Here is what you need to know on this Saturday, November 12, one day before the Washington Redskins play the Minnesota Vikings at FedEx Field.
—Today's schedule: No media availability
—Days until: Packers @ Redskins 8; Redskins @ Cowboys on Thanksgiving 12; Redskins @ Cardinals 22
Injuries of note:
Doubtful: WR Jackson (shoulder)
Questionable: OT Moses (ankle), S Blackmon (thumb), S Ihenacho (concussion)
Final injury report
How many more games will the Redskins win?
The Redskins are heading into the second half of their season with an untidy record of 4-3-1. They have lost (and tied) some that they had great chances to win and they have won (and tied) some they could have lost. (See what I mean about untidy? I hate having to use all of those parenthesis.)
A good indicator of where a team’s record “should” be is their points scored compared to points given up. The Redskins have scored 186 points and they have given up 189 so they should be around .500. The Redskins are what their record says they are.
How will they do in their remaining eight games? Last year they were 3-5 at the midway point. But they got on a roll, going 6-2 in the last half to take the NFC East title. They have the same coach and most of the same players but they face what appears to be a tougher schedule. Can they do it again?
I’m going to dust off the $100 in imaginary casino chips we keep here at Real Redskins and place bets according to how likely I think the various scenarios for win totals are. You are welcome to buy in with an imaginary $100 and let me know if you agree or disagree here in the comments.
0-2 more wins, $10—This is what happens if the Trent Williams absence really hurts them and if they just can’t solve their red zone problems. I think Ty Nsekhe will be adequate in Williams’ spot and the suspension won’t trigger a disaster. But if Nsekhe and/or Morgan Moses get injured (he told me there was "no chance" he cold have played if they didn't have a bye last weekend) there could be some ripple effects that may lead to a crash.
3-4 more wins, $40—This would be a repeat of the first half, a lot of close games with the outcome being determined in the last few minutes or in overtime. The Redskins will have to play better than they did in the first half of the year to pull this off because, as noted, the schedule looks more daunting. (This might be a good place to note that their schedule in the first half of the season wasn’t exactly a walk in the park. Only two of the teams they played currently have a losing record.)
5-6 more wins, $40—This is what happens if they really start hitting on all cylinders—the red zone clicks, the running game gets going and the defense gets back in the roll where it was holding opponents to around 20 points per game. Their prime time game problems would have to become a thing of the past.
7-8 more wins, $10—This would require everything in the 5-6 win scenario to take place plus other factors. The Cardinals and Panthers would need to remain down. A Thanksgiving Day upset in Dallas is almost a necessity. So is sweeping these next two home games. There is no margin for error if they are going to finish this strongly, something that the Redskins have needed all year so far.
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