Raiders

With NHL expanding to Las Vegas, is NFL next?

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With NHL expanding to Las Vegas, is NFL next?

In 1999 during my time with the Vancouver Grizzlies we seriously explored Las Vegas as one of our relocation locations along with Anaheim, Louisville and Memphis. Commissioner David Stern was not a fan of putting a team in “Sin City” and our lobbying efforts both in Nevada and NBA headquarters came up snake eyes.

As the speculative talk continues relating to the Oakland Raiders relocation and the NHL awarding an expansion franchise to Las Vegas there are a number of complex considerations that will come into play before any franchise actually plays a full regular season in Nevada.

Size of Market and Demographics:

Las Vegas comes up every time a major professional league considers relocation or expansion. The size of the market and its unique demographic profile presents a significant hurdle for franchise success.

Las Vegas is 28th in population.

Las Vegas is the 42nd largest TV market.

Las Vegas would be the 5th smallest NFL TV market behind Green Bay, Buffalo, Jacksonville and New Orleans with 720,000 TV households.

Las Vegas has a large service industry population whose work hours are nine to five, that’s 9PM to 5AM. Retirees won’t necessarily spend their nest eggs buying seat licenses or tailgating. They may not be interested in attending any night game that doesn’t contain some sort of “Early Bird” special.

Gaming:

The leagues are taking a conservative position on how legalized gaming will work on the perception of their games, their superstar athletes, media scrutiny and overall business positioning.

NBA Commissioner Adam Silver had these comments on legalized betting:

“I think sports betting may happen sooner than anyone would have thought. But we’ll see. It depends what party is controlling Congress and who the President is. But I think it makes perfect sense especially when all these jurisdictions are in need of tax dollars, with crumbling infrastructure that if people don’t wanna raise taxes over here and if people are going to continue to gamble on sports illegally let’s protect the integrity of the league's, let’s regulate it, let's tax it.”

The NFL has a longstanding opposition to sports betting. That being said it is estimated that $4.2 billion dollars were bet on Super Bowl 50 with 97 percent of the bets made illegally. Legalized gaming might be preferred and present another massive revenue stream.

Commissioner Roger Goodell and several powerful owners may be softening their position based on the Raiders ongoing relocation challenges. With the ongoing controversy of CTE facing the NFL is now the time that they want to take on the multiple issues connected to moving a franchise to Las Vegas?

Competition:

Whenever the NFL or NHL decides to open their doors in Las Vegas they will be facing a significant amount of competition in a town that embraces mega-events:

- World Championship Boxing

- MMA and UFC

- Entertainment - Want a superstar concert or performance, there’s one every week. Cirque du Soleil and other long running shows don’t have long losing streaks

- Gambling - Oh yeah, that’s why people come to Las Vegas

- “What Happens in Vegas stays in Vegas”- Every General Manager for a team playing in Vegas will have this line memorized and not in a good way.

- PBR

- NASCAR

- UNLV Sports

- College basketball has found a home in Vegas for its postseason basketball tournament success with the Pac-12, WCC (West Coast Conference) WAC (Western Athletic Conference)

If you happen to be a losing franchise playing another bottom feeder up against several mega-events who will be coming to your game? That is going to be a team marketer's nightmare.

NFL Relocation fees:

Mark Davis hasn’t publicly talked about the cost that his fellow owners may decide to bill him for relocating the Silver and Black to the neon lights of Vegas. The speculation is that the fee could be from $250 million to the $550 the Rams paid to move from St. Louis to Los Angeles. Where are the Raiders going to get that relocation money considering they are already $750 million short of what they need to build a stadium in Las Vegas?

Relocation or Expansion:

Let’s say that the NFL decides that Las Vegas should be an expansion market with one other team (maybe London) creating a 34 team league. What if the league decided to wait a few years and make a play for legalized betting on all of their games? They could set a number for Las Vegas and London which would create stratospheric levels never seen before. Let’s say $3 billion dollars expansion fee per city.

Put yourself in position of being an NFL owner and direct depositing 1/32nd of the new pile of revenue from relocation or expansion. Do the simple math. Would you rather take 1/32nd of $250 million or more for a Raider’s relocation or be a bit more patient for 1/32nd of $6 billion dollars wired to your bank?

NHL Expansion:

The NHL has targeted $500 million for an expansion fee and they are planning to add only one team to get to an uneven 31. The Vegas franchise is expected to begin play in the 2017-18 season in the new T-Mobile Arena. The NHL last expanded in 2000 with Minnesota and Columbus who each paid $80 million dollar expansion fees. The Vegas franchise has said that they have 14,000 season ticket deposits. It is hard to understand how this franchise will make money when you add up all the factors plus paying back a half billion dollars for the privilege of being the first of the big four sports franchises to play in las Vegas. The NHL Board of Governors are meeting this week and could decide to spin the Vegas wheel.

Vegas Venues:

Las Vegas is not “State of the Art” sports venue heavy.

