Here is what you need to know on this Saturday, March 7, three days before the Washington Redskins and the rest of the NFL start free agency.
Question of the day
I’ll give an in-depth answer to a question submitted by a fan on my Twitter feed, via the Real Redskins Facebook page, or in the comments section here. On Twitter address the questions to me at @Rich_TandlerCSN with the #NTK hashtag. There will be a comment thread set up on the Facebook page and if you’re asking your question here, put “for NTK” at the start of the comment.
Today’s question comes from Twitter:
@Rich_TandlerCSN #NTK which players on the current roster do you think will be there in 4 yrs?— NovaJacket (@novajacket) March 3, 2015
I gravitated to this question right after hearing Niles Paul say that he is “a Redskin for life” after signing a three-year contract with the team on Friday.
Who are the Redskins for life who are currently on the team? Paul may be one but he would have to sign another deal (at the age of 29) to be a Redskin on March 7, 2019.
Let’s look at two groups. The certain Redskins for life have at least a 75 percent chance of being with the team four years from today. The possible group has between and 50 and 75 percent chance.
Certain—Trent Williams, Ryan Kerrigan, Keenan Robinson, Bashaud Breeland
At least one and maybe some more will join this group after the draft next month. The first-round pick will sign a four-year contract and it’s unlikely that they let him go before his rookie deal is up. At least one or two more draft picks are good bets to stick.
But at the moment that looks like a small group of players who are likely to be under contract to the Redskins in 2019. Honestly, I’m not sure how big this list would be if you looked at other teams. Four years is an eternity in the NFL. But it does seem to be a rather thin base from which the Redskins can build.
Possible—Jordan Reed, Robert Griffin III, Darrel Young, Tress Way, Niles Paul, Perry Riley, Trent Murphy
Griffin jumps out here, of course. He is a tough one to peg at the moment. To call this coming season pivotal for his future in Washington would be quite the understatement.
Whether or not Reed stays around depends on health. Young may be a bit of a stretch because of his age. He is going to be 28 next month but fullbacks frequently survive into the thirties.
I know that many will argue with the inclusion of Riley. I look at him as a survivor who may take a pay cut to stay as a reserve and special teamer even if he is displaced as the starter. And we’re talking 50/50 chances here.
—It’s been 69 days since the Redskins played a game. It will be about 190 days until they play another one.
—Days until: Redskins offseason workouts start 44; 2015 NFL Draft 54; Redskins training camp starts 145
If you have any questions about what's going on at Redskins Park, hit me up in the comments. And I'm always on Twitter @Rich_TandlerCSN.
In case you missed it
- Niles Paul: 'I’m a Redskin for life'
- Report: Pro Bowl back may interest Redskins
- Scot McCloughan sends 'good message' by re-signing Niles Paul
- Orakpo 'wouldn't mind' playing for Cowboys
- New strength coach institutes changes at Redskins Park
- Former Raiders safety to visit Redskins Park
- Who starts--and who finishes--2015 at QB for the Redskins?