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Redskins GM Scot McCloughan sums up Falcons game: 'Some good, some bad'

Redskins GM Scot McCloughan sums up Falcons game: 'Some good, some bad'

ATLANTA - Sure the Redskins lost Thursday night to the Falcons, but don't be confused into thinking the final score matters. Washington's preseason debut mattered for certain players and was a good chance to see the team back in action, but the takeaways from this game are not confined to wins or losses. 

Walking through the tunnel after the game, Redskins GM Scot McCloughan summed up the action well, saying simply of the game, "some good, some bad." With a nod to McCloughan's analysis, let's look at what stood out.

Good - 

  • The most important thing that can happen in the preseason: No injuries. Though the Redskins had a scare when Niles Paul limped off the field in the first quarter, head coach Jay Gruden said following the game that Paul should be fine, and the tight end could be seen leaving the locker room without any noticeable limp. Considering Paul was lost for the year in the first game of the 2015 preseason, it would be a shame if he suffered another injury in the 2016 preseason opener.
  • Getting out of Atlanta injury free had to be the team's top priority, but after that, Redskins brass wanted to see a sharp performance from Kirk Cousins. And they got it. In a very short appearance - he took just eight snaps - Cousins completed all five of his passes for 39 yards. Showing his accuracy and ability to spread the ball around, Cousins had the Redskins offense moving the ball only to be undone by penalties. While Cousins did not show much, after a somewhat rocky offseason dominated by contract discussion, it was good to see the QB back on the field running a crisp offense.
  • Rookie Su'a Cravens looked like a playmaker, both with the second team defense and on special teams. With four tackles, two for loss, and an impressive play in punt coverage, Cravens made the case for more opportunities. Speaking after the game, Cravens explained he has never played inside linebacker, and in his first game at the position, he impressed. 
  • Lightning round: In limited snaps, OLB Preston Smith looked like a player that could control the line of scrimmage. LG Shawn Lauvao dominated on the second unit, and it's only a matter of time until he's back with the starters. Tress Way dropped great punt after great punt, rewarding him for a ton of work on coffin corner kicks in Richmond. LB Will Compton made a nice tackle early in the first quarter, showing tremendous burst to close a hole. CB Greg Toler nearly made an athletic interception in the end zone, breaking up a would-be TD instead. 

Bad

  • The run game. All of it. Don't be fooled by better stats in the second half, there was little to be encouraged by the Redskins ground attack. The team averaged 3.3 yards per carry for the game on 24 carries, worse than the already bad 3.7 YPC from 2015. Some of that will be helped when Trent Williams returns and Lauvao works his way back from injury to the starting O-line, but Matt Jones, Keith Marshall and Chris Thompson - the 'Skins top three runners - looked hesitant at times Thursday night and the line gave them little room to run.
  • Special teams as a whole weren't bad - Way punted great and Dustin Hopkins made a field goal - but giving up a 101-yard touchdown on the opening kickoff of the second half was bad. Real bad. Kick coverage has long been a problem for Washington, and Thursday night was not the start Washington needed in that department.
  • Lightning round: CB Quinton Dunbar had a tough night in coverage, twice getting beat by former Skins WR Aldrick Robinson. S Will Blackmon looked like a guy learning a new position, which is fair because that's what he's doing. It's one thing for RT Morgan Moses to kill the first-team offense with a hold, but it's another for Moses to argue the call when it was very clear. It's tough to say anybody was bad in the first preseason game - the games are designed to work back into game shape, so take the criticisms for what they are.

 

 

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Need to Know: Could Ty Nsekhe be the Redskins' answer at left guard?

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Need to Know: Could Ty Nsekhe be the Redskins' answer at left guard?

Here is what you need to know on this Monday, February 19, 23 days before NFL free agency starts.

Monday musings

—One possible solution to the left guard spot is perhaps being overlooked. Ty Nsekhe played there some last year, starting the game in Dallas and playing there until Morgan Moses got injured, forcing him to move to right tackle. Nsekhe is slated to be a restricted free agent but his return is likely. In December I asked Jay Gruden if Nsekhe might move to guard in 2018. “I think Ty is a big man and a very good tackle, but in the offseason when we have more time, maybe we can feature him at some guard when we’ve got all our guys back,” he said. “Feature him some” doesn’t mean that they will make him a starter; perhaps they want him to be the top option to fill in at four of the five OL positions. But it’s something to keep an eye on if they don’t land a left guard solution in free agency or the draft.

—When I posted about Albert Breer’s report that Kirk Cousins would file a grievance if the Redskins put the franchise tag on him in an effort to trade him, I pulled up a copy of the CBA to see the language on which Cousins could base his case. I read through the Article 10, which deals with the franchise tag twice and I saw nothing of it. But Mike Florio found it in Article 4, the one that deals with player contracts. “A Club extending a Required Tender must, for so long as that Tender is extended, have a good faith intention to employ the player receiving the Tender at the Tender compensation level during the upcoming season.” Since the Redskins clearly have no intention of employing Cousins after the Alex Smith trade, this seems to be a fairly simple case. In reality, it never is.

—I tweeted this last week:

However, possible cap casualties from other teams are not included in that group. That won’t turn the pool of players who will become available to sign into a bunch of potential franchise changers. Still, there could be a number of players in whom the Redskins could be interested in like RB DeMarco Murray, WRs Emmanuel Sanders and Torrey Smith, edge rusher Elvis Dumervil, and DL Brandon Mebane. A plus to signing players who have been waived is that they don’t count in the formula that determines compensatory draft picks. The Redskins have never really paid attention to that in the past but with potential high comp picks at stake if they lose both Kirk Cousins and Bashaud Breeland, this could be a good year to start.

