10 teams who can win the NCAA tournament - and 5 who can't, by Troy Machir
Duke, No. 2 South
Florida State, No. 3 East
Indiana, No. 4 South
But in order to win it all, they would have to beat Kentucky in the Sweet 16, after beating a scary-good New Mexico State team and either Wichita State or VCU, two of the best mid-major teams around. The brackets just don't line up in the Hoosiers favor.
Marquette, No. 3 West
Michigan State, No. 1 West
Plus, their bracket is just tough. Any of the top six or seven seeds could advance from the West regional. Tom Izzo's great, but this will be a tough test for his coaching skills.