Bears

Fantasy Football Start/Sit: Week 2

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Fantasy Football Start/Sit: Week 2

It's so great to have fantasy football back in our lives on a daily basis. It makes the water cooler a more interesting place at any office.

But Week 1 was nuts, with so many different storylines coming out of the woodwork that had our heads spinning just like Shea McClellin's:

But don't worry, just like McClellin (who was the highest-rated Bears defensive player in Week 1 according to ProFootballFocus.com), we're back on the right track.

[Fantasy Football: Bengals WR A.J. Green: Fantasy football is great for the NFL]

Week 2 is upon us and we're pleading with you all not to get too caught up in Week 1 numbers. They don't matter anymore. The past has passed.

So check out our Week 2 Start/Sit picks:

START

Ameer Abdullah, RB, DET (@ MIN) - The matchup is solid, even if I expect the Vikings to play better run defense than they did Monday night when Carlos Hyde gashed them and Abdullah proved in Week 1 that he is nearing must-start status. He's the guy in Detroit, making the most out of his seven carries (to Joique Bell's six) and four targets (catching all four for 44 yards). Oh, and Abdullah returns kicks for those of you in leagues where that matters. (Tony Andracki)

Vernon Davis, TE, SF (vs. PIT) - The Steelers are still trying to figure out how they had NOBODY COVERING GRONK during some plays last Thursday. While I'm hoping they realize that they should have at least one defender covering a tight end, I don't know if it'll be enough to slow down Davis. The Steelers secondary is a mess and Davis is already doing better in one week than he did all of last year. 47 yards against the Vikings in Week 1 would've been his season-high for a game last year. He's bouncing back this year and he should perform well against the Steelers. (John "The Professor" Paschall)

Percy Harvin, WR, BUF (vs. NE) - I'm so happy Harvin is back to being fantasy-relevant. Opposite Sammy Watkins, Harvin is an underrated asset for the Bills with big-play capability (as evidenced by his 51-yard touchdown in Week 1) and loads of talent. He also has a good matchup this week against the Patriots, if only for the fact that the Bills may need to pass a lot if they're playing from behind all game. Also, his quarterback is awesome. (Andracki)

Colin Kaepernick, QB, SF (@ PIT) -  Will Kaepernick ever get back to being the fantasy stud he once was during the 2013 season? It's hard to tell, but he could take a step towards fantasy relevance again with an impending matchup against a struggling Pittsburgh Steelers defense. Kaepernick looked like a more controlled quarterback than he has in over 12 months during his team's Week 1 victory. Look for Kaep to continue to rack up enough yards on the ground to go along with decent enough passing stats making him a must-start against Pittsburgh. (Scott Krinch)

[RELATED: Fantasy Football Podcast: Assessing the overreactions from Week 1]

Eli Manning, QB, NYG (vs. ATL) - Eli disappointed in Week 1 (only 9 fantasy points), but all the preseason points hold up about his weapons and second year in Ben McAdoo's offense. Expect a rebound this week, going up against a Falcons defense that admittedly looks better under Dan Quinn, but still not good enough to stiffle opposing QBs. (Andracki) 

Joseph Randle, RB, DAL (@ PHI) - If you drafted Randle over any of the other Cowboys running backs, you had to like what you saw in Week 1. Randle totaled 107 yards on 19 touches compared to Lance Dunbar and Darren McFadden's combined 14 touches. Randle is the clear leader in Dallas' running back-by-committee approach and with Dez Bryant sidelined for at least six weeks, the Cowboys will rely on him more than ever. The Eagles pedestrian run defense (105 total yards to the Falcons in Week 1) poses as an intriguing matchup for Randle on Sunday. (Krinch)

Austin Seferian-Jenkins, TE, TB (@ NO) - I don't think I recommended starting a single tight end in 2014, and now this is the second straight week I've suggested a player at the position. A breakout candidate going into the 2015 season, ASJ looked the part in Week 1 after hauling in five receptions for 110 yards and two scores against the Tennessee Titans. The Buccaneers will likely be in many shootouts due to their miserable defense and Week 2 will likely be no different against a Saints defense that just allowed Arizona Cardinals tight end Daniel Fells to have the best game of his career. (Krinch)

