How do NFL teams fare in season following Super Bowl loss?

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The Cincinnati Bengals’ journey back to another Super Bowl came to an end on Sunday.

Following a close loss to the Los Angeles Rams in Super Bowl LVI last February, Cincinnati got off to a slow start in 2022. Joe Burrow and Co. lost their first two games of the season and held a 4-4 record entering November.

Things quickly picked up from there. The Bengals rattled off eight straight wins to close out the regular season and were in the mix for the AFC’s No. 1 seed heading into the new year. They ended the regular season at 12-4 and wound up at No. 3 in the conference standings.

The team took care of business in the wild card round by beating a depleted Baltimore Ravens squad before trekking to Buffalo for the divisional round. Burrow and the Bengals’ defense put together an impressive performance in a 27-10 thrashing that set up an AFC Championship Game rematch.

The Bengals flew out to Kansas City with a berth in Super Bowl LVII on the line. Like the prior playoff matchup, the Chiefs jumped out to a double-digit lead in the first half, but once again the Bengals drew even. Instead of winning in overtime, Cincinnati lost a heartbreaker in regulation this time around, conceding a game-winning field goal in the final seconds that cemented a 23-20 Chiefs triumph.

By falling short in the AFC Championship Game, did the Bengals become the latest victim of the Super Bowl jinx? Does such a thing even exist for a team that loses the prior Super Bowl?

Sifting through the next-season results of every Super Bowl runner-up, the findings push back on the premise of a general hangover. From the bad to the historic, here is how each team that lost the Super Bowl fared the following year:

Which Super Bowl runner-up had the worst record the next season?

The single worst showing from a Super Bowl loser in their follow-up season came from the Oakland Raiders. After getting trounced by the Buccaneers in Super Bowl XXXVII, they went just 4-12 in 2003. Bill Callahan’s group went 2-2 to start the season before ending the year on a 2-10 slump.

Out of the first 56 Super Bowl losers, 39 came back to make the playoffs the next season. The 69.6% playoff rate would refute the notion of a “Super Bowl runner-up jinx.”

Of the 17 runners-up that failed to make the playoffs, 11 did not even reach a .500 record -- like the 2003 Raiders. All 11 instances have come since 1989, with the earliest being the 1989 Denver Broncos and the most recent being the 2019 San Francisco 49ers

Which Super Bowl runner-up had the best record the next season?

The only undefeated team in NFL history had its perfect season following a Super Bowl loss.

The Miami Dolphins went 10-3-1 in 1971 before falling to the Dallas Cowboys in Super Bowl VI. Don Shula’s team rebounded with the only undefeated season in NFL history, going 14-0 in the 1972 regular season before beating Washington 14-7 in Super Bowl VII.

As if the perfect season and franchise’s first Super Bowl victory weren’t enough, the Dolphins went back-to-back by beating the Minnesota Vikings in Super Bowl VIII the next season.

The 1970 Cowboys and 2017 New England Patriots are the only other teams to lose the Super Bowl and bounce back to win the title the next season. Five additional teams reached the Super Bowl in consecutive seasons but lost both times.

How has each Super Bowl loser done the following season?

Here are the year-by-year results for each Super Bowl loser:

