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Back Dak Prescott to go Over his Pass Attempts total versus Tampa Bay

Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott

Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports

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Dak Prescott O/U 35.5 Pass Attempts vs. Buccaneers

This was our season-opener last year and Dak Prescott smashed his Over 39.5 pass attempts line with a 58 pass attempt performance against the same Tampa Bay Buccaneers squad.

This year, Dallas loses their All-Pro OT Tyron Smith to an injury and are still without WR Michael Gallup, plus WR Amari Cooper is now catching passes from Jacoby Brissett in Cleveland.

The Cowboys offense will look a tad bit different but relying on Prescott and RB Ezekiel Elliott is still the plan for Jerry Jones’ team.

Elliott has been on a slight decline over the last two seasons in terms of production and health, while Prescott is coming off career-highs in passing touchdowns (37), completion percentage (68.8%), completions (410) and attempts (596).

Prescott was 10-6 to the Over 35.5 pass attempts last season (62.5%) and our player prop model projects the Cowboys QB for 38.9 pass attempts, so hitting the Over with a few to spare.

Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott

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Starting QBs were 10-7 to the Over 35.5 and 36.5 (58.8%) versus Tampa Bay last season and I expect Tampa Bay to focus on stopping Elliott and Tony Pollard, two of the Cowboys main three weapons for Prescott (CeeDee Lamb the other).

Tampa Bay’s secondary leaves much desired as far as talent but still rank as a top 10 unit entering the season along with the Bucs’ front seven. However, Prescott exposed them last season for 403 passing yards on 42-of-58 (72.4%) for three touchdowns and one interception.

In Prescott’s career versus Tampa Bay, he averages 31.3 completions on 39.6 pass attempts for 281.0 passing yards and four total passing touchdowns to one interception over three games.

I see another 40-plus pass attempts from Prescott, this time on Sunday Night Football. I do not expect a 31-29 game or 403 yards from Prescott, I actually think this will be a lower-scoring game, resulting in Prescott to slice and dice -- the Tom Brady way.

I played Dak Prescott Over 35.5 pass attempts at -115 and -125 odds on DK and MGM.

This is playable at Over 36.5 pass attempts for 1 unit as well.

Pick: Dak Prescott Over 35.5 Pass Attempts (1u)

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