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Dissecting Serge Ibaka's trade to Raptors, what it means for Wizards

Dissecting Serge Ibaka's trade to Raptors, what it means for Wizards

Now that Serge Ibaka is with the Toronto Raptors, who have slipped significantly in the East since losing 11 of their last 15 games, how does that change what the Wizards might do going into the Feb. 23 trade deadline?

Not a whole lot. The Raptors have the 'stretch' power forward that they've needed for two seasons after using Luis Scola one year ago and going between rookie Pascal Siakam (a rookie), Patrick Patterson (a backup) and Jared Sullinger (a backup) as the starter. 

Ibaka is shooting a career-high 39% from three-point range and is a more atheltic option. He's also has been a starter since 2011-12 with the Oklahoma City Thunder (under current Wizards coach Scott Brooks) and for his 56 games with the Orlando Magic before he was shipped out during his first season there. 

Ibaka averages 15.1 points and 6.8 rebounds, but his presence did little to boost the Magic who are 21-36 for the second-worst record in the East entering Wednesday's games.

Although it was widely reported that the Wizards had "interest" in Ibaka, those reports weren't accurate, as CSNmidatlantic.com reported at the time. There was no real interest:

What's wrong with Ibaka?

Nothing. But Markieff Morris is the starter at his spot. Pre-Morris, Ibaka would've been of signficiant interest but the Wizards now have an elite starting five. Fixing something that's not broken with the kind of roll they're on would be a terrible idea. Ibaka primarily is a face-up player. He doesn't post up much or play comfortably with his back to the basket. Morris can do both. Hide a small on Morris, he'll exploit him in the post. Put a traditional big on him, he'll break him down off the bounce 20 feet from the rim and get the shot he wants almost every time. This is about what's right with Morris, who has had seven double-doubles since Jan. 8. 

[RELATED: Pistons willing to trade All-Star Andre Drummond]

Financially, would it have made any sense for Washington?

Not in the slightest. First, you'd be ignoring the greater need to create a logjam at a position where you have no need. The bigger need is for a scoring guard behind Bradley Beal with Marcus Thornton out of the rotation and rookie Sheldon McClellan not ready. If Ibaka were to be relegated to the bench behind Morris, there's a good chance you'd have no chance of retaining him in free agency. That makes no sense given the Wizards would've had to relinquish more than Morris in such a deal to make it work via salary matching. If Morris goes to the bench, it's a bit disrespectful for a player who has done more than enough to earn his spot. Ibaka is an unrestricted free agent after this season. He's likely to get a significant bump from $12.5 million he's making on that expiring deal. In the open market, he could fetch $20 million-plus. Morris, who averages 14.8 points, 6.8 rebounds and 36% three-point shooting, is under contract through 2019 at an average of $8 million. Give up a first-round pick as Toronto did to acquire Ibaka, no matter how well or badly he plays, means you're committed to retaining him. The Wizards already have a big ticket item coming up this summer in Otto Porter who is restricted. For a team that's over the salary cap but under the luxury tax, such a move creates more problems than it solves.

Does this make Toronto better? 

Who knows. A lot of deals look great on paper. You can't force chemistry. The Raptors will have it or they won't, but they had to do something as they slide down the standings after finishing as the second-best team in the East last season by advancing to the conference finals. They're still the underdog in a matchup with the champion Cleveland Cavaliers and this doesn't even assure them of being better than the Boston Celtics and Wizards though in theory it should make them more competitive. Ibaka's presence didn't change the Magic a whole lot.

Did Toronto give up too much?

What they sacrificed is about right for a player such as Ibaka, but he's unrestricted, He can leave and join any team he wants to this summer. If the pairing of the two doesn't work, yes, the Raptors will have given up too much. They didn't just send a first-round pick but Terrence Ross who is a solid bench player/borderline starter. Ross, a good athlete who flourishes in the open court, averages 10.4 points and shoots 38% from three. At 6-7, he played shooting guard and small forward.  If Ibaka leaves, the Raptors will have given up that pick and Ross for a rental that lasted fewer than 30 games.  The reward can be high but the risk could be higher. Last season at this time, the Wizards had talks about acquiring Ryan Anderson from the New Orleans Pelicans. They wouldn't make the deal, however, because the Pelicans wanted a first-round pick for a player who was on an expiring deal. That means the $20 million that Anderson fetched in the open market last summer as an unrestricted free agent would've cost more to keep him. Give up a first-round pick, there has to be assurances that player doesn't leave. With Morris under contract multiyears it made him the far more attractive option.

[RELATED: Bradley Beal's All-Star hopes still alive]

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Otto Porter's status in doubt for Game 6 against Raptors

Otto Porter's status in doubt for Game 6 against Raptors

There appears to be at least some chance the Wizards will be without starting small forward Otto Porter when they host the Toronto Raptors in Game 6 of their first round playoff series on Friday night in Washington.

Porter, 24, continues to deal with a right lower leg strain. The injury is located on the outside of his calf and will require further testing from the Wizards' medical staff to determine his status.

Head coach Scott Brooks addressed the media on Thursday and did not rule out an MRI.

"We don't know as of yet, but he's banged up. So, hopefully we will find out some good news and see how he feels tomorrow," Brooks said.

Porter first suffered the injury on April 10 against the Celtics in the Wizards' penultimate regular season game. He missed the regular season finale, but has appeared in all five games of the Wizards-Raptors series.

Brooks did not make it seem likely that Porter will miss Game 6, but expressed uncertainty.

"Anything is possible," he said. "We hope for the best."

Porter appeared hobbled in Game 5 and has at other times this series as well. After the first two games of the series, Brooks was asked about Porter's health and said that he was "100 percent." It's unclear if Porter suffered a setback in the time between, but clearly that isn't the case anymore.

Porter is averaging just 10.0 points in this series, down from his 14.7 per game season average. Ideally, the Wizards would be getting more than that from their third scoring option.

"We need Otto," Brooks said. "We need Otto to be more of a nine or 10-point scorer for us to win this series."

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Fourth quarter has been an issue for the Wizards in series vs. Raptors

Fourth quarter has been an issue for the Wizards in series vs. Raptors

It was all going so well for the Wizards in Game 5 on Wednesday night until just over four minutes remaining in the fourth quarter. That's when their offense went from good enough to win to bad enough to alter a series and put their 2017-18 season on life support.

The Wizards head back to Washington down 3-2 and have only themselves to blame. From the 4:05 mark in the fourth quarter all the way until 16.2 seconds remining in the game, they did not score a single point. Meanwhile, the Raptors kept rolling and finished that stretch on a 14-5 run. 

The Wizards missed 11 of their final 15 shots. They stopped moving the ball and moving off the ball and even some of their open shots clanged off the backboard or the rim.

It was a stunning display of offensive ineptitude from a team that was above average in scoring during the regular season. 

"We just missed some shots," guard Bradley Beal said. "We feel like we got some good ones, especially down the stretch."

The Wizards managed 20 points in the fourth quarter and 15 came in the first 7:55 of the frame. That would put them on pace for a solid quarter. If they maintained that course, they may have won the game.

Instead, the fourth quarter amounted to a disaster and it cost them dearly. Teams that lose Game 5 to break a 2-2 tie have a 17.2 percent chance of winning the series, based on the league's history.

Otto Porter went scoreless and took one shot in the fourth quarter of Game 5. John Wall had two of his seven turnovers and shot 2-for-6.

"I had two crucial turnovers trying to split screens in the fourth quarter," Wall said. "Just bad reads on my part."

Beal shot 1-for-6 from the field and 1-for-4 from three. Kelly Oubre, Jr., who shot just 40.3 percent from the field during the regular season, took six shots in the fourth quarter, tied for most on the team. He made two of them and missed all three of his threes.

The Wizards had six of their 18 giveaways in the fourth. Though they outrebounded the Raptors 50-35 for the game, they were outdone 15-12 in the frame.

The Wizards' scoreless drought of three minutes and 49 seconds in the fourth quarter was perhaps foreshadowed by some problems with their offense early in the game. There were plenty of stretches characterized by bad shots, turnovers and a lack of passing.

The Wizards' 21 assists in Game 5 were their fewest in the playoffs so far.

"We need more ball movement," Beal said. "We need more player movement. We were way too stagnant."

The fourth quarter has been an issue all series. Only once, in Game 2, did they outscore the Raptors in the final frame. 

The Wizards rank 14th out of 16 playoff teams in fourth quarter points (23.4/g) and dead-last with a 40.4 field goal percentage and 28.1 three point percentage.

This is a bit of a carryover from the regular season. Only five teams shot worse than the Wizards in the fourth quarter (43.7%) and only five teams allowed more points (26.5) to their opponents.

Washington has had issues closing games all year and throughout this series. Wednesday night was an extreme example and it has them just one loss away from elimination.

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