Steve Smith, WR, BAL (at OAK) - I understand, Steve Smith owners. You're probably bitter and angry with the way that he performed in Week 1. But he still tied Justin Forsett with a team-high seven targets and was in a very difficult matchup against the Broncos defense. This week should be much easier against a bad Raiders defense that is also losing both of its starting safeties. Smith should blow the top off of the defense and rebound in a big way. Get him in your lineup. (Professor)

[MORE: Get more Fantasy Football coverage here]

Terrance Williams, WR, DAL (at PHI) - Hopefully you won the waiver fight for him because he's going to be hot for a while. This matchup in particular makes Williams a must play. The Eagles secondary is still not great as we saw not only super-human Julio Jones dominate them but also "old man" Roddy White have a solid game. Williams is suddenly Tony Romo's No. 2 guy after Jason Witten and should produce immediate results. He's a great FLEX option this week. (Professor)

SIT

Nelson Agholor, WR, PHI (vs. DAL) - Count me as one of the guys expecting big things from Agholor this season. But with rookies, especially early in the year, I need to build some trust with them. It wasn't a good start for Agholor and myself in Week 1. The Cowboys defense is still solid (not spectacular) and I do expect the Eagles offense to go wild in Week 2, but I don't know if I can take a chance on Agholor again this week as a FLEX or WR2 option. Keep him on the bench until he shows us something. (Professor)

CJ Anderson, RB, DEN (@ KC) - As if his "questionable" label all week hadn't scared you off enough, I have very little confidence in Anderson no matter how much he plays. His toe/foot injury limited him to just 29 rushing yards on 12 carries (2.4 ypc) and 19 yards on four receptions. Ronnie Hillman was more productive and is healthier and looks to be the guy to own in the Denver backfield for this week, at least. (Andracki)

Tom Brady, QB, NE (@ BUF) - I know, this seems crazy. Telling you to sit Brady? Am I out of my mind? Maybe a little bit, but I just don't like this Week 2 matchup. The Bills defense held Andrew Luck in check in Week 1, which is no fluke considering their defense the NFL in fewest passing touchdowns allowed (16), sacks (54) and Total QBR (36.2) since the start of the 2014 season. Rex Ryan gave Brady fits when he was the head coach of the New York Jets, and I expect it no be no different now that he's with the Bills. (Krinch)

Amari Cooper, WR, OAK (vs. BAL) - Here we go with Cooper again. The Ravens didn't allow an offensive TD in Week 1 against the Broncos, who have a much better offense than the Raiders, even amid all the concerns over Peyton Manning. Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders were held to just 125 yards on 15 catches (8.3 yards per catch). Do you really think Amari Cooper - playing in just his second NFL game - can do better with an injured Derek Carr as his QB? I'm thinking not...(Andracki)

[ROTOWORLD: Your home for all the latest Fantasy Football news]

Melvin Gordon, RB, SD (at CIN) - Can you believe Danny Woodhead stole this guy's thunder to start to the season? Oh well. Gordon will have better weeks. But it just won't be this week. The Bengals completely shut down the Raiders run game and while the Chargers are much better than the Raiders, the threat of Woodhead scares me as a Gordon owner. I don't think Gordon will have his breakout game against the Bengals so if you have other options, look that way this week. (Professor)

Frank Gore, RB, IND (vs. NYJ) - All the reports say the Colts will try and get Gore going on Monday night against the Jets. Good luck. The last time the Colts had a runner go for 100 yards in a game was 2012. That's insane. This offensive line is really bad at run blocking and it won't get any better against a stout Jets defense. Don't give up on Frank the Tank, Fantasy owners. Just need to be patient as he rides out these first couple of tough weeks. (Professor)

Cam Newton, QB, CAR (vs. HOU) - As a general rule of thumb, I don't enjoy playing any fantasy quarterback against J.J. Watt. I just have horrible visions of a helmet-less Watt leveling my QB and knocking him out of the game and I lose my matchup as a result. On top of that, Newton had a really disappointing showing in Week 1 (175 yds, TD), seemingly proving everybody right that he is not a solid option with so few weapons with Kelvin Benjamin out. (Andracki)

DeAngelo Williams, RB, PIT (vs. SF) - Who had Williams as the NFL's No. 3 rusher (127 yards) after one game? Probably not many. Williams, starting in place of the suspended Le'Veon Bell, looked like his old self against the Patriots, but it will be tough sledding against a stout 49ers front seven this week. If Adrian Peterson could only manage 31 rushing yards against San Francisco there's no way that Williams could give you a respectable fantasy output, right? (Krinch)

Bears grades: Was the defense *that* bad?

