Quick Links

Need to Know: Five Redskins draft predictions including when they'll take a running back

Need to Know: Five Redskins draft predictions including when they'll take a running back

Here is what you need to know on this Thursday, April 30, the day the Washington Redskins go on the clock at the NFL draft.

Nickel coverage

It’s finally that day. Here are five Redskins NFL draft predictions:

1. The Redskins will take a running back earlier than most think—I don’t think they will go with one as early as their own second-round pick but if they get a later second in a trade you could see on go there. I’m not sure if a third-rounder would qualify as a surprise but I think they get T.J. Yeldon or Jay Ajayi or another back by the end of the third round.

2. The Redskins won’t take Vic Beasley in the top 10I wrote about this yesterday and the more I think of it and re-read what Scot McCloughan said the more I’m convinced that he won’t see value in him until later in the first round. He will not be the edge rusher backup plan at No. 5 if Dante Fowler is off the board. To answer something I know will come up in comments and tweets, yes, it’s true that he was more productive in college than Fowler was in terms of sacks and tackles for a loss. But if all you had to do to figure out who to draft was count sacks you wouldn’t need to pay a GM all that money, would you?

3. The Redskins will draft a quarterback sooner than most think—I’m under the impression that most think that Washington takes a QB it will be in the seventh round, maybe the sixth. But I see a strong chance that they will take one earlier, maybe as early as the fourth. They have two quarterbacks who are unsigned for 2016 and the option deal for Robert Griffin III offers the team little in the way of assurance that he’ll be back. Getting someone who could at least be ready to be a solid backup in 2016 is the smart thing to do. Round seven QB’s are usually multi-year projects to get to that point.

4. The Redskins will get a 2015 starter on the offensive line, probably at right tackle—I’m not sure if it’s going to be Week 1 starter that they get in the middle of the first after a trade back or in the second or if it will be a third rounder who works his way into the lineup by midseason. It’s a pretty deep class at tackle so they should be able to get someone who can get up to speed fairly quickly.

5. The Redskins’ first draft pick will be Dante Fowler—I’m about 60 percent confident that the guy I’ve been saying would be the Redskins first pick since before the combine will end up accepting the Redskins jersey with No. 1 on it at about 9 p.m. tonight. The other of the rest, I’ll say there’s about a 30 percent chance of a trade with the other 10 percent on the field, particularly Amari Cooper and Leonard Williams.

What are your predictions? Hit us up in the comments!


—It’s been 123 days since the Redskins played a game. It will be 136 days until they play another one.

Days until: Redskins minicamp starts 47; Redskins training camp starts 91; Redskins @ Giants 147

If you have any questions about what's going on at Redskins Park, hit me up in the comments. And I'm always on Twitter @Rich_TandlerCSN.

Like Real Redskins on Facebook!

Follow Real Redskins on Instagram @RichTandler

In case you missed it

Quick Links

Need to Know: The Redskins week that was—All-Redskins mock, fast-fading interest in Dez

Need to Know: The Redskins week that was—All-Redskins mock, fast-fading interest in Dez

Here is what you need to know on this Saturday, April 21, five days before the 2018 NFL draft.  

The Redskins week that was

A look at some of the most popular posts and hottest topics of the week on Real Redskins and NBC Sports Washington

Should the Redskins pursue Dez Bryant? This topic was one like a meteor, very hot for a short period of time before it quickly faded out. It started to heat up as soon as the Cowboys cut Dez (about a month too late) and when it was reported that he wanted to play against Dallas twice a year it really picked up steam. But then people started to actually think and figured out that signing Bryant didn’t make much sense for the Redskins. Add to that the reports that the Redskins had no interest and would not look into signing Dez in the future and the Redskins fans quickly lost enthusiasm for the topic.

Seven-round Redskins mock draft—I think that most Redskins fans would be happy with this mock. Well, I’ll say some Redskins fans, most is a pretty strong word in this case. 

