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NFL playoff odds: Here's where 49ers stand among Super Bowl contenders

NFL playoff odds: Here's where 49ers stand among Super Bowl contenders

The playoff bye week is over. It's time for the 49ers to go back to work.

While Jimmy Garoppolo, George Kittle and the 13-3 Niners were resting and waiting, two teams with legitimate Super Bowl hopes bit the dust.

Tom Brady and the New England Patriots' patchwork offense fell flat in a loss to the Tennessee Titans. Meanwhile down in New Orleans, Sean Payton forgot how to use his timeouts, costing the Saints 40 crucial seconds and the two-minute stoppage in an overtime loss to the Minnesota Vikings.

With the Patriots and Saints one and done, the 49ers' odds of advancing to Miami and claiming the Lombardi Trophy have greatly improved.

Per FiveThirtyEight, the 49ers have the third-best odds to win the Super Bowl at 14 percent. The 49ers entered the playoffs with the third-best chances, but the teams with the fourth, fifth and sixth-best chances (Saints, Patriots, Philadelphia Eagles) all lost in the wild-card round. The Baltimore Ravens (48 percent) and the Kansas City Chiefs (17 percent) have the best data odds, per FiveThirtyEight.

From a betting perspective, Caesar's Palace has the 49ers' odds to win the Super Bowl at plus-300, also the third-best odds.

[RELATED: NFL playoff predictions for four divisional-round games]

The 49ers will face a tough test in the divisional-round when the Vikings visit Levi's Stadium. Led by a solid rushing attack and tough front seven, the Vikings have a recipe to win games in the playoffs.

But if the 49ers come out and punch them in the mouth Saturday, the wheels could come off the purple wagon in a hurry. 

NFL Draft 2020: Clemson's Isaiah Simmons designed to stop George Kittle

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USATSI

NFL Draft 2020: Clemson's Isaiah Simmons designed to stop George Kittle

INDIANAPOLIS -- George Kittle: Pass-catchers want to be like him, defenders want to contain him.

Kittle, three years removed from taking part in the NFL Scouting Combine, is now a transcendent player with the 49ers. He has become a standard for players who aspire for pro football stardom on either side of the ball.

In the case of do-everything Clemson linebacker Isaiah Simmons, he sees his value in the NFL as a player who can be an antidote for the way Kittle can control a game. After all, Kittle is a force in the passing game or as a run-blocker.

Why do NFL defenses need players like Simmons?

“If you know who George Kittle and Travis Kelce are, then that explains it all,” Simmons said Thursday at the NFL Scouting Combine. “Stopping tight ends, and linebackers playing man (coverage) on running backs.

“The game is no longer a 250-pound linebacker. It’s more guys that are able to run side to side and are able to cover. It’s just a necessity now with the tight ends and running backs.”

Simmons is a safety in a linebacker’s body. Or is he a linebacker in a defensive end’s body? Or is he something entirely different. When asked what position he plays, Simmons' standard answer is "defense."

“I would do everything I did in college,” Simmons said. “Just kind of like a Swiss Army knife. Move me around because then I’m able to show what I can really do. I wouldn’t say I’m really tied down to one position.”

Simmons measured in at 6-foot-3 5/8, 238 pounds with a wingspan of 81 7/8 inches. He could be a top-five pick in the draft. What's certain is this: When Simmons and Kittle are playing in the same game for the first time, it will be as competitors. The 49ers' first pick is at No. 31 overall.

As a junior, before declaring for the NFL Draft, Simmons registered 104 tackles in 15 games with eight sacks, three interceptions, eight passes defensed, two forced fumbles and one fumble recovery.

He compares his game to that of Kansas City defensive back Tyrann Mathieu, who is more than 6 inches shorter and nearly 50 pounds lighter than Simmons.

“I know years ago it wasn’t good to be a positionless guy,” Simmons said. “But, now, it’s become a benefit for me just because of all the versatility. I’ll be able to do, play linebacker, play safety, whatever it is, I feel like it just helps me out.

“Mentally, I feel like there isn’t anything I can’t do. I played every position except for a nose or 3-technique. When it comes down to it, I’m going to try with my best ability to do everything I can.”

