Bears

Fantasy Football: 11 waiver wire targets for Week 13

scott-chandler-fantasy-waiver-post-slide.png

Fantasy Football: 11 waiver wire targets for Week 13

Injuries suck.

There's no way around it. You can have a fantastic draft, make all the right moves on the waiver wire and in trades and yet still wind up with a terrible team just based on injuries alone.

You can't predict who is going to get hurt or when. All you can do is curl up in a ball and cry...and of course, stay active on the waiver wire.

Lose Le'Veon Bell? That sucks, but go pick up DeAngelo Williams. Lose Andrew Luck? We're sorry, but go out and get Blake Bortles. Pick your head up and move on.

No matter the injuries you've been hit with, take solace in one fact: At least you're not a Browns fan. (And if you are a Browns fan, we're so, so sorry. Seriously. We feel bad for you.)

 

While we're at it, be grateful you're not a ref right now, either:

Alright, on to this week's top waiver targets:

1. David Johnson, RB, ARI

Finally. He's been teasing us all year with somewhat low yardage totals but showing ways to find the end zone. Now, he has the backfield all to himself. Chris Johnson is likely out for some time with a broken tibia while Andre Ellington is battling some turf toe. It's not a pretty matchup this week against the Rams defense but Johnson has shown he's a major threat in the passing game. With Johnson likely to see a lot of playing time the rest of the year, he's a must-add this week. (Paschall)

2. Scott Chandler, TE, NE

Chandler had just 23 targets in 10 games played before Sunday night's loss to the Broncos, but he is suddenly shooting up wavier claims list. Rob Gronkowski is slated to miss at least one game with a knee injury, which means Chandler is suddenly a must-start in that Patriots offense, even with a bad matchup against an Eagles team that defends TEs well. Chandler caught five of his 11 targets Sunday for 58 yards and a TD against the top pass defense in the NFL and even though he's far less talented than Gronk, he's still one of the only reliable options left for Tom Brady on a depleted offense. (Tony Andracki)

[Check out CSN's complete Fantasy Football coverage]

3. Julius Thomas, TE, JAC

Somehow, Thomas is only owned in 60 percent of ESPN leagues. Thomas has recorded 5+ catches and a TD in each of his last two games and has finally overcome his slow start to emerge as a solid option in a rising offense led by Blake Bortles. (Andracki)

4. Doug Baldwin, WR, SEA

This might be the start of a beautiful relationship between fantasy owners and Baldwin. While Jimmy Graham's injury may have some impact on guys like Luke Willson, it's now clear Baldwin is the best option in the Seahawks passing attack, and it's not really close. As much as we all love Thomas Rawls, he doesn't do much out of the backfield, leaving Fred Jackson as the best option there. Tyler Lockett and Jermaine Kearse will do some battling for targets, but neither has gone over 100 yards receiving in a game yet this year. Baldwin has 19 catches in the last three games and four touchdowns. He's a quality waiver get this week if he's still available. (John "The Professor" Paschall)

5. Spencer Ware, RB, KC

Ware posted back-to-back huge games in relief of Charcandrick West and has become a must-own. Regardless of who the starting Chiefs back is this year, they've proved to be a valuable fantasy commodity, so even the unknown Ware has become a top start option at RB each week. If West is healthy, he's the starter and Ware is not worth putting in your lineup, but hamstrings are notoriously finicky, so there's no guarantee West will be good to go this week. (Andracki)

6. Shaun Draughn, RB, SF

Like Ware, Draughn has gone from unknown to lead back and fantasy option. The journeyman back - who was in camp with the Bears last year - had never been even worth owning in fantasy until four weeks ago. But with Reggie Bush out for the year and Carlos Hyde still haunted by a foot injury, Darughn has received 60 touches over the last three games. He hasn't scored and is averaged less than 3.5 yards per carry, but Draughn is helpful in PPR leagues (he has at least four catches in each of the last three games) until Hyde gets back. (Andracki)

