UFC Vegas 56 has a bunch of great betting opportunities. The UFC took one week off and granted us gamblers extra time for tape study. Follow me on Twitter @CombatSportsNBC for my tracked bets. Feel free to DM me if you want my picks for any fight on the card and my thoughts on any other props or parlays you’re interested in playing.
*** Fight: Zhalgas Zhumagulov vs Jeff Molina
** Prop Play: Zhalgas Zhumagulov by Points (+340) on PointsBet
Analysis: Jeff Molina has been taken down five times in the UFC and has a 37% takedown defense. Zhalgas Zhumagulov averages 1.25 takedowns per 15 minutes and should increase his takedown attempts in this matchup. This is a very close fight and should hit the scorecards. Zhalgas can win rounds by mixing in the takedowns with his striking.
*** Fight: Damon Jackson vs Daniel Argueta
** Prop Play: Damon Jackson/Under 2.5 Rounds (-103) on PointsBet
Analysis: Damon Jackson is better everywhere this fight goes and should finish this fight. Damon Jackson will have a four-inch height advantage and a three inch reach advantage. Daniel Argueta has physical disadvantages to overcome and he is also coming up in weight for this matchup. Jackson is going to outhustle him and will have a lot of success wrestling him. He should be able to finish this fight as Argueta tires in round two.
*** Fight: Alonzo Menifield vs Askar Mozharov
** Prop Play: Alonzo Menifield/Under 2.5 Rounds (+104) on PointsBet
Analysis: This fight is going to finish fast. A first-round finish is likely. Alonzo Menifield will have a full gas tank for round one and should be able to use his experience to pick his shots or take his opponent down to the ground. Alonzo should counterstrike with big power and combinations.
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*** Fight: Ode Osbourne vs Zarrukh Adashev
** Prop Play: Ode Osbourne/Under 2.5 Rounds (+205) on PointsBet
Analysis: Ode Osbourne is big for this division. He will have an eight-inch reach advantage in this matchup. He can strike at range and will rounds. He will also have plenty of success if he chooses to wrestle. Zarrukh is going to get behind early and will be desperate to get back into this fight which will open up finishing opportunities for Ode Osbourne.
*** Fight: Poliana Botelho vs Karine Silva
** Prop Play: Will the fight go the distance - NO (+124) on PointsBet
Analysis: Both of these girls look to finish fights which is why the play here is to bet the fight to finish Inside The Distance. Botelho is very aggressive and has a tendency to allow her opponent to dictate where the fight will go when they catch her in a prone position as a result of her being off-balance. Karine Silva pursues submissions often which will lead to a finish by her or Botelho depending on which fighter takes advantage of the scrambles.
*** Fight: Movsar Evloev vs Dan Ige
** Prop Play: Movsar Evloev by Points (-167) on PointsBet
Analysis: Movsar Evloev is a controlled wrestler who favors position over submission. Evloev will secure the takedown and keep top control to win rounds. Both fighters are capable strikers as long as this fight stays standing. The winning moments in this fight will be on the ground and Evloev has the advantage.
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