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Three and Out: Training Camp Week 1

Three and Out: Training Camp Week 1

You can reach me by email at rtandler@comcast.net

After a week of dropping a few pounds in the heat and
humidity at Redskins Park—pounds that those of you who know me know were ones I
can well afford to lose—here are my three random observations of Week 1 of
Training Camp 2005.

  1. I don’t know if Lemar Marshall if big enough to make it at middle
    linebacker, but it’s sure easy to root for him to do so. The other day he
    has his jersey and pads off and was talking to a group of reporters and,
    looking from 15 yards away, I thought, “Who is this receiver all these
    guys are talking to?” He not tiny, mind you, but standing there in his
    sweat-soaked Under Armor shirt, he just didn’t have the look that one
    associates with the likes of classic MLB’s like Butkus or Singletary. In
    talking to him, though, he seems to have the mental side of it down.
    Marshall has a quiet, intense personality like those of his new teammate
    David Patten and, going back a little further, Art Monk. Since Gregg
    Williams’ scheme doesn’t place as much importance on the size of the Mike
    man, emphasizing instead smarts and toughness, Marshall’s lack of stature
    and bulk doesn’t preclude success for him. As Marshall said, “It's not
    about your weight, it's about your heart."
  2. Kevin Dyson, the touchdown scorer on the Music City Miracle and the near-TD
    scorer on the last play of the Titans’ Super Bowl loss to the Rams, is
    also easy to root for but he is struggling on the practice field. He’s an
    engaging guy, quick with a smile and always willing to talk. On the field,
    however, he looks like what he is, a guy who hasn’t played much in the
    past two seasons (he missed most of 2003 with an injury and all of 2004
    after getting cut in camp). His movements are not fluid, he seems to be
    out of synch with the quarterbacks and his hands haven’t impressed. The
    good thing for Dyson is that his primary competition for the last roster
    spot at receiver is Darnerien McCants, who has had a severe case of the
    dropsies himself. The bad news for both of those players is that the
    performance of those two has opened the door for receivers like Jimmy
    Farris and Jamin Elliott to move up there and steal that last spot.
  3. Patrick Ramsey has been unimpressive. Not great, not terrible, just
    unimpressive. Don’t project that assessment beyond the first week of camp,
    it’s just for right now. It is based mostly on the longer throws, which
    are supposed to be both Ramsey’s strength as a quarterback and the new
    focus of the offense this year. Bombs tend to rely less on “chemistry”
    between the QB and his receiver than do shorter routes when the
    quarterback has to throw the ball before the pass catcher cuts. Ramsey
    seems to do fine on the deeper passes in pitch and catch stuff, where
    there is no defender on the receiver. The ball has a nice trajectory and
    the receiver doesn’t have to break his stride to run under the ball. When
    a defender gets involved, however, it’s a different story. The receiver
    has to adjust, the defender is able to make a play, or, most frequently,
    the ball is overthrown beyond the reach of anyone. It’s not like this
    happens all the time, but enough so that it’s disturbing. Nothing to
    portend doom and gloom here, mind you. It’s just something to look for
    when the start playing against guys in different-colored uniforms.

OUT!!

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Why the Redskins should be hoping Tremaine Edmunds falls in their lap

Why the Redskins should be hoping Tremaine Edmunds falls in their lap

NBC Sports Washington’s four-part digital series ‘E-Boyz’ -- chronicling the illustrious past, decorated present and bright future of the Edmunds family -- is NOW LIVE. Check out a new episode daily, leading up to the 2018 NFL Draft. Watch the first episode above and more here.

When the NFL Draft comes around, you'll hear fans and analysts often say, "If Player X makes it to pick No. __, then Team Y should sprint to the podium to pick him."

Well, this Thursday, if Player X is Tremaine Edmunds, the pick is No. 13 and Team Y is the Washington Redskins, the Burgundy and Gold should sprint to the podium only if there's no other option to get there quicker. 

