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Need to Know: Four possible RG3 scenarios

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Need to Know: Four possible RG3 scenarios

Here is what you need to know on this Monday, July 22, three days before the Redskins start training camp.

The four possible RG3 scenarios

We don’t know exactly what will happen on Wednesday when Dr. James Andrews examines Robert Griffin III’s right knee. That’s the day before training camp and the extent of Griffin’s participation in the upcoming two-a-day practices will be mapped out from there.

But we can narrow the outcome down to four possibilities. Let’s take a look at them and the chances that each will happen

Griffin is not cleared and is put on the Physically Unable to Perform list (PUP)—This would mean that Andrews determines that complete rest for a while longer is the best course. Griffin would be able to continue his rehab and attend practices but he could not participate in any way. Despite the progress we saw from Griffin in OTA’s and minicamp and multiple reports of progress in the six weeks since then, this is still a possibility.

Griffin is cleared but still placed on PUP—This could be a precautionary move that the Redskins could make for a few days or a week just to make sure that he is good to go and to reduce the punishment that the knee will take over the course of the two and a half weeks of training camp. There is not much of a chance that this will happen.

Griffin is cleared and practices with restrictions—This seems to be the most likely outcome here. Even though the quarterbacks wear the yellow “no-contact” shirts, there is always the possibility of accidental contact during a drill when 21 other men, many of them very large, are going full speed. Griffin could be permitted to participate in individual drills, throw some passes to teammates and practice his play action fakes but get held out of the 11 on 11 stuff for anywhere from a few weeks to the duration of training camp.

Griffin is cleared and is a full go—Perhaps Andrews will find that Griffin is indeed “superhuman” (Andrews’ word from a few months ago) and that he is fully recovered six and a half months after reconstructive knee surgery. He could find no medical reason to restrict Griffin from doing anything. This will leave the ball in Mike Shanahan’s court and the coach will have to determine the risk-reward of putting Griffin out there with the big, highly competitive bodies. This is well within the realm of possibility but there are too many variables to get a good handle on how likely it is that Griffin will get the full green light.

What do you think the Redskins should do with Griffin? Let us know in today’s open thread.

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In case you missed it

Days until: Training camp starts 3; Preseason opener vs. Titans 17; Eagles @ Redskins 49

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Where does Stefon Diggs' remarkable catch rank among some of the best NFL playoff walk-offs?

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Where does Stefon Diggs' remarkable catch rank among some of the best NFL playoff walk-offs?

There is nothing quite like January playoff football and Sunday night's Vikings vs. Saints game further proved this point.

In case you have been off the grid the past 12 hours, the Minnesota Vikings literally got a last second win against the New Orleans Saints.

With 10 seconds left in the fourth and facing a 3rd and 10, quarterback Case Keenum heaved the football near the sideline to wide receiver Stefon Diggs, who dodged two defenders while managing to stay inbounds for a 61-yard touchdown as the clock expired. 

It was one of the most remarkable playoff walk-off wins, if not the most remarkable one, in football.

So, where does it stand among the others?

RELATED: FORMER TERP PLAYS HERO IN VIKINGS' MIRACLE PLAYOFF WIN

Broncos vs. Steelers 2011 AFC Wild Card game: Remember Tim Tebow's 80-yard overtime touchdown to Demaryius Thomas during the 2011 Broncos vs. Steelers AFC Wild Card game? It was the first and last snap of overtime and it was wild.

Mile High Miracle: On third and three with 43 seconds left in the game, Ravens' Joe Flacco launched one towards wide receiver Jacoby Jones, who got in front of the Broncos receiver and ran the ball in for a 70-yard game-tying touchdown. The Ravens would eventually go on to win the game in double overtime. Some could argue it was the defining moment in the Ravens' Super Bowl run. 

Cardinals vs. Steelers Super Bowl XLIII: Under the brightest lights of all, Ben Roethlisberger found Santonio Holmes with 43 seconds in the fourth in the back of the end zone for a toe-dragging, Super Bowl-winning catch. 

RELATED: WHAT REDSKINS CAN LEARN FROM THIS WEEKEND'S PLAYOFF GAMES

Saints vs. 49ers 2012 NFC Divisional game: Sunday's loss wasn't the first time the Saints have experienced a fourth quarter letdown. Back in 2012, Alex Smith threw one to the endzone on 3rd-and-three with 14 seconds left that sealed a win.

While these are only a few, we can't wait to add more to the list in years to come.

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Redskins can't base Kirk Cousins decision on the makeup of the final four

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Redskins can't base Kirk Cousins decision on the makeup of the final four

For many fans who would like to see the Redskins move on from Kirk Cousins, the case was closed by the results of the divisional playoff round.

When the dust settled from the weekend, three of the four winning quarterbacks were Nick Foles, Blake Bortles, and Case Keenum. In Foles and Keenum, two journeymen who were free agents last March, available to any team that had a million bucks or so of salary cap space. Bortles was the third overall pick of the 2014 draft but he was widely viewed as a big-time bust.

MORE REDSKINS: WHAT CAN THE REDSKINS LEARN FROM THE PLAYOFFS?

So, to some the lesson was that you can roll any random quarterback out there and if you have some other pieces in place you can get to the final four.

Not so fast, my friend. Such thinking is based on a small sample size. This year is very much an outlier in terms of the quarterbacks who make the conference championship games. Let’s expand the sample size and look at the final four QBs standing in the previous six seasons.

2016: Matt Ryan, Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady, Ben Roethlisberger

2015: Cam Newton, Carson Palmer, Peyton Manning, Brady

2014: Russell Wilson, Rodgers, Brady, Andrew Luck

2013: Wilson, Colin Kaepernick, P. Manning, Brady

2012: Kaepernick, Ryan, Joe Flacco, Brady

2011: Brady, Flacco, Eli Manning, Alex Smith

There are 13 different quarterbacks here. Ten of those, Ryan, Rodgers, Brady, Roethlisberger, Newton, Palmer, Wilson, the two Mannings, and Luck, are true franchise type quarterbacks. Of those, five were first overall picks in the draft, Ryan was the third pick, and Roethlisberger was the 11th, and Rodgers went later in the first round. Only Wilson and Brady were late-round finds.

Of the three others, Smith (1st overall) and Flacco (18th) were first-round picks. Kaepernick was a high second-rounder.

Stay up to date on the Redskins. Rich Tandler covers the team 365 days a year. Like his Facebook page Facebook.com/TandlerNBCS and follow him on Twitter @TandlerNBCS.

At the time of their playoff games, all of the 13 quarterbacks were on the teams that drafted them. None of them were looking for work the previous March, or at any time, for that matter.

As the Redskins decide if they should make a desperation attempt to retain Cousins or let him walk and start over at the most important position on the field, which data point should they consider? The most recent season in front of them, or the six prior years (and many more before that)?

Let’s say you’re looking to sell your house and you want to figure out a fair price. One comparable house down the street recently had sold for $200,000. But the previous six houses that sold in the last couple of months all went for around $300,000, Are you going to price your house based on the most recent sale? Or are you going to factor that in but pay much more attention to the six previous sales?

You have to step back and look at the larger sample size before using a particular set of facts as even a partial basis for a major decision with far-reaching ramifications.

With all that said, there are other factors at play besides what other teams have been able to accomplish. There are plenty of valid reasons for moving on from Cousins and those may outweigh the case for keeping him. But pointing to three quarterbacks on four teams and saying, “case closed” is way too simplistic an approach.

RELATED: NFL MOCK DRAFT 4.0