  • 1966 Kansas City Chiefs: Lost Super Bowl I, finished 9-5 (missed playoffs) in following season
  • 1967 Oakland Raiders: Lost Super Bowl II, finished 12-2 (made playoffs) in following season
  • 1968 Baltimore Colts: Lost Super Bowl III, finished 8-5-1 (missed playoffs) in following season
  • 1969 Minnesota Vikings: Lost Super Bowl IV, finished 12-2 (made playoffs) in following season
  • 1970 Dallas Cowboys: Lost Super Bowl V, finished 11-3 (won Super Bowl) in following season
  • 1971 Miami Dolphins: Lost Super Bowl VI, finished 14-0 (won Super Bowl) in following season
  • 1972 Washington: Lost Super Bowl VII, finished 10-4 (made playoffs) in following season
  • 1973 Minnesota Vikings: Lost Super Bowl VIII, finished 10-4 (lost Super Bowl) in following season
  • 1974 Minnesota Vikings: Lost Super Bowl IX, finished 12-2 (made playoffs) in following season
  • 1975 Dallas Cowboys: Lost Super Bowl X, finished 11-3 (made playoffs) in following season
  • 1976 Minnesota Vikings: Lost Super Bowl XI, finished 9-5 (made playoffs) in following season
  • 1977 Denver Broncos: Lost Super Bowl XII, finished 10-6 (made playoffs) in following season
  • 1978 Dallas Cowboys: Lost Super Bowl XIII, finished 11-5 (made playoffs) in following season
  • 1979 Los Angeles Rams: Lost Super Bowl XIV, finished 11-5 (made playoffs) in following season
  • 1980 Philadelphia Eagles: Lost Super Bowl XV, finished 10-6 (made playoffs) in following season
  • 1981 Cincinnati Bengals: Lost Super Bowl XVI, finished 7-2 (made playoffs) in following season
  • 1982 Miami Dolphins: Lost Super Bowl XVII, finished 12-4 (made playoffs) in following season
  • 1983 Washington: Lost Super Bowl XVIII, finished 11-5 (made playoffs) in following season
  • 1984 Miami Dolphins: Lost Super Bowl XIX, finished 12-4 (made playoffs) in following season
  • 1985 New England Patriots: Lost Super Bowl XX, finished 11-5 (made playoffs) in following season
  • 1986 Denver Broncos: Lost Super Bowl XXI, finished 10-4-1 (lost Super Bowl) in following season
  • 1987 Denver Broncos: Lost Super Bowl XXII, finished 8-8 (missed playoffs) in following season
  • 1988 Cincinnati Bengals: Lost Super Bowl XXIII, finished 8-8 (missed playoffs) in following season
  • 1989 Denver Broncos: Lost Super Bowl XXIV, finished 5-11 (missed playoffs) in following season
  • 1990 Buffalo Bills: Lost Super Bowl XXV, finished 13-3 (lost Super Bowl) in following season
  • 1991 Buffalo Bills: Lost Super Bowl XXVI, finished 11-5 (lost Super Bowl) in following season
  • 1992 Buffalo Bills: Lost Super Bowl XXVII, finished 12-4 (lost Super Bowl) in following season
  • 1993 Buffalo Bills: Lost Super Bowl XXVIII, finished 7-9 (missed playoffs) in following season
  • 1994 San Diego Chargers: Lost Super Bowl XXIX, finished 9-7 (made playoffs) in following season
  • 1995 Pittsburgh Steelers: Lost Super Bowl XXX, finished 10-6 (made playoffs) in following season
  • 1996 New England Patriots: Lost Super Bowl XXXI, finished 10-6 (made playoffs) in following season
  • 1997 Green Bay Packers: Lost Super Bowl XXXII, finished 11-5 (made playoffs) in following season
  • 1998 Atlanta Falcons: Lost Super Bowl XXXIII, finished 5-11 (missed playoffs) in following season
  • 1999 Tennessee Titans: Lost Super Bowl XXXIV, finished 13-3 (made playoffs) in following season
  • 2000 New York Giants: Lost Super Bowl XXXV, finished 7-9 (missed playoffs) in following season
  • 2001 St. Louis Rams: Lost Super Bowl XXXVI, finished 7-9 (missed playoffs) in following season
  • 2002 Oakland Raiders: Lost Super Bowl XXXVII, finished 4-12 (missed playoffs) in following season
  • 2003 Carolina Panthers: Lost Super Bowl XXXVIII, finished 7-9 (missed playoffs) in following season
  • 2004 Philadelphia Eagles: Lost Super Bowl XXXIX, finished 6-10 (missed playoffs) in following season
  • 2005 Seattle Seahawks: Lost Super Bowl XL, finished 9-7 (made playoffs) in following season
  • 2006 Chicago Bears: Lost Super Bowl XLI, finished 7-9 (missed playoffs) in following season
  • 2007 New England Patriots: Lost Super Bowl XLII, finished 11-5 (missed playoffs) in following season
  • 2008 Arizona Cardinals: Lost Super Bowl XLIII, finished 10-6 (made playoffs) in following season
  • 2009 Indianapolis Colts: Lost Super Bowl XLIV, finished 10-6 (made playoffs) in following season
  • 2010 Pittsburgh Steelers: Lost Super Bowl XLV, finished 12-4 (made playoffs) in following season
  • 2011 New England Patriots: Lost Super Bowl XLVI, finished 12-4 (made playoffs) in following season
  • 2012 San Francisco 49ers: Lost Super Bowl XLVII, finished 12-4 (made playoffs) in following season
  • 2013 Denver Broncos: Lost Super Bowl XLVIII, finished 12-4 (made playoffs) in following season
  • 2014 Seattle Seahawks: Lost Super Bowl XLIX, finished 10-6 (made playoffs) in following season
  • 2015 Carolina Panthers: Lost Super Bowl 50, finished 6-10 (missed playoffs) in following season
  • 2016 Atlanta Falcons: Lost Super Bowl LI, finished 10-6 (made playoffs) in following season
  • 2017 New England Patriots: Lost Super Bowl LII, finished 11-5 (won Super Bowl LIII) in following season
  • 2018 Los Angeles Rams: Lost Super Bowl LIII, finished 9-7 (missed playoffs) in following season
  • 2019 San Francisco 49ers: Lost Super Bowl LIV, finished 6-10 (missed playoffs) in following season
  • 2020 Kansas City Chiefs: Lost Super Bowl LV, finished 12-5 (made playoffs) in following season
  • 2021 Cincinnati Bengals: Lost Super Bowl LVI, finished 12-4 (made playoffs) in following season
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