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Bears at Packers (-9.5): O/U 43.0
It’s a bounce back week for Aaron Rodgers and the Packers as they welcome the Chicago Bears to Lambeu.
Rodgers is 12-2 on the ML (85.7%) and 10-4 ATS (71.4%) at home versus the Bears in his career, per NBC’s Edge Finder. Rodgers is 3-1 ATS in the games tagged as -10 point home favorites or more against Chicago.
A-Rod and the Pack have won six-straight at home versus the Bears and went 5-1 ATS (83.3%) in that span.
In 27 career games versus Chicago, Rodgers is 22-5 on the ML (81.4%) and 20-7 ATS (70%). Below are the home ATS records for Green Bay versus Chicago with Rodgers playing.
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While I admit the Packers offense did not look great last week, they hardly do to open the season. The offense was breaking in tons of new receivers and you can bet that Rodgers and the coaching staff will have most of their issues ironed out ahead of the home opener.
Chicago won a sloppy game drenched in ran over San Francisco, but now come off a emotional win and head on the road to Green Bay where they struggle, plus one interesting stat worth riding on the home side.
The Packers have won and covered 11-straight regular-season games following a loss with Rodgers! Green Bay has not lost back-to-back games in the regular season since 2018.
I will back the Pack at -9.5 for 1 unit at -110 odds. I would prefer not to play past -10.
The Packers will likely be one of my teaser options for Sunday, getting them at -3.
Pick: Packers -9.5 (1u)
Fantasy football guru Matthew Berry has joined the team and his two shows have you covered all season long. Spend weekdays at noon with the Fantasy Football Happy Hour and then, every Sunday at 11am getting ready for kickoff with the Fantasy Football Pregame. Watch both shows live on Peacockand catch replays for the weekday show on the NFL on NBC YouTube channel.
