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International Break is over, and the FIFA 2022 World Cup draw is taking place. For the United States, the pain felt in 2018 has subsided after qualifying for this year’s World Cup. The biggest shock from the latest international window is Italy’s failure to qualify. Italy were handed their marching orders after a shock loss in the semifinals to North Macedonia. We now turn our attention to the Premier League as Liverpool fight to overtake Manchester City for the league title. With players having logged a lot of minutes during the qualification window, we must remain very selective in our picks. The first pick that I found is backing a strong team at home, you can find these odds on PointsBet Sportsbook.
Liverpool vs Watford (Saturday, 7:25 a.m. ET)
Liverpool to win to nil (-125)
At first glance of the head-to-head between the teams, you’d instantly want to consider backing both teams to score “no.” In the last six matches, BTTS no has hit in every match. Five out of six coming with Liverpool keeping clean sheets. Which is what I am backing in this match, paired with Liverpool winning. Liverpool to win to nil.
Liverpool are in the middle of a possible historic comeback. At one point in the season, it seemed Manchester City’s lead was too large for Liverpool to have a realistic shot at winning. Now they are just one point behind City, and anything can happen.
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Liverpool have the second-best xGA at home in the EPL this season. They are conceding just 0.5 goals per match and have elite defensive players that will limit the opportunities Watford sees on Saturday. Wolves haven’t produced much quality in front of the net this season averaging just one goal per match with an xG of 1.08. They have been shut out 14 times this season with 53% of their away matches seeing them go goalless.
Liverpool have a league-high 17 clean sheets this season. 64% of their home matches see their opponents go goalless. For them, they are playing a Watford side who are 18th on the table and don’t pose much threat.
The title-chasing Liverpool have earned shutout wins in their last four matches and the last six out of eight. I am backing Liverpool to win to nil (-125).
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