7. Dontrelle Inman, WR, SD

When Keenan Allen went down for the season, everybody assumed Stevie Johnson and Malcom Floyd would be the two Chargers receivers to own. While Johnson has been as good as advertised, Floyd has one catch his last three games while Inman has racked up 19 targets, 11 catches, 144 yards and a TD in that span. He's not a must-start (especially against Denver this week), but Inman's arrow is clearly pointing up and he could become a solid contributor in the fantasy playoffs on one of the most pass-happy offenses in the league. (Andracki)

[MORE: Complete Fantasy Football coverage at Rotoworld]

8. Luke Willson, TE, SEA

Jimmy Graham is done for the year, which means Luke Willson is suddenly the No. 1 tight end. He's not a great receiver and certainly not worth starting, but if you're desperate at TE, he's an option. Willson is capable of a big game (as Week 16 proved last season when he went for 3 rec, 139 yds and 2 TDs). Gamble on him at your own risk. (Andracki)

9-11. J.J. Nelson (ARI), Seth Roberts (OAK), DeVante Parker (MIA), WR

These rookie wide receivers are probably not worth starting right away, but they're perfect stash guys for this season (or next year if you're in a keeper league). All three have come on lately. Nelson has earned 15 targets over his last three games, emerging as a deep threat in the NFL's top offense. Roberts had a huge Week 12 (6 rec, 113 yds, 2 TD) and now has as many TDs as his fellow Raiders rookie Amari Cooper (4). Parker took advantage of garbage time with four catches for 80 yards and a tuddie and he figures to get a lot more snaps and looks with Rishard Matthews now injured. Pick these guys up if you have the roster space and if you don't, at least keep an eye on these rookies as the season moves on. (Andracki)

Film review: Albert Wilson's 75-yard TD shows how Sunday was an aberration for the Bears' defense

Film review: Albert Wilson's 75-yard TD shows how Sunday was an aberration for the Bears' defense

(For a bonus film review, check out the video above of Akiem Hicks' forced fumble on the one-yard line)

When Eddie Jackson didn’t stay on top shoulder of Randall Cobb in the fourth quarter of the Bears’ season opener, there was a clear coaching point from that 75-yard backbreaking touchdown. The Bears’ defensive mantra the week after was to focus on “plastering” receivers, which this defense did a good job of over the next three weeks. 

There surely are coaching points leveled by Vic Fangio and his assistants after the Bears were carved up by Brock Osweiler and the Miami Dolphins in Sunday’s 31-28 loss in Miami. But maybe the over-arching though here is this: The Bears didn’t, during the off week, go from being one of the league’s more sure-handed tackling teams to one of the worst. 

A defense that swarmed to the ball over the first four weeks looked a step slow and frequently out of position on Sunday. The more likely explanation for that development isn’t the plot to Space Jam 3, where a group of cartoon aliens steal the athletic power of an entire defense to use for their own. More likely, it was the heat in south Florida that sapped this team’s energy over the course of a long afternoon.

In this week’s film breakdown, we’re going to look at Albert Wilson’s 75-yard touchdown, which was wildly uncharacteristic of this defense. 

Image 1: the Bears are in nickel man coverage with Wilson (red circle) lined up in the slot across from Bryce Callahan. Danny Amendola goes in motion to the boundary (green arrow), with Danny Trevathan (green arrow) following him, though safety Adrian Amos will be the guy covering the Dolphins receiver. Akiem Hicks and Jonathan Bullard are the two down linemen in the interior, with Leonard Floyd rushing from the left and Khalil Mack from the right. 

Image 2: Mack is chipped by tight end Nick O’Leary (yellow circle), with Roquan Smith (yellow arrow) responsible or covering him. Trevathan (green circle) is in space with Amos (blue circle) picking up Amendola. With Mack chipped, the Bears have three pass rushers to go against five offensive linemen. 

Image 3: There’s about 10 yards of space between Mack and Osweiler (yellow arrow) after Mack comes free of O’Leary’s chip. Trevathan (green circle) is in a good position here, with Amos (blue arrow) closing on Amendola. Wilson works into space ahead of Callahan (red arrow), while both Dolphins outside pass-catchers run go routes to clear cornerbacks Kyle Fuller and Kevin Toliver II out of the play. 

Image 4: First, the white circle — Hicks had his helmet ripped off, with right tackle Jesse Davis the apparent culprit. He still manages a good pass rush against a double team that could’ve hit home, or forced Osweiler to Mack (who’s about five yards from Osweiler when the ball is released) or Floyd, had the play extended longer. Meanwhile, when the ball is released, Callahan (red arrow) and Trevathan (green arrow) are in good position to bring down Wilson, while Amos (blue arrow) is there for help if Wilson were to turn upfield to the far sideline. 

Image 5: Wilson catches the ball and goes to the far sideline, away from Callahan (red arrow) and toward Trevathan (green arrow). After O’Leary and Smith engaged, the rookie linebacker is the farthest back from the play of these three when the ball is caught. 

Image 6: Trevathan (green arrow) seems to over-commit, giving Wilson a lane toward the boundary to cut upfield. 

Image 7: Amos (blue arrow) still has a chance to bring down Wilson short of the sticks.

Image 8: Amos misses the tackle, and Trevathan is blocked by O’Leary. That leaves Jackson (yellow arrow) as the last guy who can stop Wilson from breaking this play open. 

Image 9: In missing the tackle, Amos tripped Wilson a bit, which Jackson admitted threw him off (“but that’s not an excuse for it,” he added). Wilson re-gains his balance, cuts inside, and Jackson whiffs on the tackle. 

“Probably just try to shoot my shot on the tackle instead of just guessing, just probably should have shot my shot,” Jackson said of what he felt he should’ve done differently. 

Wilson goes to the house, and the Dolphins tie the game one play after the Bears took the lead. The last image here is Wilson’s route chart from NFL Next Gen Stats, which shows just how much running he did after the catch on that play — yardage-wise, it was 71 yards, but by distance it was much further. 

“We talked about how many tackles we missed,” Jackson said. “Some of that could have really changed the momentum of the game if we would have made some of those tackles. Unfortunately, two of them resulted in big play touchdowns.”

No members of the Bears defense were willing to use the heat as an excuse, instead opting for thumb-pointing instead of blaming teammates, coaches or the sun. But there’s a good chance we look back at Week 6 in Week 10 or 11 and can say with some confidence that the Bears beat themselves more than the Dolphins did, and it’s something that hasn’t happened since. 

“We know we made mistakes, that don’t kill our confidence,” Jackson said. “That don’t kill our swagger. We know what we gotta do, we know what we gotta correct. So we come in here, we’re going to play Chicago Bears football that we’re used to playing.”

Bill Belichick sees "overlap" between the Bears and the Chiefs, and who are we to disagree with him

Bill Belichick sees "overlap" between the Bears and the Chiefs, and who are we to disagree with him

If Bill Belichick talks football, it's probably worth listening to. 

Talkin to reporters ahead of this weekend's Bears-Patriots matchup, Belichick mentioned how similar he views the Bears and the Chiefs: 

“Well, I mean they have a lot of good players,” Belichick said. “They have good skill players, good receivers, big offensive line, good tight end, athletic quarterback, good backs. I mean there’s some movement and some motion and shifting. I wouldn’t say it’s an extraordinary amount. They get the ball to a lot of different people and they’re all pretty effective when they get it. That’ll be a big challenge. They throw the ball down the field and have a lot of catch-and-run plays and have a good running game.”

Statistically speaking, Kansas City ranks 2nd in offensive DVOA while the Bears are down at 17th. But otherwise they're identical! We're with you, Bill.