Redskins

Quick Links

Need to Know: How many wins for the 2016 Redskins?

Need to Know: How many wins for the 2016 Redskins?

Here is what you need to know on this Tuesday, May 10, three days before the Washington Redskins hold their rookie minicamp.

Timeline

—The Redskins last played a game 121 days ago. It will be 125 days until they host the Steelers in their 2016 season opener.

Days until: Rookie minicamp 3; OTAs start 14; Redskins training camp starts 80

Hot topics

The Redskins have most of their personnel in place. The schedule is set. All that stands between the team and the start of the regular season are some more sessions in shorts and helmets, a month of vacation, and training camp. It’s time to break out the imaginary $100 in casino chips and bet them on how many regular season games the Redskins will win in 2016.

0-6 wins, $10—I think they are out of this territory for now, with a strong enough base of talent to keep out of double-digit losses. Only a run of very bad luck would have them crash back into the top 10 in the draft.

7-8 wins, $35—Yes, this would represent a decrease from last year. But improvement in the NFL is rarely linear. There are ebbs and flows, peaks and valleys, not just from game to game but also from season to season. They could hit a plateau in their development and slide back a bit because of bad luck and a tougher schedule. It wouldn’t be a disaster or mean they have to start again from the bottom, although many fans and some branches of the local media would treat it as such.

9-10 wins, $40—Perhaps this would be treading water but it depends on what it looks like. If they win a few games in blowouts and beat some winning teams, both at home and on the road, it would be seen as an improvement. If they struggle to beat bad teams and many of the issues on display in 2015 persist they would still have a long way to go before being considered true contenders.

11-12 wins, $10—This would almost assuredly result in a playoff spot, and probably a division title. This could happen if Kirk Cousins takes another big leap forward, the running game becomes at least competent, and the defense picks things up a few notches, especially against the run.

13+ wins, $5—I’ll throw five bucks on the chance that everything that would be needed to win in double digits happens along with the pass rush trio of Galette, Kerrigan, and Smith truly terrorizing opposing quarterbacks and a solid dose of good luck, like excellent health, facing some teams when they are suffering from key injuries, and a few fortuitous bounces of the ball.

In case you missed it 

 

Quick Links

2018 NFL Draft order has Redskins pick nearing top ten as losses stockpile

nfl-draft-2017-usat.png
USA Today Sports Images

2018 NFL Draft order has Redskins pick nearing top ten as losses stockpile

LOS ANGELES — Some years, the December talk is of playoff tiebreakers.

Other years, it’s about draft position.

This is one of those “other” years.

The Redskins’ current skid of four losses in their last five games has knocked them out of playoff contention but into more favorable position in the 2018 NFL Draft, which is scheduled to take place in late April.

The Redskins' record is 5-8 through Week 14,  and if the season ended today, Washington would be picking either 11th or 12th in the first round.

Here’s the big picture: As of Monday, there are eight teams that have fewer wins than Washington. All of them would be picking ahead of the Redskins. 

The Bengals and Jets also have eight losses so the one and only draft order tiebreaker would be applied.

RELATED: NEW 2018 NFL MOCK DRAFT 3.0

This does not work out well for the Redskins.

The NFL Draft tiebreaker is strength of schedule with the teams with the weaker schedules getting the better picks. I am sure you have heard about how tough a schedule the Redskins have all year long. It was a point of pride for many fans. But now it comes back to bite them.

The Jets (opponents winning percentage .488) and the Bengals (.444) have faced weaker schedules than the Redskins (.574). That pushes Washington back to 11th.

RELATED: FEW UPS, MANY DOWNS VS. CHARGERS

But there is a Week 14 game pending. The Dolphins, who have seven losses, play the Patriots on Monday Night Football. If they lose and join the eight-loss group, they would jump ahead of the Redskins based on the SOS tiebreaker, pushing Washington back to 12th.

Of course, the season doesn’t end today and a lot can happen.

