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Oklahoma (-11.5) at Nebraska: O/U 65.0
Everything has changed. Scott Frost is out in Nebraska and the Cornhuskers will attempt to shock the world.
In sports, it is normally a play-on spot when a team fires their head coach and with a program like Nebraska, I believe they fit that play-on spot. Look at Joe Girardi and the Phillies.
The two teams met last year and Oklahoma escaped with a 23-17 victory at home after Nebraska scored with a little over five minutes remaining.
In the series since 2000, the Under is 5-2 (71.4%), while Nebraska is 4-3 ATS (57.1%), plus 2-1 ATS and on the ML at home versus Oklahoma.
As we know, Frost was the king of losing close games at Nebraska and he did so in the last meeting versus Oklahoma and pretty much every opponent he lost too.
After a duo of three-point losses against Northwestern and Georgia Southern, that was enough. In 13-straight losses, Nebraska has lost by single-digits all 13 times dating back to 2020. A change of culture was needed to get over the hump.
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Oklahoma has gone 1-1 ATS in the first two games, barely covering versus as -31 point favorites versus UTEP, won by 32, and failed to cover against Kent State as -33 point favorites, won by 30.
Over the last three seasons, it has not been profitable to bet the Sooners as road favorites (4-7 ATS) but that was under Lincoln Riley.
This will be Oklahoma’s first competitive game with its new coaching staff and they can throw everything out the window from the games prior, because this Cornhuskers coaching staff will come at the Sooners much differently than Frost would.
I would play the Nebraska 1H but it’s +6.5 and not +7 or +7.5, then I’d be sold.
I played the spread of +11.5 on Nebraska for 1 unit at -110 odds and grabbed the ML at +330 for a 0.5 unit.
This line moved way down after Frost was fired, some had -16 and -17, while last week it was Oklahoma -9.
I think we could see a upset and Nebraska revitalized with Frost’s firing and I’m not the only one.
Pick: Nebraska +11.5 (1u), Nebraska ML (0.5u)
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