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What are the chances of RG3 having a bounce back season?


What are the chances of RG3 having a bounce back season?

What does history tell us about the chances of Robert Griffin III having a bounce back season in 2015?

Griffin, of course, had a terrific rookie season in 2012, struggled in his second season, and was even worse in 2014. The pattern of a young quarterback having a good year followed by two seasons of decline is unusual but not unprecedented. The guys at took a look.

For their metric the used ANY/A. It’s average net yards per attempt, which factors in interceptions, touchdown passes, and sacks into the simple yards/attempt stat (if you want the details look here). They then compare that to the league average in a given year in order to control for passing stats in different eras (this particular study goes back to 1970) to get the RANY/A.

In 2012 Griffin’s RANY/A was 1.53, so he was a yard and half better than the average quarterback in the league that year every time he dropped back to throw. Yes, that’s good. In 2013 he slipped to -0.30 and last year he was at sub-mediocre -0.97.

RELATED: Rating the Redskins: Defensive line

Since 1970, 19 quarterbacks in their twenties had two straight years of declining RANY/A. Six of them lost their jobs so they did not get the opportunity to try to bounce back after sliding for two years. Three, Griffin, Colin Kaepernick, and Cam Newton, had their declines the last two seasons so they will try to turn things around this season. That leaves 10 who got a chance to bounce back.

Half of the 10, Daunte Culpepper, Dave Krieg, Neil O’Donnell, Jon Kitna, and Mark Malone, reversed the slide and added a yard or more to their RANY/A stats. The others either improved by less than one yard or stayed roughly the same (see the table in the post for details).

Looking at the data, you can find some things that would make you think that Griffin can join the group that showed significant improvement and some factors that make one skeptical. In the latter category is how steep Griffin’s decline has been. He lost about 2.5 yards between his peak year and the third year. Of the five quarterbacks who turned things around, only Culpepper had declined that much.

But he also has a better starting point than all but one of the five who showed significant improvement. Only Culpepper bettered Griffin’s 1.53 RANY/A in his first year. If you believe that the fact that someone has done something before means that he can do it again, this looks good for Griffin.

This is interesting stuff but it should be noted that it’s a small sample size and, most importantly, that the quality of the teams surrounding these quarterbacks varied greatly. We’ll have to see how it works out with Griffin. 

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Eagles' Michael Bennett allegedly injured elderly worker; arrest warrant issued

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Eagles' Michael Bennett allegedly injured elderly worker; arrest warrant issued

Philadelphia Eagles lineman Michael Bennett has been indicted on felony abuse for allegedly pushing an elderly NRG Stadium worker during Super Bowl LI.

Bennett was indicted by the Harris County, Texas district attorney's office for injury to the elderly — which is intentionally and knowingly causing injury to a person 65 years or older, according to a press release from the Harris County Sheriffs' Office.

A warrant has been issued for Bennett's arrest.

The 66-year-old paraplegic stadium worker was attempting to control field access when Bennett allegedly pushed her. 

The maximum penalty Bennett faces is ten years in prison in addition to a $10,000 fine.


Bennett — whose brother Martellus played in that Super Bowl for New England — was a member of the Seattle Seahawks during the incident and was in attendance as a noncompetitive player.

The NFL has been made aware of the situation and is looking into the matter, according to Pro Football Talk.

The 32-year-old 10-year NFL veteran could potentially face NFL discipline under the league's personal conduct policy. 


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Redskins Draft Countdown: WR James Washington's numbers don't impress but he could be a solution for the Redskins

Redskins Draft Countdown: WR James Washington's numbers don't impress but he could be a solution for the Redskins

Redskins Draft Countdown

James Washington

Wide receiver
Oklahoma State

Oklahoma State wide receiver James Washington measured at 5 feet 11 inches at the combine and his 40 time was a pedestrian 4.54.

But forget about the numbers. His catch radius is larger than his height would indicate, and he plays much faster than the stopwatch says he does.

His route tree needs to be cleaned up but his ability to get open deep, make receptions on back shoulder throws and, yes, Redskins fans, fade patterns will make him a productive receiver while he learns.

Height: 5-11
Weight: 213
40-yard dash: 4.54

Projected draft round: 1-2

What they’re saying

He doesn't look like a receiver and he doesn't run routes like a receiver, but then you see him get open deep and make all those explosive plays, and you know exactly what he does for an offense.

—A Big 12 assistant coach via

How he fits the Redskins: The Redskins needed a wide receiver to line up opposite Josh Doctson after Terrelle Pryor fizzled out last year. They went out and signed Paul Richardson to a free agent contract, solving the immediate need.

But in the NFL, you should always be looking for your next receiver. It takes most of them at least a season to develop so if you wait until you really need a pass catcher it’s too late to draft one. Washington has the capability to contribute early and develop from there.  

Film review: vs. Pitt, vs. TCU, vs. Oklahoma

—Like most coaches, Jay Gruden wants his wide receivers to block and Washington certainly gives it the effort. He helped backs gain extra yards on stretch plays with hustling blocks downfield. His technique may need some work—a long touchdown run against Oklahoma was called back when he was hit for holding—but the effort is there.

—Against the Sooners, Washington got by a cornerback who was in off coverage and beat him for a long gain. Later in the game, the corner was in press coverage and Washington made one move and beat the defender on a post for a touchdown. We can insert the usual cautions about Big 12 defenses here, but it still was impressive to watch.

—Speed is important but so is how fast a receiver can stop to catch a pass. On one underthrown fade pattern, Washington was able to slam on the brakes while the cornerback kept on running, making the catch for a nice gain out of the end zone an easy one.

—Against TCU he split two defenders on a deep pass. He caught the ball in stride and then he found a second gear and easily outraced the defensive backs to the end zone to complete the 86-yard play. This is a good example of Washington playing faster than his 40 time.

Potential issues: Washington is not a good enough prospect to warrant the No. 13 pick, but he could easily be gone by the time the time their second-round pick is on the clock. As noted above, the quality of the defenses he faced in compiling 74 receptions for 1,549 yards (20.9 per catch) and 13 touchdowns has to be considered.

Bottom line: If I’m the Redskins, I have a talk with Jamison Crowder’s agent before the draft to gauge what his client would want in order to sign an extension prior to the 2018 season. If it’s something the Redskins consider reasonable, they should look elsewhere in the second round. But if a 2019 Crowder departure seems likely,  they should look at Washington if he’s there in the second round. 

Stay up to date on the Redskins. Rich Tandler covers the team 365 days a year. Like his Facebook page and follow him on Twitter @TandlerNBCS.