address the nose tackle position and may have lost as much as they gained in free agency. Tomsula has a great reputation and the Redskins are hoping he lives up to it.

Stay up to date on the Redskins. Rich Tandler covers the team 365 days a year. Like his Facebook page Facebook.com/TandlerCSN and follow him on Twitter @Rich_TandlerCSN.

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Why the Redskins should be hoping Tremaine Edmunds falls in their lap

Why the Redskins should be hoping Tremaine Edmunds falls in their lap

NBC Sports Washington’s four-part digital series ‘E-Boyz’ -- chronicling the illustrious past, decorated present and bright future of the Edmunds family -- is NOW LIVE. Check out a new episode daily, leading up to the 2018 NFL Draft. Watch the first episode above and more here.

When the NFL Draft comes around, you'll hear fans and analysts often say, "If Player X makes it to pick No. __, then Team Y should sprint to the podium to pick him."

Well, this Thursday, if Player X is Tremaine Edmunds, the pick is No. 13 and Team Y is the Washington Redskins, the Burgundy and Gold should sprint to the podium only if there's no other option to get there quicker. 

While the 'Skins already have two talented linebackers in Zach Brown and Mason Foster on the roster already, taking the Virginia Tech teenager shouldn't be ruled out. Now, the only problem is that Edmunds has to slide that far in the 2018 draft; the majority of mocks have him going before that spot.

Edmunds is the type of do-it-all LB that is especially valuable in today's NFL. He has the athleticism and ability to fit on the inside or outside, and is just as comfortable rushing the passer as he is in coverage. You know that issue the Redskins have when it comes to covering tight ends, the one that's lasted for like a decade now? Edmunds would help erase it, along with a host of other problems.

"They don't come like him," one NFC scout told NFL.com about Edmunds. "I don't think there has ever been a linebacker that has had his size and speed."

Redskins fans, go outside and start searching for your four-leaf clovers now. Last year, the franchise got lucky and landed Jonathan Allen. This time around, they're going to need even more of it to secure Edmunds. 

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The betting houses are bearish on the 2018 Redskins

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Bob Youngentob for NBC Sports Washington

The betting houses are bearish on the 2018 Redskins

With the NFL schedule dropped last week, many fans and media types went through and predicted wins and losses for the teams they follow, just for fun. But others predict the records of teams and it’s not for laughs, it’s for very high stakes.

The betting houses in Las Vegas and offshore have established their lines for over/under in wins. They then take this a step further and go through the playoffs to establish the odds of winning the Super Bowl. 

Over the weekend, BetOnline published one of each and let’s just say that they do not like what the Redskins have done this offseason. Or, more accurately, they think that the public perception is that the Redskins will not be a very good team this year. 

Their over/under for wins is 5.5. They won seven games last year so the under would represent a decline of at least two wins. This line seems to be low. The Redskins won seven games last year with the worst injury situation in the league, per the numbers crunchers at Football Outsiders. They also faced one of the toughest schedules in the league in terms of opponent winning percentages. 

Yes, they did lose Kirk Cousins to free agency but they replaced him with Alex Smith, who, like Cousins, is not elite or even in the top 10 but in the category of solid, reliable quarterbacks. The QB exchange was close to a wash. But despite the fact that the chances are they will suffer fewer injuries and face a schedule that isn’t as much of a meat grinder, this over/under has the Redskins producing double-digit losses. They have managed to stay out of 10-plus loss territory for three straight years. 

There are more reasons to think that they will win at least as many games as they did last year than there are to think that they will win fewer. If I’m betting, which I’m not, I’d be tempted to hit the over on that pretty hard. 

I would keep my money in my pocket when it comes to betting on the Redskins’ chances of winning the Super Bowl. I don’t think they’re close, but I think they’re much closer than the Browns but BetOnline has Cleveland and Washington with the same odds of hoisting the Lombardi Trophy. The Redskins, Browns, and Bucs are at +6600 to win it all. The Redskins odds are worse than all but six other teams. 

Again, I don’t think that the Redskins are going to win the Super Bowl. Winning a playoff game would be quite an accomplishment for them. But same could be said of the Colts, Giants, Chargers, and 49ers, but they all have considerably better odds than the Redskins. 

In fact, there may be some irrational exuberance with the 49ers and Jimmy Garoppolo. They have the seventh-best odds at +1600. Sure, Jimmy G was very good in five meaningless games at the end of last season. Let’s see how he does with some pressure on and after defensive coaches have had a chance to study how to take away his strengths. It just goes to show you how little real analysis goes into this. 

I get a little annoyed when teams play the disrespect card, especially when they have to look too hard to find it. But if the Redskins look at this, they certainly can embrace the underdog role if they want to. What they do with it, we will find out starting September 9. 

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Stay up to date on the Redskins. Rich Tandler covers the team 365 days a year. Like his Facebook page, Facebook.com/TandlerNBCS and follow him on Twitter @TandlerNBCS.