49ers

49ers-Chiefs 2020 Super Bowl odds, predictions, betting lines, picks

49ers-Chiefs 2020 Super Bowl odds, predictions, betting lines, picks

By now, you've read all the stories and watched all the 49ers Central shows, so you know Super Bowl LIV will be a tightly contested game between the 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs.

San Francisco possesses one of the best defenses in the NFL, while Patrick Mahomes is the reigning league MVP.

The 49ers ran all over the Green Bay Packers in the NFC Championship Game and hope to do the same against the Chiefs. But Kansas City limited this season's rushing champion, Derrick Henry, to 69 yards on the ground in the AFC Championship Game.

[RELATED: How to watch 49ers vs. Chiefs in Super Bowl LIV]

Something has to give.

Two great teams will enter Hard Rock Stadium in Miami on Sunday, but only one will emerge victorious.

Back on Jan. 19, when the Super Bowl matchup was set, the Chiefs opened as 1.5-point favorites, and that number hasn't moved much over the last two weeks.

Here are the current odds as of Friday night, and predictions from NBC Sports Bay Area writers Matt Maiocco, Scott Bair, Jennifer Lee Chan and Josh Schrock, who are all in Miami.

LINE

Caesars: Chiefs -1.5 (-110)
Consensus: Chiefs -1.5 (-108)
Westgate: Chiefs -1 (-110)
Wynn: Chiefs -1.5 (+100)

PREDICTIONS

Matt Maiocco: 49ers 31, Chiefs 27

From the moment Kyle Shanahan and John Lynch took over three years ago, everything has led to this moment. The 49ers have won games in every imaginable way this season. In Super Bowl LIV, they'll find another.

Scott Bair: 49ers 34, Chiefs 30
 
This is a matchup of strength on strength. The NFL's best pass defense and the NFL's best quarterback and most explosive set of skill players are ready to rumble. That's what will make this a fun Super Bowl that should be close in the fourth quarter. Ultimately, the 49ers will hold Kansas City to one too many field goals over touchdowns and score enough to win the franchise's sixth Super Bowl. The 49ers are the most complete team in football. That will outweigh Patrick Mahomes' individual brilliance and secure the Lombardi Trophy.

Jennifer Lee Chan: 49ers 35, Chiefs 28

Both offenses get out to a fast start, but then the 49ers defense settles in and gets a few key stops. Jimmy Garoppolo does what everyone outside the building has doubted: He throws the ball to help the 49ers win the game.

Josh Schrock: Chiefs 31, 49ers 27
 
Dan Marino, Patrick Mahomes will not be. The Chiefs star puts together a nine-play drive late in the fourth quarter, hitting Mecole Hardman for a 17-yard touchdown with 22 seconds left to deliver Kansas City a title.

Programming note: NBC Sports Bay Area feeds your hunger for 49ers Super Bowl coverage with special editions of “49ers Central” all week (9:30 p.m. Friday, and 3 p.m. Saturday).

Also tune in at 1 p.m. on Super Bowl Sunday for a two-hour special of "49ers Pregame Live" with Laura Britt, Donte Whitner, Jeff Garcia, Ian Williams, Kelli Johnson, Greg Papa and Grant Liffmann. That same crew will have all the postgame reaction on "49ers Postgame Live," starting immediately after the game.

Why Bobby Wagner is wrong Seahawks, not 49ers, are NFC West team to beat

Why Bobby Wagner is wrong Seahawks, not 49ers, are NFC West team to beat

The 49ers are reigning champions of their conference and division. They held a double-digit lead midway through the fourth quarter of Super Bowl LIV. Though the Kansas City Chiefs ultimately came back to win, that was only San Francisco's fourth loss of the season, including the playoffs. In those four defeats, the 49ers lost by a combined total of only 24 points -- nearly half of which resulted from the Super Bowl.

So, naturally, San Francisco would be the team to beat -- if not in the NFC, surely in the NFC West -- next season, right?

Not according to Seattle Seahawks linebacker Bobby Wagner.

During an appearance on ESPN's "First Take" on Wednesday, Wagner expressed significant confidence in his team, and made the case that the Seahawks should be the favorites in the NFC West.

"I feel really confident," Wagner said. "Obviously, Russell [Wilson] is an amazing quarterback; the things that he does on the field are just amazing. Like you said, he's one of the greatest quarterbacks in our game. We're confident on that side. I feel like from the defensive standpoint, there's a lot of room for improvement. We have to play a little bit better. I feel like if we make those changes and make those improvements, I still feel like we'll be the team to beat."

Still? Hmmm ...

Listen and subscribe to the 49ers Insider Podcast:

He's absolutely right about Wilson. The guy is a magician in the pocket -- and that's where you hope to contain him. Wilson has been a thorn in San Francisco's side ever since he entered the NFL, and there's arguably no more terrifying opposing QB to 49er fans. With Wilson having two deep targets in Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf, as well as a strong running game, there's ample reason for Wagner to be confident about Seattle's offense.