But if the bottom doesn’t completely fall out it seems likely that they will end up somewhere between 10th and 12th in the first round.

We will be looking at what that might mean for the Redskins in the coming days and weeks as the offseason comes early for the Redskins one more time.

Quick Links

NFL Playoff Picture: NFC bracket projection starting to come into focus

eagles_seahawks_usat.jpg
USA Today Sports

NFL Playoff Picture: NFC bracket projection starting to come into focus

The NFC Playoff picture is no clearer in Week 14 than it was in Week 8.

Throughout the 2017-18 NFL season, the NFC in particular has been a gauntlet. So much of a gauntlet that one of the league’s best in the past five years, the Seattle Seahawks, sit outside of the postseason with an 8-5 record.

As of the conclusion of Week 14’s action, only the Philadelphia Eagles (11-2) have locked up a postseason spot.

The Eagles claimed the NFC East for the first time since 2013 with a win over the Los Angeles Rams on Sunday. The will clinch a first round bye with a win and losses by the Saints and the Panthers this weekend.

The Minnesota Vikings (10-3) with their loss remains second in the conference, still within striking range over the overall No. 1 seed.

With losses to the two teams ahead of them, the Rams (9-4) have a tough hill to climb to claim a first-round bye, but first they need to get back in the win column.

For the WildCard berths there was a wrench thrown into many teams plans with the Atlanta Falcons (8-5) defeating the New Orleans Saints (9-4) on Thursday night. Atlanta owns a tiebreaker over pretty much every team chasing them for the final playoff spot.

For the five remaining unclaimed spots in the postseason, 10 teams are still alive.

After Week 15 though, that number could dwindle down significantly.

RELATED: NEW 2018 NFL MOCK DRAFT 3.0

NFC Playoff Picture Week 15

NFC PLAYOFF BRACKET PROJECTION:
— #1 Philadelphia Eagles* (11-2) vs. BYE
— #2 Minnesota Vikings (10-3) vs. BYE
— #3 Los Angeles Rams (9-4) vs. #6 Atlanta Falcons (8-5)
— #4 New Orleans Saints (9-4) vs. #5 Carolina Panthers (9-4)

NFC TEAMS IN THE PLAYOFF HUNT:
— Seattle Seahawks (8-5)
— Detroit Lions (7-6)
— Green Bay Packers (7-6)
— Dallas Cowboys (7-6)
— Arizona Cardinals (6-7)

NFC TEAMS ELIMINATED FROM PLAYOFF PICTURE:
— Washington Redskins (5-8)
— Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-9)
— Chicago Bears (4-9)
— San Francisco 49ers (3-10)
— New York Giants (2-11)

SEEDING NOTES:
— Eagles own the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Rams, Panthers.
— Vikings own the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Rams, Saints, and Falcons.
— Saints own the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Panthers.
— Rams own the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Saints.
— Panthers own the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Vikings.

WILD CARD NOTES:
— Panthers own the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Lions.
— Falcons own the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Lions, Packers, Cowboys, and Seahawks.
— Lions own the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Cardinals.
— Packers own the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Seahawks, Cowboys.
— Cowboys own the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Cardinals.

Week 15 NFC Games With Playoff Implications:

Sat., Dec 16: Bears at Lions (4:30 p.m.)
Sun., Dec 17: Bengals at Vikings (1:00 p.m.)
Sun., Dec 17: Jets at Saints (1:00 p.m.)
Sun., Dec 17: Eagles at Giants (1:00 p.m.)
Sun., Dec 17: Cardinals at Redskins (1:00 p.m.)
Sun., Dec 17: Panthers at Packers (1:00 p.m.)
Sun., Dec 17: Rams at Seahawks (4:05 p.m.)
Sun., Dec 17: Cowboys at Raiders (8:30 p.m.)
Mon., Dec 18: Falcons at Buccaneers (8:30 p.m.)