[RELATED: Five defensive players 49ers should watch at combine]

And that includes matching up with the top tight ends in the NFL -- the guys who are difficult for any other player at a standard position to defend. Kittle, for instance, is too fast for linebackers and too strong and aggressive for defensive backs. Even Randy Moss' son, Thaddeus, is identifying Kittle as the player he tries to emulate

“The game is evolving so, the name of the game now is stopping tight ends,” Simmons said. “So something has to be done to stop these Travis Kelces and George Kittles out there.”

Kittle was voted the All-Pro tight end after his second consecutive 1,000-yard receiving season. He set the single-season NFL record for tight ends with 1,377 yards in 2018. Kelce registered his fourth consecutive 1,000-yard season with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2019.

NFL Draft 2020: Five defensive players 49ers should watch at combine

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AP

NFL Draft 2020: Five defensive players 49ers should watch at combine

What a difference one year can make.

Last year, the 49ers entered the NFL Scouting Combine with the No. 2 pick in the draft and had their eyes on defensive end Nick Bosa. This time around, San Francisco has the No. 31 pick after losing to the Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl LIV. Bosa was named Defensive Rookie of the Year after a dominant season.

While the 49ers have fewer needs and holes to fill than this time last year, there still are areas they can improve on through the draft. We already highlighted five receivers they should be watching throughout the combine. Now it's time to turn to the defense. 

Under coordinator Robert Saleh, the 49ers' pass defense improved by leaps and bounds last season. They allowed the fewest passing yards per games in the NFL at 169.2, but ranked just 16th in touchdowns allowed (23) and tied for eighth with 12 interceptions. Their pass defense benefitted greatly from a dangerous D-line, and the defensive backfield still could use some help. 

Safety Jimmie Ward is set to hit free agency, cornerback Richard Sherman turns 32 years old in March and is a free agent after 2020, and cornerback Ahkello Witherspoon took yet another step back in his third pro season. 

Alabama's Xavier McKinney could be the perfect draft prospect for the 49ers, but likely will be gone by the time they're on the clock. Cal product Ashtyn Davis also would have been a name to watch at the combine, however, the former track star isn't competing in drills as he rehabs from surgery that left him out of the Senior Bowl and the Redbox Bowl. 

LSU safety Grant Delpit fell to the 49ers in our latest mock draft before the combine, but won't perform in drills as he comes back from an ankle injury.

[RELATED: Shenault compares self to Deebo]

With that being said, here are five defensive backs for the 49ers to keep their eyes on in Indianapolis. All of the players below are expected to be available near the end of the first round of if the 49ers trade back to the second round.

C.J. Henderson, CB, Florida

Henderson is expected to test well and could be really impressive in drills. He's a lanky cornerback at 6-foot-1 and 204 pounds, who looks smooth in coverage. 

Henderson didn't have any interceptions as a junior but did produce 11 passes defensed. Over his three-year college career, he had six picks and 20 passes defensed. 

It might be a surprise if he's still available at No. 31. 

Damon Arnette, CB, Ohio State

Jeffrey Okudah stole the spotlight in the Buckeyes' secondary, but Arnette is rising up draft boards. While Okudah figures to be a top pick, Arnette should be available for the 49ers. 

That doesn't mean Arnette is a player to look past, though. He can play press or off the ball and got better and better at Ohio State. 

Arnette has plenty to gain at the combine, and could find himself on the 49ers' radar. 

Trevon Diggs, CB, Alabama

There are serious concerns about Diggs' ability as a tackler. He is a converted receiver and it really shows at times. But, his skills could convert well to Saleh's Cover 3 defense.

Diggs is the kind of long corner at 6-2 and 207 pounds that Saleh covets. The athleticism and ball skills are there. There also are reasons to worry about him if he's asked to do what doesn't fit him best. 

A.J. Terrell, CB, Clemson

One bad outing doesn't change everything. Terrell was roasted for giving up multiple touchdowns in the national championship game, but many of those were from being slightly too aggressive with his hands and a technique issue that easily can be changed. 

Terrell is a handsy corner who really knows how to jab. If he falls down boards, the 49ers should take advantage of that. 


Antoine Winfield Jr., S, Minnesota

Winfield is a firecracker. The 5-10 safety might not dominate the 40-yard dash but he makes plays. As a redshirt sophomore, Winfield recorded 83 tackles, seven interceptions and forced two fumbles. 

Winfield might not be the 49ers' first option at safety, however, they could take a long look at him if he falls. His tape speaks louder than his size or straight-line speed.