Phil Perry's NFL Mock Draft 2.0
Phil Perry's NFL Mock Draft 2.0
With the combine winding down in Indianapolis and prospects confirming just how athletic they looked on tape -- or, if they posted shocking numbers, sending evaluators sprinting to the tape to re-check their work -- let's take a look at how the first round of the 2019 draft could shake out.
Kyler Murray, QB, Oklahoma
This was our choice for the top spot when we did out last mock draft, immediately after Murray announced he'd be focusing on football. Since then, the rest of the world seems convinced Murray is going No. 1. And the Cardinals haven't done much to hide their intentions, saying Josh Rosen is their guy "right now." Feels like a matter of time.
Nick Bosa, EDGE, Ohio State
The Niners have absolutely loaded up on the interior of their defensive line in recent years. Now they have a certified stud to get after the quarterback from the edges. This is a relatively simplistic scheme, but it requires impactful rushers, and Bosa gives them just that.
Josh Allen, EDGE, Kentucky
The Jets could consider going with Ole Miss wideout DK Metcalf here to provide Sam Darnold with a true outside-the-numbers threat for years to come, but they go with one of the most impressive pass-rushers in the class instead.
DK Metcalf, WR, Ole Miss
Al Davis isn't running the show anymore, but doesn't Metcalf just seem like the kind of pick Davis would love? Metcalf lit up the combine with a 4.33-second 40-yard dash at 6-foot-3, 228 pounds. He's dealt with injuries, and his change-of-direction times (7.38-second three-cone, 4.5-second short shuttle) were not good. But Jon Gruden and Mike Mayock grab a rare athlete with huge potential here.
Quinnen Williams, DT, Alabama
The Bucs had a nice start to their draft absolutely fall into their laps here. Williams is considered by some to be a surefire top-of-the-line interior lineman very soon. Some even had him projected to go in the No. 1 spot a few weeks ago. The Bucs wouldn't hesitate to turn in the card here.
Dwayne Haskins, QB, Ohio State
Haskins ran the slowest 40-yard dash of any quarterback at the combine, but that doesn't matter. He has good size (6-3, 231), a big arm, and plenty of room to grow since last season was his first as a full-time starter. General manager Dave Gettelman can continue to trot out Eli Manning since it looks like he's desperate to, and let Haskins learn until he's ready.
Rashan Gary, DL, Michigan
Gary is one of the most outstanding athletes in this draft class, regardless of position. In this scenario, the Jags will have already signed Nick Foles to be their quarterback so they aren't in the mix at that position. Instead they add to a defense that's already loaded with individual talent.
8. DOLPHINS (VIA LIONS)
Drew Lock, QB, Missouri
The Dolphins can't go into next season with Ryan Tannehill as their guy. So they get aggressive. Brian Flores calls former colleagues Matt Patricia and Bob Quinn to make a deal, sending Detroit No. 13 overall and a future second to move up five spots and get their guy. Lock was impressive in Indy, not only for what he did in the workouts -- which only mean so much -- but by the way in which he handled himself.
Jawaan Taylor, OT, Florida
Whether the Bills go with Taylor of Alabama's Jonah Williams, the purpose of the pick is the same: Protect the franchise. Josh Allen is a running quarterback, but he needs to be provided with some semblance of an opportunity to stay in the pocket from time to time.
Jonah Williams, OT, Alabama
The Broncos have the ammo to deal for Arizona's Josh Rosen, but John Elway wasn't sold on him last year as a franchise quarterback (Elway took edge rusher Bradley Chubb instead), and it's hard to believe much has changed since then. Here they go with one of the surest prospects in the class at any position.
Cody Ford, OL, Oklahoma
We've got a run on tackles here, folks. The Bengals haven't been able to replace Andrew Whitworth in two years. They tried Cedric Ogbuehi. They tried Cordy Glenn. Now it's up to Cody Ford to solve the problem. He was a force on the best offensive line in the country last season.
Brian Burns, EDGE, Florida State
The Packers need pass-rush help. Clay Mathews is getting close to the end. And Burns looks like he'd fit a 3-4 outside linebacker role really well with his fluid athleticism. If Green Bay wants to send him after the quarterback, Burns is among the most explosive players in the class. If they want to drop him into coverage, he's smooth enough to do that as well.