Is the draft pool deep enough for the Redskins to trade back? There is plenty of talk about the Redskins trading down in the first round to recoup the third-round pick they gave up in the Alex Smith trade. But they need to be careful. Many consider the draft to be top heavy and they may lose their chance to pick up an impact player if they trade back too far. The question then becomes one of quality vs. quantity. 

Three questions as offseason workouts get underway—There will be plenty more questions that we can ask about this team. But we don’t really know what to ask before the draft, particularly when it comes to the defensive line and running back. One the personnel settle into place we will know what we don’t know. 

Tweet of the week

On Chris Cooley’s thought that the Redskins might try to trade back and get Da’Ron Payne in the draft and the use the assets obtained to move up to get Derrius Guice. 

This is related to the questions about trading back. On paper it looks like a good idea, assuming the Redskins want Payne. We’re pretty sure they would like to have Guice but we haven’t heard as much about the Alabama defensive lineman. 

I had many reply that Guice won’t be there in the second round. It’s possible, perhaps even likely, but you just don’t know. There was zero chance that Jonathan Allen would be there at No. 17 last year, right? 

Stay up to date on the Redskins. Rich Tandler covers the team 365 days a year. Like his Facebook page, and follow him on Twitter  @TandlerNBCS.


Days until:

—OTAs start (5/22) 31
—Training camp starts (7/26) 96
—2018 NFL season starts (9/9) 141

In case you missed it

Quick Links

Redskins' schedule "rest disparity" is very fair in 2018

Redskins' schedule "rest disparity" is very fair in 2018

The NFL started taking into account a new factor when putting together its schedule this year. The concept is called rest disparity. It stems from a complaint made by the Giants last year. And, of course, when the Giants have a cold, the NFL sneezes and immediately does whatever it takes to cure the cold. 

Here is how Peter King laid it out this morning on the MMQB:

Last year, I heard the Giants were not pleased with their schedule because they felt they were too often playing teams more rested than they were. In consecutive October weeks, they played teams coming off byes, for instance. The NFL calculated a figure for every team based on the number of combined days of rest for their foes or for the team, calculating, for instance, in those two weeks, the Giants were a minus-14 (minus-seven for each of the foes, Seattle and Denver, coming off byes). In all, by my math, the Giants were a league-worst minus-22 in “rest disparity.”

So the schedule makers worked to minimize the rest disparity this year. According to King, the worst rest disparity in the league this year is minus-11. The Giants are minus-eight. 

The question that Redskins fans will have immediately here is if the Giants’ rest disparity was reduced at the expense of the team in burgundy and gold. The answer that will surprise many is no. 

The Redskins rest disparity in 2018 will be either minus-one or zero. The variance is due to the possibility that their Week 16 game in Tennessee will be flexed to a Saturday game (see details here). If the game stays on Sunday, they will be at minus-one in rest disparity. If it gets moved, they will have had exactly as much rest over the course of the season as did their opponents, in aggregate. 

If you're interested in the nitty-gritty, here is how it breaks down. In eight or nine of their games, they will have had the same amount of rest as their opponents. They play one game coming off of their bye, a Monday night game in New Orleans. The Saints play the previous Sunday, giving Washington a plus-seven in days of rest. That is canceled out when they play the Falcons in Week 9 after Atlanta’s bye. 

Due to their Thanksgiving game, they get three extra days off going into their Week 13 Monday night game in Philadelphia. Two weeks later the Jaguars will have those three extra days of rest when they host the Redskins, having played on Thursday in Week 14.

They lose a day relative to their opponents coming off of those Monday night games against the Saints and Eagles. The Redskins get an extra day prior to visiting the Giants in Week 8 as New York has a Monday night game in Week 7. 

So far, that comes to minus-one in rest disparity. That will remain in place if they play the Titans on Sunday, December 23. If the game is flexed to Saturday, they will gain a day of rest on the Eagles in Week 17, zeroing out the rest disparity for the season. 

More Redskins

Stay up to date on the Redskins. Rich Tandler covers the team 365 days a year. Like his Facebook page, and follow him on Twitter @TandlerNBCS.