The answer won't be clear for several years, if at all, but the question has been out there for months.
Did the Wizards make the right move by dealing their 2016 first round pick for Markieff Morris?
Based on the perceived value of what the Wizards would likely have available with the 13th overall pick, the current analysis from ESPN NBA Draft analyst Chad Ford is yes.
Ford addressed his thoughts on the Wizards situation and the June 23 draft Thursday on ESPN 980's "Inside the Locker Room" with Brian Mitchell and Scott Jackson.
"You look at [everything] and probably say the Wizards made the right call here in that they got more value [with Morris] than they would have gotten with the 13th pick."
The analyst didn't just answer the question, but showed his work.
Ford laid out his overall thoughts on the draft, starting with the LSU's Ben Simmons being the likely No. 1 overall pick by the Philadelphia 76ers followed by Duke forward Brandon Ingram.
The next tier of 5-6 names includes guard Jamal Murray (Kentucky), Kris Dunn (Providence), Dragan Bender (Croatia) and Buddy Hield (Oklahoma). "I think all of those guys are solid players," said Ford of prospects that based on draft slots are typically discussed as future All-Stars. "They'll probably be starters in the league and make a positive contribution. ... Typically, you're still drafting high-level starters in the 5-7 range. Instead I think you're probably drafting average starters."
We're still a few picks away from 13 and the upside talk disappeared.
"After that, I think you're looking at role players throughout the rest of the draft," Ford said. "That means I think the value in this is draft is a little low." He added, "At nine, if you're drafting a role player, that's again not great value compared to other drafts."
Ford does see value in the draft among players projected in the "late 20s, even the early 30s." Washington dealt its second round pick (44) to Atlanta as part of the deal for 2015 first round pick Kelly Oubre Jr.
"I think most of these players that are going to get drafted are going to stick in the league and be in the league for a long time. There is value there, but if you're looking for guys who are going to the move the needle for your team especially in the next year or so, I just don't think there are a lot of guys in this draft."
Which brings us back to the Wizards, who didn't reach the postseason after advancing to the Eastern Conference semifinals in consecutive years. Assuming restricted free agent Bradley Beal stays with the team, Washington only has six players under contract for the 2016-17 campaign. However, those players represent the Wizards' starting lineup plus Oubre.
With plenty of uncertainty in the Eastern Conference outside of the NBA Finals participants known as the Cleveland Cavaliers, there is a chance for the Wizards to make a move. The odds of one of these rookies helping, or at least contributing as much as the 26-year-old Morris, are long.
"I think Washington is a team that's done with the rebuilding process," Ford continued. "They want to be a team that is a contender. Drafting the 13th pick in the draft, -- you saw this a little with Kelly Oubre last year -- he's not going to get a lot of a minutes. Not going to make a big impact on the team next season and this draft is a little weaker than that."
Ford suggested that Oubre, who was the 15th pick in a deeper 2015 class, "would probably be a top 10 pick in this year's draft." As for the trade, Ford believes Suns moved Morris more because of chemistry issues than talent.
The Wizards made the move because they needed immediate help at last season's trade deadline, but also because the power forward fills a need and does so at a relatively low cost ($8 million per). It's not that some players selected 13th or later won't become starters and possible All-Stars. The odds of landing such a player in the back-end of the lottery this year are long. That's why it appears Washington made the right move.
Click here for the entire interview.