What's surprising about the 49ers' 2022 Super Bowl odds


The 49ers had to be dealing with mixed emotions watching the Tampa Bay Buccaneers dominate the Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl LV.

The Bucs essentially used the same formula against the Chiefs in the Super Bowl that the 49ers used a season ago. But this time Kansas City's battered offensive line couldn't slow down Tampa Bay's attack, Patrick Mahomes had no time to make big plays down the field and Tom Brady and his slew of weapons did whatever they felt like at their home stadium. And yes, the amount of penalties called against Kansas City helped the Bucs hoist the Lombardi Trophy. 

It's easy to understand why some 49ers players, coaches and front office members couldn't bear to watch the Big Game this year. The 49ers were supposed to be there. They blew a 10-point lead in the fourth quarter of the Super Bowl last season, and fully expected to be on the bright stage again. But injuries crushed the 49ers and they wound up with a disappointing 6-10 record. 

So, how do oddsmakers like the 49ers' chances next season? Odds provided by our partner, PointsBet, give the 49ers the seventh-best odds to win it all at +1500. The Chiefs (+600), Green Bay Packers (+900), Baltimore Ravens (+1200), Buffalo Bills (+1200), Bucs (+1200) and Los Angeles Rams (+1400) all have better odds than the 49ers. A handful of thing stick out about the 49ers' Super Bowl odds for next season right away.


Oddsmakers clearly believe in Kyle Shanahan and a healthy 49ers roster. They have better odds to win it all than seven teams that made the playoffs this season. But should they? The answer is yes.  

No matter who the 49ers' quarterback is, this is an offense that already has George Kittle, Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel, Raheem Mostert and Jeff Wilson Jr., with a coach who is seen as an offensive guru. On the other side of the ball, All-Pro Fred Warner is seen as one of the best, if not the best, linebacker in the league right now.

And then there's Nick Bosa. 

Coming off a season where he was named the NFL's Defensive Rookie of the Year, Bosa was expected to be one of the top defensive players in the league in Year 2. But he sustained a torn ACL in the second game of the season. He recorded nine sacks in the regular season last year, and four more in the playoffs. A healthy Bosa gives the 49ers a whole different defense. 

Then there's the NFC West outlook. Many believe the 49ers now have the worst quarterback in the division after the reported Matthew Stafford trade to the Rams. But the 49ers still have better Super Bowl odds than Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks and Kyler Murray and the Arizona Cardinals. The Seahawks clearly are the team that sticks out here. 

Seattle made the playoffs for the third straight year this season, and the Seahawks have a star QB in Wilson. But they had the second-worst pass defense in the league at 285 passing yards per game. They also don't have a first-round draft pick after trading two to the New York Jets for safety Jamal Adams, a safety who can't cover. 

Plus, it's clear oddsmakers believe in Shanahan more than Pete Carroll and Kliff Kingsbury. Carroll is a Super Bowl champion, but it sure helps to have an all-time great defense, and Kingsbury still has a long way to go in proving himself in the NFL. 

RELATED: 49ers shouldn't second-guess not signing Brady last offseason

This all comes back to Garoppolo. How much higher would the 49ers be if they had a different quarterback? Would they be above the Rams? Oddsmakers clearly believe a healthy 49ers team still has a chance to win with Jimmy G at the helm, but there's no doubt him still being the starting QB played a role in where the 49ers sit right now. 

Truth be told, this feels like the right spot for the 49ers right now. They easily could rise with a big move like a Deshaun Watson trade, but there still is plenty to prove for a team that's ready to win right now.


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