The defense, on the other hand? Well, he's correct that there's room for improvement. Plenty of it.

Last season, the Seahawks ranked 26th overall in total defense, and tied for the second-fewest sacks in the NFL. That was with standout defensive lineman Jadeveon Clowney in tow, but all signs point toward him signing elsewhere this offseason in free agency. They re-signed defensive tackle Jarran Reed, traded for cornerback Quentin Dunbar and signed pass-rushers Benson Mayowa and Bruce Irvin, but other than that, Seattle hasn't really addressed the defensive side of the ball this offseason. Granted, the 2020 NFL Draft is right around the corner, but there's no guarantee they'll find any immediate contributors there.

Wagner is phenomenal, and fellow linebacker K.J. Wright is very solid, as well. But they both lived up to those reputations last season, and look how that worked out. Yes, the 49ers won the division by a matter of inches in Week 17, but Seattle also required overtime to beat a shorthanded San Francisco squad in Week 10, which was without star tight end George Kittle.

Though the 49ers have retained most of their own free agents, they did see wide receiver Emmanuel Sanders sign with the New Orleans Saints, and made the tough decision to trade defensive tackle DeForest Buckner to the Indianapolis Colts. Of course, San Francisco didn't lose Buckner for nothing -- like Seattle might with Clowney. The 49ers got the No. 13 overall pick in the upcoming draft in exchange, which should help them replace Buckner or Sanders, or address another position.

[RELATED: Oklahoma WR Lamb could be 49ers' Sanders replacement]

The Seahawks currently have five picks in the first four rounds of the 2020 draft, but they gave up a third-rounder to acquire Clowney last offseason, and their earliest selection doesn't come until No. 27 overall.

In addition to the No. 13 overall pick, the 49ers also possess No. 31.

Any team with Wilson behind center should feel confident. But last I checked, he doesn't play defense, and that, among other reasons, is why the 49ers -- and not the Seahawks -- are the team to beat in the NFC West.

NFL Draft 2020: 49ers could target these three wide receivers on Day 3

NFL Draft 2020: 49ers could target these three wide receivers on Day 3

The 49ers have selected a wide receiver in 17 consecutive drafts.

That streak is certain to continue later this month, as the 49ers will look to bring in a young player to help offset the loss of veteran Emmanuel Sanders in free agency to the New Orleans Saints.

The past two years the 49ers drafted two receivers both years.

Whether the 49ers invest an early pick in a wide receiver or not, they could double back on Day 3 of the draft in hopes of finding a player to develop into an impact player.

Here are three options who could be available in the fourth round or later:

Isaiah Hodgins, Oregon State

Isaiah Hodgins (6-foot-4, 210 pounds) declared for the NFL draft after a junior season in which he caught 86 passes for 1,171 yards and 13 touchdowns for Oregon State.

Hodgins has what 49ers coach Kyle Shanahan seems to value – the ability to run routes with an ability to change direction quickly without losing speed. Hodgins is 5 inches taller than Deebo Samuel, yet Hodgins timed faster in the three-cone drill than Samuel. Hodgins ran the drill in 7.01 seconds at the NFL Scouting Combine. Last year, Samuel ran a 7.03. Hodgins’ 20-yard shuttle was 4.12. Samuel’s was 4.14.

Hodgins is not a speed-burner with a time of 4.61 seconds in the 40-yard dash, but he could be an effective receiver on the outside to make grabs with his strong catch radius and keep the chains moving with his ability to take patterns over the middle of the field on third downs.

Listen and subscribe to the 49ers Insider Podcast:

Aaron Parker, Rhode Island

Aaron Packer’s teammate, Isaiah Coulter, ran much better in the 40-yard dash at the NFL Scouting Combine. But Parker seems as if he would be a good fit for the 49ers due to his route-running, change-of-direction skills and toughness as a blocker in the running game.

Parker (6-2, 209) has a basketball background and posted one of the top three-cone times (6.94) at the combine. Shanahan will see a wide receiver who can get open quickly against man coverage on choice routes. Parker was a team captain who caught 81 passes for 1,224 yards and nine touchdowns as a senior. Coulter caught 72 passes for 1,039 yards and eight touchdowns.

Parker could be available deep into Day 3 in a loaded group of wide receivers.

RELATED: Do 49ers need to give Jimmy Garoppolo No. 1 wideout?]

Quez Watkins, Southern Mississippi

If the 49ers are looking for a player to take the top off the defense while playing a limited number of snaps throughout the course of a game, Quez Watkins is a solid late-round option.

Watkins (6-foot, 185) is a player who can bring the speed in great abundance. His time of 4.35 in the 40 at the NFL Scouting Combine ranked second behind only Alabama’s Henry Ruggs.

With Marquise Goodwin’s status with the 49ers this season looking tenuous, the 49ers could select Watkins on Day 3 and have him perform a specialized set of plays. Watkins capped his college career with 64 catches for 1,178 yards and six touchdowns.