NFL playoffs

How the reported expanded NFL playoff proposal impacts the Patriots

How the reported expanded NFL playoff proposal impacts the Patriots

NFL owners are pushing for a big change that would be part of a new collective bargaining agreement with the players. The league reportedly will propose expanding the postseason to add a seventh playoff team in each conference.

As ESPN's Adam Schefter detailed, the league would now have six games on Wild Card weekend under the new proposal, three in each conference, and only the No. 1 seed in each conference will get a playoff bye.

Also in the proposal is a 17-game regular season with a preseason shortened to three games. The changes would be implemented for the 2020 season if the new CBA is ratified by the owners and NFL Players Association.

If adopted, this is certainly a massive change and one that could have a big impact on the New England Patriots. 

The Patriots have mastered the art of qualifying for a bye in their two-decade-long dynasty. In fact, this past postseason was the first time New England didn't have a first-round bye since the 2009-10 postseason. The Patriots finished as the No. 3 seed and promptly lost to the Tennessee Titans at home, marking their earliest playoff exit since the '10 postseason.

Thus, the elimination of one of the byes could have a significant impact on the Patriots. Since Bill Belichick took over as coach before the 2000 season, the Patriots have made it to the Super Bowl nine times. In each of those seasons, they've had a first-round bye.

In the Belichick Era, the Patriots have been the AFC's No. 2 seed on six occasions. They advanced to the Super Bowl and won three times in those six instances, and it's fair to wonder if they would've had a similar chance to advance had they needed to play another game, even if it was against a seventh-seeded team.

In the past seven Super Bowls overall, no team has made it to the big game without a first-round bye. The 2013 Ravens were the last team to play Wild Card weekend and make the Super Bowl.

So, needless to say, the No. 1 seed in each conference will now have a major advantage, and the Patriots are going to have to fight harder to earn it. They're certainly capable of earning the No. 1 seed. They were the No. 1 as recently as the 2017 and 2018 playoffs, when they beat the Atlanta Falcons in Super Bowl 51 and lost to the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl 52.

The road to the Super Bowl will become a little more difficult without that No. 1 seed if the new format is approved. Only once in the Patriots history have they reached the Super Bowl as a Wild Card team and that was 35 years ago in the 1985 season. The No. 1 seed and home-field advantage will carry even more importance, but they'll have to outduel some powerful up-and-coming AFC teams if they want to earn it in the near future.

For a team with the NFL's toughest projected strength of schedule in 2020, that will be no easy task.

Patriots face an inevitable avalanche of hard decisions, like it or not

Patriots face an inevitable avalanche of hard decisions, like it or not

FOXBORO - All of this started for real on a snowy Saturday night 18 Januarys ago.

That’s when Tom Brady made it clear even for the “Boo-hoo, Drew!” holdouts that Drew Bledsoe wasn’t getting his job back.

And now, 18 years on, we have ourselves a Saturday night in January. There will be weather. Will there be finality?

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If you don’t want to hear about it, I understand. I truly do. There’s a playoff game with the Titans tonight.

But the 80-20 coverage split this week – honestly, all season – between reporting on the reality-show aspects of the New England Patriots and the game itself has worn your ass down.

This is your passion, your distraction, your – it’s not a stretch to say – family. Maybe your fandom predates Bill Friggin’ Parcells, maybe it’s pre-Plunkett, maybe it just started when they beat the Falcons.

But the rush to put an expiration date on the whole thing is, to put it mildly, unseemly.

Clunky metaphor? It’s like you and the family huddled around a bed in the ICU holding hands and reflecting while a parade of looky-loos presses against the glass craning their necks to see how bad it looks.

“Still holding on, is he?”

“Yeah, but for how long?”

“Doesn’t look good…”

In that crowd are people for whom the Patriots are strictly occasional and seasonal entertainment. They don’t understand that declaring it’s time for a clean break with Brady is like suggesting you Old Yeller the family dog before you even get the diagnosis.

Also in the crowd, everyone NOT FROM HERE who is sick to friggin’ death of the Patriots, Tom Brady, Bill Belichick, Robert Kraft, former Patriots all over their TVs and devices talking about the Patriot Way and the stomach-turning, self-assured, spoiled, arrogant, condescending Patriots fans who – after 18 years of Januarys – are now so insidiously spread around the country that you are never safe from being reminded that “Tom FAHHHHHHKIN Brady!” still lives.

They want him to – figuratively – die. So they are outside the ICU, clutching beads and praying for the flatline.

Your relationship with the Patriots is personal and – even though you’ve never met Tom Brady or Bill Belichick – they have been a constant in your life. Some of your best experiences on the planet have occurred with them and what they brought into existence as the centerpiece to it. You’ve learned from the way they approach things. You’ve named pets and children after them.