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USA Today Sports Images

Bears grades: Was the defense *that* bad?

QUARTERBACKS: C+

While the context of Mitch Trubisky still learning and developing in his second year in the NFL, and first in Matt Nagy’s offense, is important, there were too many missed throws and poor decisions to overlook on Sunday. One of his interceptions wasn’t his fault — Josh Bellamy can’t let a pass that hits him in the hands and chest, while falling to the ground, wind up in the arms of a waiting defensive back. But Trubisky’s second interception was on the quarterback: Anthony Miller ran an excellent corner route and flashed open, but Trubisky’s timing was slightly off and he under threw the ball, turning what should’ve been a breezy touchdown into a 50-50 ball. Jonathan Jones made a spectacular play to come down with it for an interception, but the point is it shouldn’t have been a contested throw in the first place. Trubisky missed three throws to Miller that all could’ve resulted in touchdowns throughout the game. 

Trubisky nearly was intercepted in the end zone twice, too, a week after throwing an end zone pick against Miami. Throwing in the vicinity of offensive lineman Bradley Sowell and reserve tight end Ben Braunecker was a poor decision, one Trubisky knew immediately he shouldn’t have made. 

And Trubisky’s accuracy on deep balls was disappointing — he only completed one of 10 throws that traveled 20 or more yards beyond the line of scrimmage, with that one being the one-yard-short Hail Mary to Kevin White as time expired. In fact, on throws of 15 or more yards, he wasn’t much better, completing only two of 14 passes, including the Hail Mary. 

But the Bears still managed 31 points, and Trubisky did well to diagnose a Patriots’ defense that was neither containing nor spying him, gouging them for 81 yards on six scrambles. That showed an important skill of Trubisky’s — even when things aren’t going well for him through the air, his ability to make plays with this legs was critical in keeping this offense afloat. 

RUNNING BACKS: C+

Tarik Cohen again had an impactful game catching the ball, with eight catches on 12 targets for 69 yards with a touchdown. What he’s able to do out of the backfield props up the grade for a group that, otherwise, didn’t have much success on the ground: Cohen rushed six times for 14 yards, while Jordan Howard gained 39 yards on 12 carries. Cohen’s longest run was five yards; Howard’s was six, and combined they averaged barely over three yards per carry. The Bears have shown they can score points without an effective running game, but how long can that last?

WIDE RECEIVERS: C

Allen Robinson was hampered by a groin injury and only caught one of five targets for four yards, and dropped what would’ve been a third-down conversion in Patriots territory in the first quarter, leading to a field goal instead of an extended drive into the red zone. New England’s defensive strategy was to take away Taylor Gabriel, which is executed successfully — Gabriel only had one target until midway through the fourth quarter and finished with three catches for 26 yards. 

Miller had the best game of anyone in this group, consistently running open — only with Trubisky missing him frequently to the tune of two catches seven targets for 35 yards (there were, probably, three touchdowns to Miller Trubisky left on the board with over- or under-thrown passes). Kevin White caught his first two passes of the year, including a career-long 54-yarder on the game-ending Hail Mary, and also drew a penalty in the end zone on a one-on-one fade route. Josh Bellamy, conversely, did not have a good game, going 0-for-4 on targets and aiding J.C. Jackson’s interception of Trubisky by not cleanly coming down with a pass along the sideline. 

TIGHT ENDS: A-

Trey Burton had his breakout game, catching nine of 11 targets for 126 yards with a touchdown and doing an excellent job to be a reliable target over the middle for Trubisky with Gabriel taken away by New England’s defense. Seven of Burton’s nine receptions were for a first down, with another one gaining 11 yards on a first-and-15. Dinging this unit’s grade was Dion Sims dropping his only target, which would’ve gone for a first down late in the second quarter. It was Sims’ first target since Week 1. 

OFFENSIVE LINE: B-

The entire offensive line did well to protect Trubisky, especially after New England sent a few early blitzes that seemed to cause confusion up front. But even when the Bears brought in Sowell to be a sixth offensive lineman, the run blocking wasn’t there — on the five running plays on which Sowell was on the field, the Bears only gained nine yards. The Bears’ ineffectiveness running the ball has been a recurring issue, with blame spread evenly between the running backs and offensive line. 

DEFENSIVE LINE: C-

Bilal Nichols made three splash plays — a hit on Tom Brady, a forced fumble and a run stuff — and continues to look like an excellent mid-round find by Ryan Pace. Akiem Hicks and Eddie Goldman did well to make sure the Patriots’ didn’t get much on the ground after Sony Michel was injured, and that interior pair combined for five pressures — nearly half the Bears’ total of 11. But when the Bears needed a quick stop, knowing New England would run the ball late in the fourth quarter, the defensive line didn’t manage an impact, allowing the Patriots to chew up 3:49 of the remaining 4:13 left on the clock. 

OUTSIDE LINEBACKERS: D

Could this have been an F? Definitely. But it’s not based on this factor alone: The scheme deployed by Vic Fangio didn’t ask Khalil Mack and Leonard Floyd to rush the passer as much as usual, with those two players combining to drop into coverage more (31 times) than rush the passer (29 times). Yes, when Mack and Floyd rushed — which was a one-or-the-other thing, not both at the same time — they weren’t effective. And Floyd, especially, was picked on by Brady and James White, who easily juked him for a touchdown in the first half. This was not a good game for either player, as well as Aaron Lynch, who only had one pressure in 10 pass rushing snaps. But given what this unit was asked to do, it wasn’t a failure — though it was close. 

INSIDE LINEBACKERS: C-

Danny Trevathan thumped 10 tackles and was solid in run defense, but did allow three receptions on four targets, two of which went for first downs. Roquan Smith, too, was solid against the run but was targeted five times, allowing four receptions for 35 yards with three first downs and a touchdown, per Pro Football Focus. Smith did well to pressure and sack Tom Brady on a third down play near the end zone, resulting in a field goal. Smith only played 34 snaps, though, his lowest total since Week 1. 

DEFENSIVE BACKS: C-

Kyle Fuller played well outside of getting beat on a perfectly-thrown back shoulder pass from Brady to Josh Gordon on fourth down, and his interception — which was aided by a good play by Adrian Amos — set up Trubisky’s touchdown to Burton that brought the Bears within one. Both Fuller and Prince Amukamara tackled well, as did Sherrick McManis the two times he was targeted. Gordon’s 55-yarder in the fourth quarter, though, can’t be overlooked — Amukamara was in coverage on that play, and Eddie Jackson missed a tackle that would’ve brought Gordon down around the 32-yard line. Instead, he gained another 30 yards on the play, setting up White’s second score of the game. Concerningly, this is now the third game of six in 2018 in which the Bears have allowed at least one big-chunk passing play in the fourth quarter.

SPECIAL TEAMS: F

Opponents are 1-10 when allowing two or more special teams touchdowns against the Patriots in the Bill Belichick era. More recently, teams are 44-8 when scoring two or more special teams touchdowns in the last five years (as an aside, the Bears managed to beat the Baltimore Ravens in 2017 despite allowing a pair of ‘teams scores). 

Things started off well for this unit, with Nick Kwiatkoski punching the ball out of Cordarrelle Patterson’s hands into the waiting arms of DeAndre Houston-Carson on a kick return, leading to a Bears touchdown. Cody Parkey forced Patterson to return his next kickoff, and the Bears swarmed the returner to drop him at the Patriots’ 18. But the Bears lost a good chunk of their momentum when Patterson scythed 95 yards for a return score on his next return attempt, with Kevin Toliver II missing a tackle — though he was the only player who even had a chance to bring down Patterson, so the return hardly was solely the fault of the rookie. Toliver, though, did later commit a holding penalty on a Patriots punt that sailed out of bounds. 

Ben Braunecker, who’s been a generally solid special teams contributor over the last few years, wound up on his back on Dont’a Hightower’s blocked punt. It doesn’t count for much, but credit Benny Cunningham’s effort to try to get to Kyle Van Noy on that play — but there was no way he was going to get to the Patriots linebacker, who was surrounded by a gaggle of teammates to get into the end zone. 

Similarly frustrating for this unit was, after Trubisky found Burton for touchdown that cut the Bears’ deficit to seven, they allowed Patterson to take the ensuing kickoff 38 yards to the New England 41-yard line. 

COACHING: B

This may seem high given how Fangio’s defensive plan didn’t result in much success and how Chris Tabor’s special teams units coughed up 14 points. But worth noting is more than half the Patriots’ offensive possessions didn’t end in points (six of 10), which is hardly awful against an offense that scored 20 touchdowns and kicked 13 field goals while only punting 21 times in its first six games. That’s not to completely absolve the Bears’ defense, as the execution and scheming needed to be better. But this wasn’t a total failure on that side of the ball, at least in terms of holding New England to 24 points. 

That being said, this grade is mostly about Nagy doing well to scheme the Bears’ offense in a game in which his quarterback was uneven and his quarterback’s two top receivers were limited either due to injury (Robinson) or the Patriots’ defense (Gabriel). Scoring 31 points in any week is impressive, and the Bears were a few better-executed plays away from not needing a Hail Mary to get one more yards to tie it at the end of the game. Complain all you want about the ineffective of the Bears’ running plays, but this offense has scored 48, 28 and 31 points in its last three games. What Nagy’s been able to do has been a big reason why, even if the Bears are only 1-2 in those contests. 

No, it actually doesn't make sense for the Bears to trade for Patrick Peterson

No, it actually doesn't make sense for the Bears to trade for Patrick Peterson

Things around the NFL got real  interesting this morning: 

Between Paterson's strong language and the fact that the Cardinals are one of the three-worst teams in the NFL this season, it seems like a pretty safe bet that this trade happens. 

As is tradition, each NFL team's fanbase started tweetin' about it: 

The guess here is that this trade caught Bears fans at exactly the wrong time. Between Brock Osweiler's 380 YDS, 3 TD game and Tom Brady's 277 YDS, 3 TD performance, people aren't exactly clamoring to buy stock in the Bears' passing defense right now. 

As of Week 6, however, the Bears pass defense ranked 1st in DVOA. No one was better. Granted, that's not where they'll be when DVOA is updated to reflect the last two games, but bailing on the Bears' pass D after two games (although a case could be made that their pass D wasn't THAT bad against New England) is foolish. There's also the fact that the Bears' secondary is already super-talented, highlighed by Bryce Callahan and Eddie Jackson both making it onto Pro Football Focus' first quarter All-Pro team. Granted, Kyle Fuller's had a slow start and Prince Amukamara hasn't been able to stay on the field, but the depth and talent of the Bears' secondary won't be their downfall. 

Positional need aside, the money just doesn't make sense for Chicago. First and foremost, the Bears just probably don't have what they'd need to bring in Peterson. According to Sportrac, the Bears have roughly $5.4 million in cap space this season - good for 23rd in the NFL (not that rank really matters, but just to give you an idea). 

That's not technically a deal breaker when it comes to Paterson, whose $11 million base salary is actually around $5.2 million once you prorate it for the first eight weeks of the year. So, if the Bears *wanted* to make a move for Peterson, the space is there. 

With that said, Peterson would come at a price that the Bears most likely don't have the luxury of affording. As of today, the market for trading top-tier secondary players has probably been set by this winter's Marcus Peters deal. In that trade, the Chiefs sent Peters and a sixth-round pick for one 4th-round pick this year and a 2nd round pick the following. As it stands, the Bears don't currently have anything better than a 4th-round pick until 2021. They definitely don't have the draft capital to match the Peters deal -- which was actually considered a light return at the time. 

And sure, the Bears could come at the Cardinals with a package built around current players, but why would that interest Arizona? Would a rebuilding team be THAT interested in Leonard Floyd, or some sort of Kevin White-Proven Vet combo? There's no incentive for the Cardinals to listen to any offer that doesn't include high round draft capital, and the Bears can't offer that. Paterson on the Bears would be an embarrassment of riches, but not one that the Bears can realistically swing.