13. BROWNS (VIA LIONS)
Ed Oliver, DT, Houston
It's getting interesting now! We've been told the talent in this class is about equal from just inside the top-10 through the remainder of the first round. So why not trade back and try to acquire assets if there's not much difference between No. 8 and No. 17? That's exactly what the Lions have done here. With the pick they acquired from Miami (their first trade back), Patricia and Quinn have moved back again. They have their eyes on tight ends, and all three of the best are still available. If they can get one at No. 17, they'll be happy. The Browns, meanwhile, are happy to move up because they want a quick-hitting interior pass-rusher like Oliver to play alongside Myles Garrett. And they want to make sure the Falcons, also looking for aggressive interior defensive linemen, don't get him first.
Christian Wilkins, DT, Clemson
Atlanta misses out on the opportunity to draft Oliver, but they get the next best thing in Wilkins. He may not be as explosive as the player who went one pick earlier, but he should be able to play a variety of techniques and on all three downs. Not a bad consolation prize in the middle of the first round.
15. CARDINALS (VIA REDSKINS)
Clelin Ferrell, EDGE, Clemson
In this scenario, the Cardinals trade Josh Rosen to Washington in exchange for the No. 15 pick straight up. The Cardinals take their second first-round selection and go with a pass-rusher who didn't necessarily blow up the combine (certainly not the way the next pick off the board did), but Ferrell knows how to play football. Opposite Chandler Jones, he should be rock solid.
Montez Sweat, EDGE, Mississippi State
Carolina is in desperate need of some pass-rush help. They could go with a linebacker here (Devin White of LSU is still on the board), or they could go with a guard (NC State's Garrett Bradbury is available), but they go with an athletic specimen who who just had one of the best combine performances in the last decade for a player at his position.
17. LIONS (VIA BROWNS)
TJ Hockenson, TE, Iowa
Even though there are still a mess of tight ends on the board, the Lions figure it's time to pounce on their favorite rather than trying to continue to move back and stockpile picks. Hockenson isn't an off-the-charts athlete like his college teammate Noah Fant, but he's really impressive athletically and is the most well-rounded tight end in the class.
Garrett Bradbury, OL, NC State
Bradbury was one of the biggest winners of the combine with the way he tested. He was already considered by many to be the best interior line prospect in the class, but he lit it up in Indy with a 4.92-second 40 (third among offensive linemen), 34 reps on the bench (second) and a 7.41-second three-cone (first). The Vikings need offensive line help however they can get it, and Bradbury could theoretically play anywhere on the interior even though he's
Marquise Brown, WR, Oklahoma
Tyreek Hill probably has teams reconsidering just how highly they value elite speed when they see it. Hill is a freak in terms of his movement skills, and though Brown might not be quite in that class . . . he's probably the next-best thing as an undersized burner.
Devin White, LB, LSU
The Bengals better hope their pick of Ford at No. 11 works out. Because if they whiffed, and if the Steelers hit with White, then Cincinnati will be kicking itself for letting a thumping linebacker -- one that seemed like a perfect fit for the Bengals -- fall to a division rival. The Steelers have needed an off-the-ball presence here ever since Ryan Shazier's injury.
Nasir Adderly, S, Delaware
The Seahawks could use some corner help, but neither Byron Murphy nor Greedy Williams seem to fit their prototype. Adderly, meanwhile, looks like the kind of rangy and versatile safety that Seattle wants patrolling the deep middle in their single-high looks. He won't be Earl Thomas, but he'll give Pete Carroll some stability on the back end.
N'Keal Harry, WR, Arizona State
With little in the way of edge help that would make sense here, Baltimore goes with a receiver who should help the development of its at-times inaccurate passer. Harry has a large catch radius and possesses the ability to make ridiculously difficult contested catches.
Andre Dillard, OT, Washington State
One of the best athletes among the big men at this year's combine, Dillard placed fourth in the 40-yard dash among all linemen, second in the three-cone and first in the short shuttle. He has quick feet and all kinds of experience in pass protection working out of an Air Raid system. The Texans and Deshaun Watson are desperate for capable players up front, and they had one drop on their doorstep here.
