The Boston Celtics' regular season is over. But if you think their selections in the 2019 NBA Draft are set, you've got another thing coming.
In addition to their own pick, the Celtics have the rights to the Los Angeles Clippers', Sacramento Kings' and possibly Memphis Grizzlies' first-round selections. But as of Thursday, we don't know where any of those picks will fall.
Here's why: The Celtics, Clippers, Kings and Grizzlies all finished tied with at least one other team in the final NBA standings. The tiebreakers come Friday at the NBA's Board of Governors meeting, where coin flips will determine the first-round draft order for picks 15 through 30 and NBA Draft Lottery positions for picks 1 through 14.
That means we'll know Friday where two of the Celtics' picks will fall -- its own and L.A.'s -- in addition to what lottery position they'll have for the Kings pick and the Grizzlies pick, which Memphis would keep if it lands inside the top 8.
It's all a little confusing, but we've got you covered. Below are odds for where each of Boston's first-round selections could land, two of which will depend on the May 14 lottery.
OWN PICK
21st overall: 50 percent
22nd overall: 50 percent
Boston Celtics
CLIPPERS PICK
18th overall: 33.3 percent
19th overall: 33.3 percent
20th overall: 33.3 percent
The Kings and Grizzlies both are in three-way ties, meaning Sacramento has a 33.3 percent chance of landing the 12th, 13th and 14th lottery positions, while Memphis has a 33.3 percent chance of getting the 7th, 8th and 9th lottery positions.
Below are the odds of which pick they could obtain in the lottery based on those three separate results (hat tip to Tankathon.com).
KINGS PICK
If in 12th lottery position...
1st overall: 1 percent (wouldn't convey to Celtics; pick is top-1 protected)
2nd overall: 1.1 percent
3rd overall: 1.2 percent
4th overall: 1.4 percent
12th overall: 86.1 percent
13th overall: 9.0 percent
14th overall: 0.2 percent
If in 13th lottery position...
1st overall: 1 percent (wouldn't convey to Celtics)
2nd overall: 1.1 percent
3rd overall: 1.2 percent
4th overall: 1.4 percent
13th overall: 90.6 percent
14th overall: 4.6 percent
If in 14th lottery position...
1st overall: 1 percent (wouldn't convey to Celtics)
2nd overall: 1.1 percent
3rd overall: 1.2 percent
4th overall: 1.4 percent
14th overall: 95.2 percent
GRIZZLIES PICK
If in 7th lottery position...
1st overall: 6.0 percent (wouldn't convey to Celtics; pick is top-8 protected)
2nd overall: 6.3 percent (wouldn't convey to Celtics)
3rd overall: 6.7 percent (wouldn't convey to Celtics)
4th overall: 7.2 percent (wouldn't convey to Celtics)
7th overall: 19.7 percent (wouldn't convey to Celtics)
8th overall: 37.2 percent (wouldn't convey to Celtics)
9th overall: 19.1 percent
10th overall: 1.6 percent
11th overall: >0.0 percent
Total chances Celtics receive pick: 20.7 percent
If in 8th lottery position...
1st overall: 6.0 percent (wouldn't convey to Celtics; pick is top-8 protected)
2nd overall: 6.3 percent (wouldn't convey to Celtics)
3rd overall: 6.7 percent (wouldn't convey to Celtics)
4th overall: 7.2 percent (wouldn't convey to Celtics)
8th overall: 31.2 percent (wouldn't convey to Celtics)
9th overall: 34.1 percent
10th overall: 8.0 percent
11th overall: 0.5 percent
12th overall: >0.0 percent
Total chances Celtics receive pick: 42.6 percent
If in 9th lottery position...
1st overall: 6.0 percent (wouldn't convey to Celtics; pick is top-8 protected)
2nd overall: 6.3 percent (wouldn't convey to Celtics)
3rd overall: 6.7 percent (wouldn't convey to Celtics)
4th overall: 7.2 percent (wouldn't convey to Celtics)
9th overall: 46.4 percent
10th overall: 24.3 percent
11th overall: 2.9 percent
12th overall: 0.1 percent
13th overall: >0.0 percent
Total chances Celtics receive pick: 73.6 percent
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