Bears

Bears should avoid knee-jerk reactions to Robbie Gould struggles

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Bears should avoid knee-jerk reactions to Robbie Gould struggles

Perhaps it’s fitting right about now that Robbie Gould’s NFL career began with the training camp of the New England Patriots, and kicker Adam Vinatieri. Because right about now Vinatieri offers some intriguing angles when evaluating Gould after the latter has missed five of his 14 field goal attempts.

Is Gould done at age 33? Or just going through a dip, which happens to just about everyone in his line of work?

Consider Vinatieri, who at age 41 had the most accurate single season (98.6 percent on FG’s) of his 20-year career. As an aside, seven-time Pro Bowl’er Morten Anderson had his highest percentage (89.3) in the last of his 25 seasons before retiring in 2007 at age 47.

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To begin with, the NFL doesn’t grade on a curve. It is a pure form of pass-fail: win-lose, maybe a tie now and again.

But comparisons for the sake of perspective can be useful, or at least informational, certainly in the case of Gould, whose two missed field goals contributed mightily to the Bears’ loss last Sunday to the San Francisco 49ers. Those haven’t been and aren’t expected to be the norm.

“For a guy that's been around as long as Robbie,” Bears special teams coach Jeff Rodgers said, “he's got his ways of fixing things, some mechanical things that he goes through and makes sure that he details everything out and you trust a guy like that to bounce back because he has many times.”

The point here is to place Gould’s situation in some sort of context deeper than simply that he’s been good for a long time. And the context reflects well on Gould for the future, not just the past or even present.

The ideal is to have a dependable kicker for a long time, but longevity requires periodic patience with a sometimes-mercurial position. For that reason, the Gould reference point will be Vinatieri, who turns 43 this month and shared a training camp with Gould, whose 34th birthday comes two days after Vinatieri’s Dec. 28. If the Bears get from Gould what the Patriots and then the Colts have from Vinatieri, Gould will rank among the great free-agent finds of NFL history.

The Bears had the good fortune of Gould not catching on with elsewhere after he spent time in the New England Patriots 2005 training camp with Vinatieri.

Talk of Gould’s demise as an NFL kicker began with some seriousness last season when he converted just nine of 12 field goals through 12 games before going on IR with a quad injury. With five misses through 12 games this season, Gould’s conversion rate still stands at 83.9 percent.

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Vinatieri has had six sub-80-percent seasons in his 18 full seasons. Gould has had never been worse than 83.3 percent (2010) in any of his seven 16-game seasons.

But the more relevant point is not the past, but the future. What can the Bears expect from Gould, who is signed through the 2017 season?

“I wouldn't say his skill has trended downward,” Rodgers said. “Time will tell on everything as it relates to the entire season. He's had a lot of good games, and he's hit a lot of good kicks. Hopefully, it was a bad day and we'll see moving forward.”

Gould is not Vinatieri, so projections aren’t easy. But Vinatieri from the age of 34, the year he left New England for Indianapolis, has more than justified the Colts’ faith in him, converting 80 percent or better in six of his eight full Indianapolis seasons, with an indoor home field.

Vinatieri has missed two PAT’s this year with the new kicking point. Gould has missed one, blocked in the Oakland game.

The Bears have given no indication of contemplating a change at a set-it-and-forget-it position, not even bothering with a camp leg through preseason this year. But teams have been rewarded for staying with proven kickers through rough spots and the Bears should be in no rush to replace Gould.

Why Leonard Floyd is the key to the Bears' defensive success

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USA Today Sports Images

Why Leonard Floyd is the key to the Bears' defensive success

ENGLEWOOD, Colo. — For all the attention heaped on Roquan Smith in the last 48 hours, he’s not the most important player to determining the success of the Bears’ defense in 2018. 

Rightly, the Bears feel good about their depth at inside linebacker, especially now that the No. 8 overall pick is in the mix. Smith, Danny Trevathan and Nick Kwiatkoski being at the top of the depth chart is solid at worst; John Timu is entering fourth year in Vic Fangio’s defense, and rookie Joel Iyiegbuniwe has some promise. 

This isn’t to diminish the importance of Smith, who represents the biggest (and, arguably, only major) addition to the Bears’ defense made in the 2018 offseason. But if you’re looking for the guy whose performance will be the most critical to the success of this defense, look toward the last Georgia product the Bears took with a top-10 pick. 

Given the upside of Leonard Floyd and where the Bears stand at outside linebacker three and a half weeks before the start of the regular season, that’s your guy. And over the last few weeks, Floyd has practiced and played better and better, providing an encouraging sign for a guy the Bears are betting big on this year. 

