Fantasy football drafts are in peak season right now as we inch closer to the NFL's scheduled 2020 kickoff on September 10. Fantasy players around the country are doing their research on who to draft (and when to draft them), studying ADP (average draft position) to best formulate their strategy.
The smartest fantasy players draft for value; they grab good players who last longer in drafts than they should. The flipside is also true. Fantasy champs don't reach on players and instead let the draft board come to them.
In the case of Bears quarterback Mitch Trubisky and his 2020 fantasy draft value, well, there really isn't any. According to Pro Football Focus' recent breakdown of the worst ADP value for every team, it's Trubisky who gets the nod in Chicago.
Trubisky's ADP is currently hovering around Pick 240.
"The Bears don’t really have any players who are egregiously bad values, so we’ll slot Trubisky in at this spot as the de facto option to avoid," wrote PFF's Sosa Kremenjas. "General manager Ryan Pace acquired Nick Foles in a trade with the Jacksonville Jaguars, presumably to take over the starting quarterback job. It shouldn’t come as a surprise that Trubisky’s 64.3 overall PFF grade didn’t suffice (ranked 27th among all qualifying quarterbacks), though the competition between the two legitimately seems to be open.
"Trubisky’s 2019 didn’t go as planned, as the former top-five overall draft pick landed 26th among quarterbacks in total scoring and 32nd in points per dropback. At this point, Trubisky should be treated as a backup quarterback option. He has the potential to rise to a starting quarterback position and is maybe worth streaming occasionally."
Let's put Trubisky's ADP into perspective. Most fantasy leagues are comprised of 12 teams. Essentially, Trubisky should come off the board sometime in or around the 20th round. He's a late-round pick, at best, and yet he's still considered bad fantasy value by PFF.
Maybe it's because he isn't assured of a starting gig in 2020. Maybe it's because he just didn't look like a very good NFL quarterback last season. But it certainly feels like fantasy players can do a lot worse than a roll of the dice on Trubisky that late in the draft.