The brand new $350 million dollar T-Mobile Arena seating has just opened run by AEG and MGM Resorts.

Thomas & Mack Center-UNLV sports

Orleans Arena

Sam Boyd Stadium-UNLV Football

MGM Grand Garden Arena

Mandalay Bay Events Center

Cashman Field- The only professional team that is currently playing in the neon city is the Triple-A Las Vegas 51s affiliate of the New York Mets.

The Las Vegas Team Burial Ground:

Leagues - MISL, IBL, CFL, RHI, CISL, AFL, UFL, XFL, NASL, ABA, CBA, NPSL, IHL, ECHL.

Football - Cowboys, Gladiators, Locomotives, Posse, Outlaws, Sting.

Basketball - Bandits, Prolyms, Rattlers, Silvers, Silver Bandits, Slams, Stars.

Soccer - Dustdevils, Quicksilvers, Stallions, Strikers, Tabagators

Hockey - Thunder, Wranglers

Roller Hockey - Coyotes, Flash

Las Vegas with population of 2.2 million is the largest city in the country without a major sports franchise. If Vegas is such a safe bet how come none of the Big Four sports has rolled the dice and put a team there.

Ladies and gentlemen place your bets.

Mike Mayock reveals why he's OK with Raiders' NFL free agency spending

Mike Mayock reveals why he's OK with Raiders' NFL free agency spending

Mike Mayock always will be associated with the NFL draft. So it should come as no surprise that the former NFL Network draft analyst had to be convinced to improve the Raiders through free agency and trades.

NBC Sports' Peter King spoke with the Raiders general manager over the weekend and wrote about what Mayock told him in his Football Morning In America column.

So I’ve known Mayock for some time, and when we spoke Saturday night, he sounded like the same driven prospect-knower I’ve come to rely on in the last few years. “I’ll be honest,” he said. “I never believed in big spending in free agency. For years, that is not where my head was. But Jon Gruden and I spent a long, long time examining our team. We had so many team needs. We figured, we can go out and spend a little money on several positions. Or this year, we can look at three, four, five, six guys who can make a difference on the field and, as importantly, in the locker room. If we can get the guys we want, we should do it. We find a way to get Antonio Brown, Tyrell Williams, J.J. Nelson at receiver. We get a tackle, Trent Brown, 25 years old, who doesn’t even know how good he can be, who was lock-down, shutout in the playoffs for New England. We got Rodney Hudson at center, with a good young tackle, Kolton Miller, as the other tackle. We can line up and compete right now offensively.”

With the signings of Trent Brown, Williams, Joyner, Jon Feliciano, Josh Mauro and Nelson, the Raiders added just over $40 million to their 2019 salary. When you add the nearly $15 million that Anotnio Brown will make in 2019, Oakland has added $55 million worth of players for the upcoming season.

[RELATED: How AB trade almost didn't happen]

That definitely goes against Mayock's previous mindset. But as he's probably learning, you need veterans on the team in order to compete. And Gruden isn't about to throw away another year playing a bunch of rookies.

Why Raiders won award for Khalil Mack trade at MIT Sloan conference

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USATSI

Why Raiders won award for Khalil Mack trade at MIT Sloan conference

Daryl Morey is rooting for a team from ... Oakland?

The Houston Rockets general manager, whose Warriors obsession does not quite equate to fondness, told The Athletic's Vic Tafur he is "rooting for the Raiders" this season. The reason is even more surprising than the geography.

The Raiders won the Alpha Award at the MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference in Boston for "Best Transaction."

The deal?

Trading Khalil Mack (and a second-round pick) to the Chicago Bears for first-round picks in 2019 and 2020 and a third-round selection in 2020. 

“Everybody else thought it was a terrible trade, but draft picks are very valuable,” Morey told The Athletic over the phone Saturday. “Analytics tends to fly in the face of popular convention pretty often. We don’t care about what people say.”

Morey was a member of the voting panel and co-founded the conference. When he called Raiders president Marc Badain to tell him the Silver and Black took home the award, Badain thought it was a joke. 

"I had to tell him several times that I wasn't kidding," Morey said. "I guess they took a lot of heat for that."

That is an understatement. Mack finished the 2018 season with a half-a-sack fewer (12.5) than the Raiders did as a team (13), and made first-team All-Pro for the third time in the last four years. 

The 28-year-old also led the Bears to their first NFC North title (and a playoff berth) since 2010. That means the first-round selection the Raiders will ultimately receive is No. 24 overall, which is far lower than the team initially envisioned. 

[RELATED: Raiders reportedly hosting multiple veteran linebackers]

Of course, that pick is now one of five first-rounders the Silver and Black will have at its disposal in the next two drafts. That gives the Raiders a sizable opportunity to reshape their roster in the wake of winning just 10 games over the last two seasons.

The Mack trade was responsible for two of those selections, as well as the Raiders' newfound silverware. Morey said he was told the trophy is on Gruden's office desk. 

Whether any other trophies join the collection depends, at least in part, on what the Raiders do with the picks they got for Mack.