“He’s feeling more comfortable,” Trevathan said. “So I’m just happy with the direction he’s heading. It’s just going to make our defense better with Flo flying around.”

The Bears have seen flashes from Floyd in the past, but he’s yet to put together much in the way of consistency when it comes to affecting the quarterback. His 11 1/2 sacks in 1,118 career snaps come out to an average of one sack every, roughly, 102 snaps in 22 career games. For a guy that’s averaged 51 snaps per game his first two years in the league, that averages out to about one sack every two games. 

If you factor in quarterback hurries, of which he has 21 in two years, Floyd is affecting the quarterback once every 34 snaps. Pernell McPhee, who the Bears released earlier this year, averaged a sack or a hurry once every 24 snaps, abeit in a small sample size. Von Miller, who Floyd is sharing practice fields with this week, averaged a hurry or sack once every 26 snaps in the last two years over 1,828 snaps. 

These numbers don’t factor in a lot of things, like coverage assignments or flat-out statistical misses of hurries (for instance, Floyd wasn’t credited with a hurry in last week’s preseason game against the Cincinnati Bengals, despite his pressure on quarterback Andy Dalton forcing a throw Kyle Fuller picked off and ran back for a touchdown). But the overall point is this: The Bears need Floyd to put more pressure on opposing quarterbacks and be that double-digit-sack guy they envisioned when drafting him two years ago. 

Floyd isn’t putting that pressure on himself, though, and stuck to the usual one-day-at-a-time answer when asked how he achieves better consistency and what his goals are for the season. 

“Going out and practicing and just going as hard as you can, fixing your corrections and just continuing to be better every day,” Floyd said. 

If Floyd was a little reserved about his own expectations for the season, his teammates are more than willing to do the talking for him. 

“Even if he’s not flashy in the way you would want to see your outside linebacker flashing, he’s scaring offenses, you know what I’m saying?” defensive end Akiem Hicks, who tabbed Floyd as a Pro Bowl favorite as early as April, said. “So he already put that intimidation factor in there, and then to come up with the plays on top of that, the sky’s the limit for that guy. You just look at the body of work that he’s had as far as putting it in the past couple years, you’re waiting for that moment where he just takes over the league, and I think it’s this year.”

“He’s more disruptive,” Trevathan said. “I see a sense of him trying to create more big plays. Instead of just a sack, more to it. Sack/caused fumble. Getting the quarterback’s (vision). He’s guarding, dropping back. He’s doing everything that Flo is supposed to do even better now.”

Another positive point in Floyd’s favor is outside linebackers coach Brandon Staley seeing him talking more in meetings and growing more comfortable with his role and position on this defense. While Floyd isn’t going to be a vocal leader in that room — that role is ably filled by Sam Acho — his teammates are starting to notice his performances in practice. 

“I think our guys know that Leonard can do so many things for us,” Staley said. “They lean on him by his example — how he is in the practice field, how he is in the meetings. He's been doing a good job.”

But the most important point on Floyd may be this: The Bears bet big on him, and are betting big on him, based on how they addressed outside linebacker in the offseason. Aaron Lynch was brought in on a one-year, prove-it deal, but the injury issues that dogged him in San Francisco have returned during training camp (he’s only participated in one practice due to a hamstring injury). Acho was re-signed to a two-year deal, rewarding him for the stable play he’s provided over the last few years, but he’s only recorded four sacks in 47 games with the Bears. Ryan Pace waited until the sixth round before drafting an edge rusher, giving a flier to Kylie Fitts. Isaiah Irving, an undrafted rookie from a year ago, has flashed in a few preseason games dating back to last year but didn't record a sack in his 41 snaps on defense in 2017. 

Those moves screamed one thing: The Bears believe in Floyd, and believe if he has the kind of season they think he can have, they didn’t need a massive addition to their group of edge rushers. That doesn’t mean Pace won’t make a move for an edge rusher before or after cut-down day in September, but unless he were to pay an exorbitant price to trade for Khalil Mack, whoever is brought it won’t be viewed as the team’s No. 1 edge rushing option. 

That would be Floyd, who’s shown in the last few weeks that he’s past his season-ending knee injury from 2017. It’s now on the third-year player to make that leap in production and play a major role in the success of a Bears’ defense that, other than Smith, largely stood pat this spring. 

Under Center Podcast: Takeaways from the Bears’ joint practice in Denver

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AP

Under Center Podcast: Takeaways from the Bears’ joint practice in Denver

JJ Stankevitz and The Athletic’s Kevin Fishbain break down the Bears’ joint practice with the Denver Broncos on Wednesday, including how Roquan Smith looked, some encouraging signs for the offense and an enjoyable sequence of pass-rushing drills involving Von Miller.

Listen to the full Under Center Podcast right here: