Preseason rankings haven't been kind to the Bears, especially when it comes to the offense.
This time, it's Pro Football Focus that's projecting a bottom-10 output for a group led by a quarterback yet to be named, an injured second-year running back and a top-10 wide receiver who's still without a new contract.
PFF has the Bears checking in as the 24th-best offense in the NFL as Week 1 approaches.
"The first year of the Matt Nagy era went a lot better than Year 2," PFF's Anthony Treash wrote. "After tying for ninth in percentage of total offensive plays to produce positive expected points added in 2018, Chicago dropped down to 28th in 2019. The play-calling clearly wasn’t as strong, but the first step to getting back to being an above-average offense all starts with the quarterback. The Bears will need to get at least average play from Mitchell Trubisky, who has failed to live up to expectations over his NFL career thus far."
Adding to the Bears' questions at quarterback is a receiver group that, as PFF put it, is unproven.
"Anthony Miller is a breakout candidate as he enters Year 3, but he has struggled with staying healthy while failing to produce an average PFF grade in either of his two years. The battle for WR3 is up for grabs between Riley Ridley, Javon Wims and Darnell Mooney. The speedster Mooney could be one of the surprise rookies of 2020."
Even the most optimistic Bears fan understands the current state of affairs on offense. Trubisky is the face of that side of the ball, and unfortunately, he represents more failure than success at this point in his career. As a result, the entire unit is operating under a cloud of pessimism.
The 2020 season isn't without hope, however. Nick Foles was targeted by GM Ryan Pace for a reason, and at the very least, he'll provide stability and a predictable floor if Trubisky doesn't develop into a franchise quarterback this year.
Coach Matt Nagy's playcalling is a big part of equation, too. Assuming he breaks out of his sophomore slump and returns to his trickeration and creativity from 2018, a positive regression isn't out of question for the Bears' offense in 2020.