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Domantas Sabonis O/U 31.5 Points + Rebounds vs. Bucks
Domantas Sabonis has posted impressive numbers to start the season without Caris LeVert and T.J. Warren in the lineup.
To start 2021, Sabonis averages 26.0 points per game and 12.0 rebounds for 38.0 points and rebounds through three games. Sabonis has played 39-43 minutes in all three games with a lack of depth being Indiana’s Achille heel.
Speaking of injuries, Milwaukee has a ton of them down low. Brook Lopez is out, Semi Ojeleye is out, Bobby Portis is day-to-day and could be on a minutes restriction if he does play. That leaves Giannis Antetokounmpo as the only healthy power forward or center in the primary rotation.
Per NBC’s player prop model, Sabonis has hit the Over 20.5 points, 11.5 rebounds and 31.5 points and rebounds in two out of three games to start the season.
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Sabonis is second to none with 24.7 rebound chances per game, leading the NBA. Only nine players have 20 or more rebound chances on average to start the season.
The Bucks have also surrendered 114 points in the paint over the last two games and without Lopez and possibly Portis, it could stay ugly down low for Milwaukee.
Sabonis scored 33 and 28 points in his first two games before dropping to 17.
I like the chances he does both Over 20.5 points and 11.5 rebounds, so I will take the multi-play of Over 31.5 Points and Rebounds (-115).
This should be 32.5 or higher, as it is at most books.
Pick: Domantas Sabonis Over 31.5 Points + Rebounds (1.5u)
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