So, if you don’t want to watch a game of great import without having to listen to people wonder, “What’s next?” or “What it all means?” hit mute and go on a media blackout. Put your fingers in your ears and hum. Stop reading now.

Because this game has the potential to be history the same way the Snow Bowl (if you call it the Tuck Game, you’re outside the ICU).

Failing to cover this game and this season without casting an eye to, “What’s next?” would be the height of journalistic malpractice.

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Tom Brady is on the same plane with three other men in the history of professional team sports – Michael Jordan, Wayne Gretzky and Babe Ruth. None of them were in the same place continuously as long as Brady’s been. Only Jordan experienced a comparable amount of team success and he did it in a league that didn’t then and doesn’t now have the same reach and hold on the country that the NFL does.

The Patriots – in a league rigged for parity – have bobbed along on the waves of excellence for two decades. They have been in a league of their own.

And when this season ends nobody – not Brady, not Belichick, not Robert Kraft – will truly KNOW whether the greatest player in the history of the NFL will ever play another game as a member of the greatest dynasty in the history of the NFL for the greatest coach in the history of the NFL.

So yeah, all that bears mentioning.

The only thing standing between the present and all the attendant questions bursting forth is how long this season lasts.

When it ends:

Josh McDaniels begins taking interviews and it’s a smart bet to expect he’s gone. Who is the next offensive coordinator?

Dante Scarnecchia has completed another season and is approaching his 72nd birthday. Is the greatest offensive line coach of his generation back again?

Joe Judge, who split his time between special teams and wide receivers, takes an interview. If he goes, who runs special teams? If he stays, do the Patriots still look at wideout coach as a spot that doesn’t demand a full-timer?

The Patriots reckon with an offensive roster that includes a 33-year-old slot receiver going into the last year of his contract, a starting center who missed the season with a blood clot condition that is very serious, a fullback who missed most of the season with a neck injury, nobody worth mentioning at tight end, one young wide receiver who missed most of his rookie year, two veteran wide receivers who underwhelmed this year and a Jarrett Stidham as their only quarterback under contract.

Nick Caserio, Dave Ziegler and Monti Ossenfort – three of the principals in the scouting department – may all be sought by other teams.

The Brady Situation comes to the fore.

It was the team’s choice to go “year-to-year” and not give Brady more than a minor bump and a phony extension in August. If McDaniels goes, does the team want Brady breaking in the new OC? If McDaniels goes, is Brady going to be more involved in OTAs and passing camp as the new OC gets oriented? 

Does Belichick look at Brady as having a bigger share of the blame with 2019’s flagging offense than the players he was surrounded by? Does Belichick want to pay more than the $23 million the team paid Brady when he’s a year older and coming off a modest statistical season?

As for Brady? He got sold a bill of goods on contract promises he felt were made and the personnel he was surrounded by. He’s the one that wanted at least the chance to see what’s “out there” after the season. Does he have it in him to cross that bridge? And what team precisely is on the other side? If he decides to at least have a look around do the 
Patriots leave the light on for him or give him the Wes Welker Treatment?

As for ownership? Off the grid almost completely in 2019. It’s been seven years since Robert Kraft praised himself for doing “something elegant” with the contract extension that brought Brady through 2017. Where we at with the elegance in 2020?

That Saturday night 18 years ago when the Patriots beat the Raiders in the snow, I wrote this for the Metrowest Daily News:

“Well, that oughta settle it.
What Tom Brady did Saturday night should douse, once and for all, any smoldering embers in the once-roaring Bledsoe-Brady quarterback controversy.
That's because Brady's body of work over the final 12:29 of regulation and through overtime was the kind of reputation-cementing performance that people around here waited nine seasons for Drew Bledsoe to come up with...”

I ended that column writing:
“Brady's performance was Bird-like.
Frankly, it doesn't matter from hereon out what Tom Brady does. The discussion is over.”

Soon, maybe as early as midnight, another discussion begins.


Patriots-Titans playoff preview from Tom E. Curran

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Patriots-Titans playoff preview from Tom E. Curran

It’s easy to scoff at the idea that expatriate Patriots are better equipped to go against Bill Belichick’s program than other teams. But the evidence is too overwhelming to refute. From last Sunday back to Super Bowl Sunday 2007, the Patriots’ past is pockmarked by defeats dealt to them by former employees.

One of the most resounding of those came last year in Tennessee when the Titans pummeled the Patriots, 34-10. The Titans scored 17 in the first quarter and 24 by halftime as Marcus Mariota picked them apart, Derrick Henry ran with relative ease and the Tennessee defense bottled up the Patriots ground game and teed off on Tom Brady.

After seeing what Miami did last week to the Patriots, there’s really no reason for Tennessee to quake in the face of a Patriots team that just got pantsed by the Dolphins.