Stay up to date on the Redskins. Rich Tandler covers the team 365 days a year. Like his Facebook page Facebook.com/TandlerNBCS and follow him on Twitter @TandlerNBCS.

Timeline  

Days until:

—NFL Combine (3/1) 10
—NFL Draft (4/26) 66
—2018 NFL season starts (9/9) 202

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Need to Know: Tandler's Take—Drafting a running back early not a cure-all for Redskins' ground game

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Need to Know: Tandler's Take—Drafting a running back early not a cure-all for Redskins' ground game

Here is what you need to know on this Sunday, February 18, 24 days before NFL free agency starts.

Tandler’s Take

The topic for today’s post comes from Twitter:

When I asked for topics for this post, the subject of the running game came up with several of them. And since John brought up the draft, let’s look at that as a potential solution.

Let’s first establish that the Redskins’ running game was not good enough last year. I don’t need to spend a bunch of time on this but here are some numbers. They were 28th in rushing yards and 29th in yards per carry. If you like to weigh more complete metrics, they were 28th in rushing DVOA. If you want to look at a key situation, they were last in the league in yards per first-down rushing attempt. Last year a team gained 100 yards rushing or more 274 times. The Redskins got there five times.

I’m going to leave it at that here since, again, if you’re reading this you probably watched a lot of their games and you don’t need to be persuaded that the running game was largely unproductive. Yes, there were injuries that had the offensive linemen playing snaps just days after being signed and the broken leg suffered by Chris Thompson and Rob Kelley’s various ailments. But the Redskins haven’t ranked higher than 19th in rushing yards since Jay Gruden became the head coach. Rushing game struggles are an ongoing issue.

I am going to work on the premise that those who advocate having the Redskins improve their running game via the draft are talking about drafting a running back in the first or second round. That may be overgeneralizing but that gives me a good-sized chunk of data to work with and still be able to analyze it in the 1000 words or so I am allotted here.

I’m also going to call a 1,000-yard season the minimum that would be expected out of a back drafted in the first two rounds. There are other ways a back can contribute, of course, and we can deal with them separately.

From 2010-2017, there were 45 thousand-yard rushing seasons by players who entered the league during those years (all data via the indispensable Pro Football Reference unless noted). Twelve of them were accomplished by players drafted in the first round. Six came from second-round picks, six from third-rounders, four from the fourth, three from the fifth, four from the sixth and none from the seventh. Oh, and there were 10 thousand-yard seasons that came from undrafted players.

It should be noted that four of those seasons from undrafted players came from the Texans’ Arian Foster. And two each came from LeGarrette Blount and BenJarvus Green-Ellis. So those 10 thousand-yard seasons should not be seen as an indication that there is a treasure trove of running back talent going undrafted every year.

Back to the first and second rounders, the combined 16 thousand-yard seasons doesn’t mean much in isolation. How many backs were drafted in the first two rounds in that time? How many opportunities have they had to post big seasons?

In the past eight drafts, 34 running backs were drafted in the first and second round. That group has had 170 opportunities to post a 1,000-yard season. What I mean by opportunities is the number of seasons that have elapsed since the player was drafted. The six backs drafted in the first two rounds in 2010 have each had eight chances to gain 1,000 yards in a season so they have combined for 48 opportunities (6*8). There were five backs drafted in the first and second seven seasons ago, so there have combined for 35 opportunities, and so on. Through the eight years that adds up to 170 seasons.

The combined 16 thousand-yard seasons in 170 opportunities comes to a success rate of 9.4 percent when it comes to reaching the bar that most fans would set as the minimum.

A couple of things need to be pointed out here. There are some backs like Giovani Bernard, Shane Vereen, and Christian McCaffrey who do not have any big rushing seasons on their resumes but have been valuable catching passes out of the backfield. And some like Dalvin Cook, who was injured after a promising start last year, and McCaffrey seemed destined to have 1,000-yard seasons in their futures. So all of the backs who have not gained 1,000 yards in a season are not necessarily draft busts or failures.

But here are first-round running back busts, just like there are busts at every position. There were 12 running back picked in the first round of the past eight drafts. Javid Best, David Wilson, and Trent Richardson clearly were disappointments (the former two struggled with injuries). Doug Martin, Ryan Mathews, and C.J. Spiller have had some success but perhaps not enough to justify being first-round picks. It took Mark Ingram a while, but he got rolling in his sixth NFL season. I want to see more out of McCaffrey before judging him and Melvin Gordon needs to continue his upward trajectory. It’s safe to say that even with small sample sizes of data in the books on Ezekiel Elliott and Leonard Fournette they were home runs. So was Todd Gurley.

So out of 12 first-round backs in the last eight years, you have three clear busts, three moderate disappointments, four top-level performers (including Ingram) and two TBD.

In any case, it’s clear that just drafting a back early is not a panacea for a struggling running game. Blocking (from both the line and the receivers and other backs), play calling, scheme, and some intangible factors like attitude (as Brian Mitchell will tell you) all play into the success and failure of moving the ball on the ground.

Stay up to date on the Redskins. Rich Tandler covers the team 365 days a year. Like his Facebook page Facebook.com/TandlerNBCS and follow him on Twitter @TandlerNBCS.