While the 'Skins already have two talented linebackers in Zach Brown and Mason Foster on the roster already, taking the Virginia Tech teenager shouldn't be ruled out. Now, the only problem is that Edmunds has to slide that far in the 2018 draft; the majority of mocks have him going before that spot.

Edmunds is the type of do-it-all LB that is especially valuable in today's NFL. He has the athleticism and ability to fit on the inside or outside, and is just as comfortable rushing the passer as he is in coverage. You know that issue the Redskins have when it comes to covering tight ends, the one that's lasted for like a decade now? Edmunds would help erase it, along with a host of other problems.

"They don't come like him," one NFC scout told NFL.com about Edmunds. "I don't think there has ever been a linebacker that has had his size and speed."

Redskins fans, go outside and start searching for your four-leaf clovers now. Last year, the franchise got lucky and landed Jonathan Allen. This time around, they're going to need even more of it to secure Edmunds. 

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The betting houses are bearish on the 2018 Redskins

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Bob Youngentob for NBC Sports Washington

The betting houses are bearish on the 2018 Redskins

With the NFL schedule dropped last week, many fans and media types went through and predicted wins and losses for the teams they follow, just for fun. But others predict the records of teams and it’s not for laughs, it’s for very high stakes.

The betting houses in Las Vegas and offshore have established their lines for over/under in wins. They then take this a step further and go through the playoffs to establish the odds of winning the Super Bowl. 

Over the weekend, BetOnline published one of each and let’s just say that they do not like what the Redskins have done this offseason. Or, more accurately, they think that the public perception is that the Redskins will not be a very good team this year. 

Their over/under for wins is 5.5. They won seven games last year so the under would represent a decline of at least two wins. This line seems to be low. The Redskins won seven games last year with the worst injury situation in the league, per the numbers crunchers at Football Outsiders. They also faced one of the toughest schedules in the league in terms of opponent winning percentages. 

Yes, they did lose Kirk Cousins to free agency but they replaced him with Alex Smith, who, like Cousins, is not elite or even in the top 10 but in the category of solid, reliable quarterbacks. The QB exchange was close to a wash. But despite the fact that the chances are they will suffer fewer injuries and face a schedule that isn’t as much of a meat grinder, this over/under has the Redskins producing double-digit losses. They have managed to stay out of 10-plus loss territory for three straight years. 

There are more reasons to think that they will win at least as many games as they did last year than there are to think that they will win fewer. If I’m betting, which I’m not, I’d be tempted to hit the over on that pretty hard. 

I would keep my money in my pocket when it comes to betting on the Redskins’ chances of winning the Super Bowl. I don’t think they’re close, but I think they’re much closer than the Browns but BetOnline has Cleveland and Washington with the same odds of hoisting the Lombardi Trophy. The Redskins, Browns, and Bucs are at +6600 to win it all. The Redskins odds are worse than all but six other teams. 

Again, I don’t think that the Redskins are going to win the Super Bowl. Winning a playoff game would be quite an accomplishment for them. But same could be said of the Colts, Giants, Chargers, and 49ers, but they all have considerably better odds than the Redskins. 

In fact, there may be some irrational exuberance with the 49ers and Jimmy Garoppolo. They have the seventh-best odds at +1600. Sure, Jimmy G was very good in five meaningless games at the end of last season. Let’s see how he does with some pressure on and after defensive coaches have had a chance to study how to take away his strengths. It just goes to show you how little real analysis goes into this. 

I get a little annoyed when teams play the disrespect card, especially when they have to look too hard to find it. But if the Redskins look at this, they certainly can embrace the underdog role if they want to. What they do with it, we will find out starting September 9. 

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Stay up to date on the Redskins. Rich Tandler covers the team 365 days a year. Like his Facebook page, Facebook.com/TandlerNBCS and follow him on Twitter @TandlerNBCS.