Vaughn Dalzell breaks down how he’s betting Jaylen Brown player props in Game 3 between Celtics and 76ers.
Jaylen Brown O/U 33.5 PRA vs. 76ers
Instead of picking a side or the total in Game 3 between the Celtics and 76ers, I will target Jaylen Brown‘s PRA prop.
Brown averages 23.7 points, 5.3 rebounds and 4.3 assists per game in the series (33.3 PRA) and 25.7 points, 5.3 rebounds and 4.2 assists per game in the playoffs (35.2 PRA). Brown hasn’t missed a free-throw in this series (15/15), plus shooting 55.6% from the field and 42.9% from three.
Brown’s totaled 33, 32 and 35 PRA over the three games against the 76ers thus far, so this prop is right on the number. While this is a sharp line, I like the Over with how efficient he’s been and how important this game is.
In Game 4 of the first round against the Hawks, Brown recorded 31 points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists to hit the Over and he hit the Over in his previous game versus the 76ers.
I like him to hit the Over versus a semi-existent 76ers’ defense. I played Brown Over 33.5 PRA at -115 odds and would go to 34.5 for a half-unit or pivot to 25+ points or the Over 24.5 Points.
Pick: Jaylen Brown Over 33.5 PRA (Risk 1u)
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