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NFL picks Week 1: Latest odds, predictions against the spread for all games

NFL picks Week 1: Latest odds, predictions against the spread for all games

The 2019 NFL season is finally here, and the action begins Thursday night with the Chicago Bears hosting the Green Bay Packers for another chapter in the league's most historic rivalry.

The return of pro football means it's Christmas in September for sports bettors. Football is the most popular sport in the betting world, and everyone has a clean slate entering Week 1.

There was a ton of player movement in the offseason, with multiple superstars changing teams and shifting the balance of power in both conferences as a result. This makes it difficult to accurately handicap teams going into the new season, but that also means there's value to be found because some of these spreads could be way off in hindsight. 

Without further ado, let's take a look at the latest NFL odds (via the Westgate SuperBook) and make picks against the spread for every Week 1 matchup. Each pick is italicized.

Thursday, Sept. 5
Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears (-3)

Sunday, Sept. 8
Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings (-4)
Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles (-10)
Buffalo Bills at New York Jets (-3)
Baltimore Ravens (-6.5) at Miami Dolphins
San Francisco 49ers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (pick 'em)
Kansas City Chiefs (-3) at Jacksonville Jaguars
Tennessee Titans at Cleveland Browns (-5)
Los Angeles Rams (-2.5) at Carolina Panthers
Detroit Lions (-3) at Arizona Cardinals
Cincinnati Bengals at Seattle Seahawks (-9.5)
Indianapolis Colts at Los Angeles Chargers (-6.5)
New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys (-7)
Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots (-5.5)

Monday, Sept. 9
Houston Texans at New Orleans Saints (-7)
Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders (pick 'em)

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NFL rumors: Salary details of Cam Newton's Patriots contract revealed

NFL rumors: Salary details of Cam Newton's Patriots contract revealed

The New England Patriots aren't spending a whole lot of money to bring Cam Newton to Foxboro.

Reports surfaced Sunday night that the Patriots and the veteran quarterback had agreed to a one-year, incentive-laden contract worth up to $7.5 million. 

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Jason La Canfora of CBS Sports reported Wednesday the financial breakdown of Newton's contract with the Patriots, including the base salary, guaranteed money and incentive totals.

The Patriots didn't have much salary cap space before this move. In fact, they recently had the lowest amount of available cap space in the entire league. So, for them to be able to acquire Newton and not have to spend a ton of money or cap space is pretty extraordinary.

Perhaps the most interesting part of Newton's contract is that the Patriots could franchise tag the 31-year-old quarterback next offseason. It gives New England more options in the event Newton has a strong 2020 season.

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There's not a ton of risk with this move, and it could end up being one of the best roster additions of Bill Belichick's 20-year tenure in New England if Newton is able to stay healthy.

Newton is a former league MVP (2015) and has been one of the most exciting quarterbacks to watch throughout his nine-year career. The last time he played close to a full season was 2018, when the former No. 1 overall draft pick threw for 3,395 yards with 24 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. Newton also ran for 488 yards and scored four rushing touchdowns in those 14 games.

If he produces similar or better statistics in 2020, the Patriots should have a strong chance to extend their playoff appearance streak to 12 seasons.

NFL rumors: Week 1 and Week 4 of 2020 preseason schedule to be eliminated

NFL rumors: Week 1 and Week 4 of 2020 preseason schedule to be eliminated

The NFL preseason could feature half as many games as we're accustomed to seeing.

ProFootballTalk reported Wednesday that Week 1 and Week 4 of the 2020 preseason will be eliminated.

Here's an explanation from PFT's Mike Florio:

The move was driven by two primary factors. First, teams who will be playing preseason games on the road won’t want to move that many people. Second, given that no teams had on-field practice sessions in the offseason, coaches would rather have the extra time to work with their teams, and that will happen if they don’t have to worry about two extra preseason games.

The NFLPA has yet to sign off on these moves, according to NFL Media's Mike Garafolo:

These cuts make a lot of sense as the COVID-19 pandemic continues to impact the United States and the rest of the world. The pandemic has forced all offseason activities so far to be held virtually. Training camps are scheduled to begin July 28, and the league announced earlier this week that it's sticking to that date

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What would these preseason changes mean for the New England Patriots? It's not yet known if teams will just play their Week 2 and Week 3 preseason games, or if any opponents and/or dates will also be changed.

Here's the Patriots' original preseason schedule that was announced a few weeks ago:

  • Thursday, August 8 at Lions, 7:30 p.m.
  • Saturday, August 17 at Titans, 7:00 p.m.
  • Thursday, August 22 vs. Panthers, 7:30 p.m.
  • Thursday, August 29 vs. Giants, 7:30 p.m.

The most intriguing matchup on the Patriots' preseason schedule is with the Panthers, especially after New England reportedly agreed to sign former Carolina quarterback Cam Newton

Newton spent nine seasons with the Panthers before being released in March. He was a free agent for several months before finally landing in New England. This preseason matchup would be Newton's first time playing against the team that drafted him No. 1 overall in 2011.

It sounds like both the league and NFLPA still have some things to work out regarding the preseason. In any event, playing the full four-game schedule doesn't make a ton of sense given the current COVID-19 situation.