Chauncey Gardner-Johnson, DB, Florida
The Raiders already have a game-breaking receiver and a pass-rusher added to their roster, and here they have a shot at taking care of yet another need. The question is, which one? The Raiders could use a corner and a safety, and in Gardner-Johnson they'll have someone who could fill either. He's played free safety. He's played slot corner. He likes to hit. He can play the football in the air. He's not widely-considered a first-rounder, but he could certainly end up here.
Jeffery Simmons, DT, Mississippi State
A 2016 arrest for assaulting a woman -- which was captured on video and still lives online -- might've forced Simmons down draft boards even if he was healthy. But he's not. He tore his ACL during the pre-draft process. That will send him tumbling even farther. But he'll be healthy for 2020, one would think, and when he is, he'll be just the kind of defensive lineman the Eagles are looking for. If the team can live without getting an impact player for 2019 on Day 1 of the draft, this would make a lot of sense.
Byron Murphy, CB, Washington
Finally. A corner off the board. This isn't a good class at the position, but there's so much value in capable cover men that it's a surprise it took this long for one to be selected. Murphy is the kind of player who seems to project well regardless of the system. He and second-year linebacker Darius Leonard could make up the nucleus of the Indy defense for a long, long time.
27. RAIDERS (VIA COWBOYS)
Greedy Williams, CB, LSU
Either the Raiders just got a top-10 talent at a bargain price, or they got themselves a four-year headache. Williams runs hot and cold. He has the ability to shadow gifted receivers. He has the ability to disappear and show less than full effort. At this point in the draft, and for a team with the number of picks the Raiders have, this is kind of a no-brainer. If they hit on Williams, there's little that's as valuable as a lock-down corner.
Dalton Risner, Kansas State, TCU
You don't have to look all that hard to figure out what went wrong for the Chargers in the Divisional Round against the Patriots. Offensively, they couldn't protect Philip Rivers. He was under duress for the entirety of the afternoon because his blockers couldn't solve the rush, and if they did, they often still couldn't stop it. Risner is a powerful player who could play inside or at tackle and give the Chargers a push in the right direction when it comes to fixing that unit. They were the 27th-ranked pass-protection unit by Pro Football Focus, and the 28th-ranked run game unit.
Deandre Baker, CB, Georgia
Because the quality of the players is so similar at this point in the draft, positional value matters. The Chiefs could use a few new defensive backs to step up and contribute in 2019 if they're going to be a threat to make the Super Bowl yet again. Baker has as good a shot as anyone left to do just that. He was a quality cover corner in the SEC, matching up with some of the most talented receivers in the country.
Noah Fant, TE, Iowa
It's getting harder and harder to imagine this player getting anywhere near the second round given how well he tested at the combine this week. He was by far and away the freakiest player at his position when it came to his speed and his jumps. And those traits are apparent on tape. He's not the blocker Hockenson is, but he'll have plenty of value in today's NFL where players like Travis Kelce and Zach Ertz can be game-changers.
Jerry Tillery, DT, Notre Dame
Ndamukong Suh's power and athleticism are just about impossible to replace with any one player. Never mind a rookie. But Tillery would give the Rams an interior rusher to play right next to Aaron Donald. If Tillery can attract any sort of attention that might result in opposing offenses falling asleep on Donald, he'd be worth the first-round choice. An edge player would make sense here, but most considered to be first-round options are at this point off the board.
Dexter Lawrence, DT, Clemson
At 6-foot-5, 342 pounds, with an 84-inch wingspan and elite athleticism for someone his size, Lawrence certainly qualifies as a "those guys don't grow on trees" type for Bill Belichick. (Belichick likes that particular phrase and dropped it when talking about Alan Branch's athleticism at the end of the 2016 season. "How unique is it? I mean, yeah, guys that weigh 350 pounds and are athletic and long like he is? I mean they don’t grow on trees. They’re hard to find.") With both Malcom Brown and Danny Shelton potentially elsewhere next season, Lawrence would have an opportunity at immediate playing time in a defense that still focuses on acquiring big bodies to stop the run. Lawrence was suspended for the college football playoffs after testing positive for a performance-enhancing drug, ostarine, which he said he did not knowingly ingest. He suffered a minor quad strain during his combine workout, according to Kim Jones of NFL Network, which limited him to only the 40-yard dash.